A WORD FOR THE FUTURE STOCK TRADERS

AWFUL ADVISE 2: A NOTE TO ONE NOBLE SPECULATOR.

STOCKHACKER
Publish date: Wed, 04 Mar 2015, 05:17 PM
A personal opinion in stock trading

I see, there had been a numerous of articles from you about your favourite stock picks. Those stocks are going blow up 100%, 200% or 500%, in the future, from your ability to spot the numbers, value, predictions and trends. More importantly, you can afford to lose if/or in case you fall into value traps stocks. 

I understand, there's nothing wrong with shooting for double, triple or more return, on your highly recommended value stocks. But;

It's neither crazy or a hype up claim--- many people out there own this type of stock in their portfolios.The difference is, many mavericks did not disclose it, mainly because of-- 1st --Conflict of interest and ---2nd --Insider trading. ---3rd ---A secret system gaming the market.

Here I need to explain the reality involved ;

1. Large, stable, safe company or small cap, junior/ early stage good company --- almost by definition might offer three or explosive ten bagger stock, (was coined by Peter Lynch, stock that are potential to ×10 times in value ) ---  The price to pay is ---- stock market traps are real and extremely risky.

2. Nobody could tell you in advance, which play is going to be the next ten bagger stock. (Unless insider moves) The best one can do is, identify a basket of stocks with ten bagger potential, and hopes the one that work out more than to underwrite the losses on the ones that don't. ----  Realistically, not everyone can shoulder two or three awful calls.

3. The math is simple, you can lose 100% of your money on your super stock pick, which is unlikely. Because you can only lose 100%, while there's no maximum gain. ---- Hey! Not all winning bets are smart.

4. You as a noble man as you always claimed to be, should dedicate to deliver the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but the truth on what is happening to the assessment and the investment opportunities that creates..........not hope but the truth.---- I see that you had failed to address this to the public in your previous articles. 

5. Do you hide/ delay  important info (or honestly raise an alarm ), and anything important from other's eyes, reserving it only to you, and denying others to profit in order to maintain your credibility? --- I bet this is true, no doubt about this.

6. Either way, one message was clear, the opportunity better to be understated than overstated, It's exciting enough by itself. No hype, no exaggeration and especially no bull is needed. ----- Because any very specific event might turn out to be disastrous and not everyone can swallow big trading mistake.

7.  Value investing once worked, but it might never happen again. You want to know what company has the lowest PE, but still have > 15% ROI and 70% gross margin? It takes about 1 second for one of the dozens of freely available websites to answer the question to me. ----- Mind you, there are many "Value traps" stock in the market. 

Based on your investment on screen like this, you are likely to fall into trap after trap. Let me repeat, using your previous strategy, you will lose money on most of your stocks. If the performance is half as good as your statement, your readers would have all retired in the Bahamas by now and not next year.

So yes, ten bagger stocks are possible. And the strategy for pursuing those super stocks, is to trade 10 stocks, a bags of exceptionally high volatility stocks, small cap junior, value or growth stocks, write off the two that go to zero, shrug off the two that drop 30% 50%, keep the three that gain you 30% to 50%. And laugh all the way to the bank when the one long shoot goes up 500% or 1000% , will then make the rest worthwhile. 

But to to do this you must realize that until the ten bagger stock makes it discovery, transition or whatever it's going to do, to shoot through the roof, it's going to look like any of the mediocre or losing positions. Only in the context can 30% and 50% can be considered mediocre. 

In other words, you and your readers must have the nerve of steel to do this, or you'll panic and sell all your idiotic value stocks and wonder what lapse of sanity ever prompted you to buy them, and your followers too, more so to teach/speak to the public about your -- 7 traits of how to become a super investor--

After explaining these things to you, the only way is to reliably go after ten bagger stock, is to accept that portfolio with more losses than win ( and the win will make up for the losses ) and I ask for another show of hands. 

I kid you not, not many will raise their hands.

This confirms something that I had long thought,  but for which I had not previously had empirical evidence: most people, including you, don't have what it takes to be a high stakes speculator. Fair enough, if an investing strategy does not suit one's temperament, one should not try it.

But fortune does favor the bold.

Fear not, I would never twist anyone's arm to invest in high risk stocks, (stock market is always risky) I only pursue this strategy in private with a small number of people who understand math and have the temperament to go with it, and to those who are very close to me. 

So now you know, this high stakes table is not for everyone. There are many different ways to invest, and every investor should carefully assess his or her temperament---- and especially tolerance for risk---- before setting on his or her investment strategy. 

I hope you and all others, will do this important introspection and determine the right strategies to pursue in the very heavily manipulated stock market, and able to share and exchange thoughts with integrity and in an ethical way.

And it is essential to look at yourself in the mirror everyday and know what you deliver to your readers, through thick and thin, that's how you will sleep well at night without nightmares. 

Whatever I decide to do, no matter what, I like to sleep well at night.

And to my associate too.

 

 

 

 



 

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4 people like this. Showing 2 of 2 comments

Probability

Wah...this time really POWERFULL msg from STOCKHACKER...
Ini macam...i salute!

2015-03-04 19:26

malaysian

STOCKHACKER..SALUTE!!! one powerful message to mr "koon" "charity"

2015-03-04 20:19

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