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IBHD (4251) - Growth Gathering Pace

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Publish date: Wed, 08 Feb 2017, 08:20 AM

I-Berhad - Growth Gathering Pace

Author: PublicInvest   |   


I-Berhad reported another set of strong quarterly numbers, underpinned by growing ntributions from its property development segment, which remains on track to achieving its medium term goal of generating a steady-state revenue of RM500m per annum. 3QFY16 net profit grew 159.3% YoY to RM22.4m, ntributing to a mulative 9MFY16 net profit growth of 91.6% YoY to RM52.4m. Though only making up 61.6% of our full-year estimates, we deem the results broadly in line as we anticipate stronger recognition in the final quarter to bring numbers in-line. I-Berhad’s value proposition is attractive, and we ntinue to like it for its prime position in benefitting from the urbanization of the outer Klang Valley region (Klang and Shah Alam) despite on-going allenges in the property market. Pace of sales this year has matched last year’s, showing no discernible slowdowns as yet, a testament to the market segment it serves which is still seeing demand. With only about 15% of its Gross Development Value (GDV) ystallized, I-Berhad’s story is only just unfolding. Our Outperform call is reaffirmed, while we raise our target price to RM0.91 (from RM0.73 previously), as we narrow our discount to RNAV, from 60% previously to 50%, with the mpany ntinuing to deliver consistently. We see scope for upgrades in the future.

  • Business Overview. The i-SOHO and i-Suite developments have been fully sold while the Liberty and Parisien Towers projects (launched in 2015) have achieved more than 80% sales, ntributing to 3QFY16 revenue of RM113.6m (+105.7% YoY, +31.0% QoQ) and cumulative 9MFY16 revenue of RM280.7m (+53.1% YoY). Unbilled sales are an encouraging RM656.5m. The recently-launched Hyde Towers development has registered 40%. While sales numbers of 8Kia Peng @ KLCC have been relatively anemic, we expect an improvement in market nditions next year to lift ntributions. Piling works on the Central i-City mall and DoubleTree by Hilton hotel continue afoot, both slated for mpletion by 2018. Both assets are integral parts of its planned RM1bn property investment portfolio, also encompassing wholly-owned r park bays (c. 10k) anticipated to yield steady streams of healthy recurring income. At this juncture however, the segment remains a work-in-progress, with rrent weakness ming as a result of the expiry of its Ijarah Agreement with Al-Rajhi Banking Corporation last year.
  • Future Developments. Slated for launch in 2017 is part of the “Central Towers” development, mprising an office tower and residential suite towers above the DoubleTree by Hilton hotel which it has dubbed “Converse @ i-City” given its integration of Internet of Things functionalities. On this note, we view the mpany’s recent partnership with Huawei Technologies positively as it works toward being at the forefront of incorporating technological advancements into its product offerings, which is looking increasingly to be the next wave in property development

 

IBHD (4251) – 卓越的中小型房产股,鹤立鸡群,王者之峰 ~WSWT~

Author: WeShare WeTrade   |   Publish date: Wed, 25 Jan 2017, 09:37 PM 


近几年大马人对“房产低迷”这4个字应该再熟悉不过了,翻看报纸都不时看到这个词。过去三年大马房产指数从高峰的1500点+-滑落至1100点+-。
 
而专家也不时预估大马房产春天何时归来,最近一个说法是今年下半年大马房产将会逐渐复苏。

笔者不如专家们的神算预测在行,并不知道房产何时才会复苏。尽管大马房产低迷,笔者认为还是有部分的房产公司表现仍然出色,如冷眼推荐的ECOWORLD,2016财经年的营业额更是狂飙至RM 25亿,不过市值想当大,将近RM 40亿,P/E约30点左右,并不适合笔者的胃口。反之,笔者却发现了IBHD这只中小型房产股有着巨大的潜能。

 
 
 五年财报表现
 
股本:1.003亿支股,每股RM0.50
市值:RM602million,每股RM0.60 (截至24/1)
本益比:8.82倍
主要股东:Sumurwang Sdn Bhd (60.8%)
有形资产净值(NTA):每股 RM0.85
周息率(Dividend Yield) : 2.2% (股息政策 30%)
 
生意模式
IBHD有三大业务,以房地产发展为主。

 

如果你没听过 IBHD,你应该至少有听闻过I-City这地方。

 

 

1. Property development

 

贡献80%以上的业务。除了8Kia Peng计划是在KL市中心以外,其他房产发展都是集中在I-city。目前的unbilled sales达到RM 656.2million。成长的速度有多强劲?以下的图表可以解释一切。
 
 
2. Property investment
很小的一个业务,占总营业额约2-3%左右。
 
3. Leisure
I-city 主题乐园和酒店业务。笔者去年特意去拜访,结果发现游客少得可怜。不过如果你想要轻松的一日游又不曾到访过I-city,可以去那儿走走游玩,因人潮并不多,不会感到紧迫。
 
虽然人潮很少,不过惊讶的是还是有盈利哦,不过贡献并不显著。
 
经营策略
近几年的业绩迎来卓越的成长,归功于公司的长期策略。相较于其他中小型房产股,IBHD有着以下几个特点。这也是为什么在房产低迷的情况下IBHD仍然可以独善其身。
 
1. 地点。都是集中在I-City。不能说现在这个地点非常出色,但是可以说是在创造着自己独有的市场,受到的竞争不大,未来也会有LRT3连接至I-city。
 
2. 智慧城市- 去年与HUAWEI签署策略联盟协议,推行智慧城市与物联网家居概念。
 
3. 品牌。卖的不纯粹是房子,综合以上2个特点,IBHD卖的是一个品牌。正如笔者想到Setia City时就会联想到SP SETIA BHD,想到Sunway Mentari就会联想到SUNWAY BHD。同样的I-City王朝就会联想到IBHD,可是不同的是IBHD的市值却只是他们的十分之一。
 
P/E
目前P/E约8.9。过去1-2年的P/E是徘徊在10-12左右的。上个季度季报净利相当出色,达RM 22 million(上升162%),股价也一度攀升至64仙的价位。可是随着去年公布的2017年财政预算案对房产业没有带来任何利好消息,股价也随之下滑,目前徘徊在60仙左右。估计即将出炉的季报应该会有所提升,到时P/E将会进一步下跌(如果股价没上升的话)。
 
净现金
如果大家有留意,IBHD是少有的净现金的房产股。也许部分读者们可能会感到困惑,因为在财报上的固体负债达RM 200million。主要固体负债是RCULS。基于这些负债都可以分别以84仙和71仙转换为母股,而且利息也在3%至5%之间,所以可以归纳为净现金,不过如果转换母股会稀释每股净利。而这项2014年融资计划也成功让公司加速发展。Investment properties 和 properties development cost 也在三年内大幅度提升RM700million左右。
 RCULS = REDEEMABLE CONVERTIBLE UNSECURED LOAN STOCKS
 
ICULS = IRREDEEMABLE CONVERTIBLE UNSECURED LOAN STOCKS
 
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