We maintain our BUY call on Public Bank (PBB) with an unchanged fair value of RM24.30/share. This is based on a target P/BV ratio of 2.4x, supported by an FY18 ROE of 14.5%. We make no changes to our forecast.
The group reported a core net profit of RM1.41bil (- 5.4%QoQ, +12.6%YoY) in 1QFY18. On a YoY basis, the improved earnings were supported by higher total income, partially offset by higher OPEX and slightly higher provisions.
1QFY18 net profit was in line with our expectation, making up 25.1% of our estimate. Against street numbers, it was 24.1% of consensus expectation.
The group’s loan (both domestic and overseas) grew at an annualised rate of 3.0%. Domestic loan growth stayed above the industry average but was dampened by the contraction in international loans.
Momentum for CASA continued to be slow with CASA ratio slipping to 25.4%. Net LD ratio was 93.6% while its gross loan-to-fund and gross loan-to-fund and equity ratios stood at 89.0% and 79.9% respectively.
NIM improved 6bps QoQ in 1QFY18 to 2.33% benefitting from the OPR hike of 25bps in Jan 18.
1QFY18 impaired loans rose marginally by 0.8%QoQ. The group's loan loss climbed to 125.2% due to higher provisions from the adoption of MFRS 9. Including its large regulatory reserves of RM2.0bil, loan loss cover was 261.0%. The group's overall GIL ratio remained steady 0.5% vs. the domestic industry's 1.6%.
Day 1 impact from the adoption of MFRS 9 saw an increase in provisions by RM451mil (+32%). Despite this, the group’s shareholders’ funds were minimally impacted. Shareholders’ funds rose slightly by 0.7% to RM37.6bil on day 1 of the adoption. This was due to the recognition of unrealised gains on financial assets at fair value through profit and loss (FVTPL) of RM412.4mil and a transfer of RM441.3mil from regulatory reserves to the group’s retained earnings which offset the increase in provisions under the new standard.
The day 1 impact of MFRS 9 also saw all the group’s capital ratio, CET1, Tier 1 capital and total capital enhanced by 20bps to 12.4%, 13.2% and 16.2% respectively. Elsewhere, loan loss cover strengthened to 126.1% from 95.5% due to the rise in provisions.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....