My Trading Adventure

Continuation from savvy investor

CP TEH
Publish date: Tue, 09 Aug 2016, 02:09 PM
CP TEH
0 2,918
All the writings in this weblog are mainly for PLEASURE reading purposes. I am in NO position to recommend a call(BUY/SELL). Please check with those know-hows before you make a decision. Yes, I am just a learner, with only five years experiences in KLSE. So, please BEAR with me.

#1 : Capital Preservation

1.  Please join my e-meeting, Wednesday, 10 August, 2016 at 10:00 PM to 11:00 PM

https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/881965125

Not at your computer? Click the link to join this meeting from your iPhone®, iPad®, Android® or Windows Phone® device via the GoToMeeting app.

Ok ... I will do a repeat of my first e-meeting (last Sunday night) to reach out to more readers who have missed. I will talk about pointer #1 : Capital Preservation

http://cpteh.blogspot.my/2016/06/lunch-date-with-experienced-investor.html

Few pointers from him(a fundamentalist) :

1. Do not trade using margin-account as many have been wiped out during crash and most do not know how to manage it

2. Market is to crash in 2017 (predicting early 1H2017). So, hold cash at the moment. No upside at the moment.

3. Change MYR to SGD as MYR will weaken further ... while SGD vs MYR will strengthen.

4. Identify a THEME PLAY ... ride on it and get out before the trend changed.

5. Bearish in equities, commodities, fixed assets and properties.

6. Buy a stock as if you are buying into a company-biz. Check the management. Example PBBank as one of the best around. Dialog is another example.

7. Buy consumer-stocks and medical stock (spore)

8. Avoid GLCs as we could not trust the accounts

How to be super investor

Mr T told me he knew many super-investors and including himself, they do not go to forums to comment or tell the whole world what they are buying/doing. Normally, they will buy-hold for years ... long-term investors ... and buying stocks such as Nestle, DutchLady, Panasonic, BAT, Guiness, Carlsberg ... and he is still holding to PBBank and Genting which I bought some 20 years ago!!


Panamy : Breakout of RM30 to hit 40 ... at RM36-RM37 level now. Hit low R35. BUY and HOLD ... during market crash.

Since he said market will be crashing by next year, I asked "Will you be selling any of your consumer stocks?" ... answer is "NO"

I was thinking ... PBBank at high at the moment RM19 plus, if it really to crash by next year ... the downside is HUGE. Isn't it only  logical to SELL at current RM19 plus and buyback during crash ... say RM15 or below? Well, I know his cost is way below ... and in fact, ex-dividend ... whatever he is holding could be 'free'.

So .... how to be super-investor? BUY during crash ... buy good dividend consumer-stocks and HOLD, if possible ... hold forever (Warren Buffett style).

When we buy a stock, see if as BUSINESS ...buying the BUSINESS and becoming the owner.

Anyway, I hope to meet him again in Dec 2016 ... before market crashing.

Time for classes.

TEH


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Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 6 of 6 comments

Flintstones

When i was a kid, my dad used to joke about the habitual gambler who finally heard about a race with only one horse in it. He bet all his money on it, but he lost when the horse jumped over the fence and ran away. There is no sure thing, only better and worse bets, and anyone who trades without expecting something to go wrong is playing the most dangerous game around.

2016-08-09 15:18

cariayam

why 1q2017 ?

2016-08-09 19:22

PlsGiveBonus

This time I believe what he said

2016-08-09 19:25

PlsGiveBonus

The market used to be so cheap during the subprime
Now it is all full of creative accounting
I do not believe them
Last time my house give me annual rental yield of 7-8%
It was all so good
I missed the day when cash is king

2016-08-09 19:31

Bruce88

Volume blogger- 5 times a day

2016-08-09 22:51

murali

Sendiri tak boleh pakai, now have to borrow so called experience investor's mouth to talk abt market crash....

2. Market is to crash in 2017 (predicting early 1H2017). So, hold cash at the moment. No upside at the moment.

Is yr so called experience investor Mr.TTB? FYI he has been shouting for market crash since 2011....going to be his 6 years anniversary by 2017 then.....

2016-08-10 07:01

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