gloveharicut

TOPGLOV confident of robust demand over next two years

gloveharicut
Publish date: Tue, 29 Dec 2020, 11:46 AM
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I am not sure the vaccine is useful or not. CEO have better answer.

 

Do you have to wear GLOVES to give a vaccine shot?

I am holding my GLOVES. I will only sell when ASP come down but not stock price come down.


I buy vaccine logistic by using the GLOVEs profit as hedging to vaccine news.

 

I am reproducing The Star article to my blog.

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https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2020/12/29/top-glove-confident-of-robust-demand-over-next-two-years

Top Glove confident of robust demand over next two years


 
 

PETALING JAYA: Top Glove Corp Bhd’s average selling price (ASP) is expected to jump 30% quarter-on-quarter in the second quarter of 2021, on the back of higher volumes from new capacities and product mix skewed towards higher margin nitrile gloves.

Kenanga Research in a report said Top Glove management is confident of robust demand over the next two years due to continuous acute shortage and surging Covid-19 cases in Europe and the US.

“Case in point, the US’ stockpile dropped from 16.9 billion pieces in December 2019 to two billion pieces in October 2020. Post Covid-19, inventory restocking cycle is expected to spur demand, coupled with increased usage arising from new user groups and increased hygiene awareness.

“Looking ahead into the second quarter of 2021, we highlight that Top Glove’s ASP in the second quarter of 2021 is expected to jump by 30% quarter-on-quarter, with higher volumes from new capacities and product mix skewed towards higher margin nitrile gloves.”

Kenanga Research said efforts to source for more worker accommodations and to improve existing ones have been ongoing, for which the group has already invested RM70mil.

“In addition, the group has spent RM20mil purchasing 100 units of apartments over the past two months and is also renting more houses for its workers.

“Over the medium term, the group has earmarked about RM100mil to be invested in workers’ facilities and accommodation, which includes building mega hostels in Klang and Banting with a combined capacity of 7,300 pax fully equipped with a suite of amenities and facilities.”

The research house said that so far, 8,357 workers or 94% of those tested positive and have recovered or tested negative are ready to resume work.

“Presently, its Klang factories’ utilisation is slowly ramping up with the reopening of all 28 factories.”

Kenanga Research also highlighted that there had been environmental, social and governance (ESG) issues concerning Top Glove lately.

“Top Glove has been in the spotlight due to its workers’ housing conditions and high Covid-19 infections that led to the implementation of an enhanced movement control order.

“On Nov 23, the government announced that 28 of Top Glove’s factories in Klang will temporarily cease operations in stages to allow the factory workers to undergo screenings and mandatory quarantine in an effort to contain the spread of the virus among the employees.

“Despite earnings on a strong growth track in 2021, concerns over ESG issues could potentially de-rate the stock.”

As such, the research house is cutting its target price from RM10.68 to RM8.50, based on the stock’s revised 9.1-times unchanged 2021 earnings per share.

Kenanga Research is also attaching a 20% discount to its target price-to-earnings ratio to take into account ongoing concerns over ESG-related issues, particularly those related to its foreign workers.

“Moreover, re-emergence of Covid-19 cases in the future could cause temporary disruption in production.”

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1 person likes this. Showing 13 of 13 comments

jonsuk67

Increase of 30% in Q2? That's good.

2020-12-29 14:09

dusti

No reason not to. Even the assistant to my favourite “char keow teow” chef wears gloves. New norms.

2020-12-29 17:44

tips888

EKOVEST 3 MONTH AGO 0.52 NOW 0.53 CAN BUY? I CANT FIND ANY CHEAP STOCK NOW. PLEASE GUIDE ME.

2020-12-30 10:52

Tobby

Grandpa Koon should read this!

2020-12-30 13:40

speakup

LCW should privatise TG and relist in USA. then TG can get PE 1000x like Tesla

2020-12-30 15:29

sensonic

I AM SO EXCITED TO GO SINGAPORE THIS FRIDAY TO GET VACCINATED. BYE BYE COVID 19.

2020-12-30 19:04

tips888

DOCTOR TAK PAKAI GLOVES

2020-12-31 11:02

stockraider

Just Run & hide in Insas lah, so much undervalue & profit mah...!!

Assume SYF close today at Rm 0.395 loh...!!

The mark to market gain will be 50m SYF share x ( Rm 0.395-Rm 0.19} = Rm 10.25m mark to market gain loh...!!

Posted by Sslee > Dec 31, 2020 11:08 AM | Report Abuse

Insas holding on SYF Resources Berhad: 50,015,200 units

SYF price: 28/6/2019 RM 0.21: 30/6/2020 RM 0.13
30/9/2020 RM 0.19. 31/12/2020 RM??.

So q2 result fair value on SYF will be how much? How much fair value gain?

2020-12-31 11:22

Timercheng

Top glove downtrend lol! better sell

2020-12-31 11:26

Timercheng

Buy Comfort better

2020-12-31 11:27

stockraider

Very fair & intelligent opinion loh...!!

Posted by drkelvin20 > Dec 31, 2020 11:28 AM | Report Abuse

just some neutral opinion, my own opinion, you can ignore if you do not agree:

The glove counters currently are still way too pricey compared to PreCovid level, it is a crystal clear and rock solid that the glove counters do not have that kind of sustainable profit/revenue to support even the current depreciating share price...The gloves selling prices are still high at the moment, if you know how the industry business and marketing operate, or just talk to someone in this industry you will know the glove selling price will be back to normal, or some higher than PreCovid level. But definately selling price cannot remain at this level.

In my opinion, there is a lot of downside for supermx and top glove, and other glove counter. considering 1:1 bonus share issue and 1:2 bonus share issue, and even consider a slighty higher glove selling price than PreCovid level, I would consider a good buy for supermx at ~rm 2, and top glove around ~rm3.

Mayb some of you may laugh off this low target price and think it is too far off from current share price. BUt if you recall supermx was rm 9++, top glove was rm 9++ after bonus share issuance, now dropped to rm 6+ respectively, then further drop can happen slowly.

The fact that 2020 Financial year super bull profits for glove counters, it will present a high pressure to the glove companies to sustain the super bull profit after the pandemic is getting over. Say, the financial quarter at the end of 2021, or beginning of 2022. These year end 2021 and early 2022 on wards, financial report, when compared to 2020 whole year revenue and profit. It will be inevitable that the performance will show a huge drop. and by then, in my opinion, the glove counters will drop to thier sustainable. And only then, for me, it is a very good buy, especially top glove with high CAGR all these years.

2020-12-31 11:32

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