KPJ's one-year  old  uptrend  began  to  lose  momentum  when  the  stock  started  to  trade  below  the  uptrend  line  since  Sept 2012. An obvious downtrend line which extends from the RM6.50 historic high has also been constructed.

After  coming  under  pressure  for  a  few  months,  KPJ  finally  arrived  at  the  200-day  MAV  line  on  27  Nov  and  was  trying  to maintain its position above the line for another 11 sessions. Its multiple attempts to bounce off the 200-day MAV line in the 11 sessions basically imply the significance of this support line to the stock.

Nevertheless, the 200-day MAV line was finally violated last Friday. It also violated another crucial support floor of RM5.77 during  the  process.  Judging  by  the  momentum  of  the  sell-down  and  the  fact  that  the  stock  took  out  two  crucial  support levels at the same time, there is a possibility that the its share price may retrace towards the next strong level of RM5.33 or even the RM5.00 psychological mark. Both of these levels represent our downside price targets.       

Following  last Friday's breakdown, KPJ's near-term  technical  outlook  has  shifted  to  become  bearish.  Its  share  price  is expected to continue coming down until the downtrend line shown in the above chart is violated.

To  the  upside,  look  for  the  200-day  MAV  line  or  the  RM5.82  level  as  the  immediate  resistance.  The  next  resistance  is situated at RM6.00.

Source: OSK