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Evergreen Fibreboard - Seeing Red

kiasutrader
Publish date: Fri, 01 Mar 2013, 10:09 AM

Evergreen  plunged  into  the  red  in  4QFY12,  posting  net  losses  of  RM4.6m  for  the quarter on the back of both lower sales volume and weaker ASPs. FY12 earnings of RM33.6m  (-46.8%  y-o-y)  missed  expectations  amid  significant  revenue  and  cost pressures.  Challenges  continue  to  plague  the  company  as  additional  production capacity  in  other  ASEAN  countries  intensifies  competition.  We  are  slashing  our FY13-FY14  net  profit  forecast  by  22.1%-29.0%,  thus  lowering  our  FV  to  RM0.60. Maintain NEUTRAL.
Far below estimates. Evergreen registered 4QFY12 revenue of RM235.3m (-20.5% y-o-y, -5.1% q-o-q) and losses amounting to RM6.4m as operations suffered the double whammy of  both  weaker  sales  volume  and  selling  prices.  Full  year  FY12  revenue  and  earnings came in at RM1,032.0m (-2.8% y-o-y) and RM33.6m (-46.8% y-o-y) on the back of sharp increases in glue and log prices (higher raw material costs), higher electricity rates, weak sales volumes and declining selling prices. FY12 was a year characterized with significant revenue and cost pressures, which led to a 2.4ppt EBITDA margin contraction. The year's earnings accounted for only 59.4% of our and 61.7% of consensus estimates.
Source: OSK
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