Good Articles to Share

MH370: Possible global effects on Malaysia’s future macro-economy

Tan KW
Publish date: Fri, 28 Mar 2014, 01:35 PM
Tan KW
0 460,728
Good.

Posted on 27/03/2014 - 20:00

Ng Kee Seng
Executive Editor

COMMENT: As the MH370 saga continues to cause more damage to Malaysia’s international reputation, the government must seriously abandon its “business as usual” attitude.

It must realise that it is dealing with the rest of the world and that it is not a domestic crisis.

China today is the world’s second biggest economy. Playing the race card to strike back at the flak coming from China is irrational, to say the least.

Blaming the Chinese media to stem the disgust for its incompetent handling of the MH370 air crash crisis is not going to put the brakes on worsening diplomatic relations.

Instead, Malaysia should remain “level headed and cool”, using all its diplomatic skills to overcome the flak.

It is not only China that Malaysia has to worry in the aftermath of MH370. The rest of the world is also affected.

The government’s perceived endorsement of Raja Bomoh’s antics is most baffling. Was the government not able to anticipate what other countries would think of Malaysians from the silly antics?

MAS, already in the red to the tune of at least RM4 billion in accumulated debts, can only survive with another round of government bailout.

The MH370 crisis is going to be costly not only to MAS and the government, but it is also going to affect Malaysia’s macro-economy in the future.

To cite just a few immediate and glaring concerns:

Ø Visit Malaysia Year 2014 promotions in China have to be cancelled because of the flak, with multi-million ringgit in potential tourism revenue lost;

Ø Malaysia had, before the MH370 crisis, also lost millions of ringgit in potential business after incurring the wrath of Shia-majority Iran; and

Ø The media in China has started publishing reports “promoting” the Kra Isthmus Canal in Thailand, a project when realised is set to have cargo ships from the East bypassing the Straits of Malacca or Malaysian ports.

Straining relations with China and displaying irrational behaviour that make Malaysia a joke only serve to rattle investor confidence.

Can Malaysia afford such long-term negative effects on her international trade and industry?

It will do well for the Malaysian authorities to react calmly instead of taking a confrontational face-off with any quarters.

The Beijing-bound MH370, carrying 239 passengers and crew, disappeared barely an hour after taking off from the Kuala Lumpur International Airport in early March 8.

The passengers included 154 China and Taiwan nationals.

Angry Chinese families in Beijing are accusing the Malaysian government and MAS of being “liars” over the lack and flip-flop of information on the fate of the airliner.

On March 26, some 200 distraught relatives and family members of MH370 passengers from China staged a protest near the Malaysian embassy in Beijing, demanding that MAS and Putrajaya explain what happened.

They clashed with police who formed a human wall outside the embassy, and shouted slogans condemning the Malaysian government as “murderers”.

China has also questioned the accuracy of satellite data readings which Malaysia had relied on to declare that the MAS 777 aircraft had crashed into the Indian Ocean killing all aboard.

Chinese President Xi Jinping immediately ordered a special envoy, Vice Foreign Minister Zhang Yesui, to Kuala Lumpur to secure first-hand analysis while Deputy Foreign Minister Xie Hangshend ordered Malaysia’s ambassador to China to establish what it was that led to Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Razak making the declaration the jet had crashed in the Indian Ocean.

China has also demanded Inmarsat (International Maritime Satellite Organisation) and the Malaysian authorities to explain why there was an apparent delay in the information being passed to searchers some four days after the plane disappeared on March 8.

Defence Minister-cum-Acting Transport Minister Datuk Seri Hishammuddin Hussein had unwittingly angered China in his March 25 media briefing when he accused Beijing of wasting investigators’ time.

Hishammuddin appeared to show his frustration when asked about China’s doubts, remarking that a Chinese lead early in the investigation had proved false.

“We remind you that we received satellite data from China involving sightings in the South China Sea which made us distract ourselves … to search areas which we’ve already searched … and it was found to be negative,” he told reporters.

That was an apparent reference to the publication on March 9 by a Chinese government agency of satellite pictures showing three floating objects in the South China Sea – the area where the jet last made positive contact with air traffic controllers.

Eleven Chinese travel agents told Reuters that bookings between China and Malaysia had fallen severely, and that many had cancelled their trips amid anger at the perceived lack of information provided by the Malaysian government to passengers’ families.

“We used to have 30 to 40 customers a month for group tours to Singapore, Malaysia and Thailand. Now there is no one asking about this route or booking,” a travel agent surnamed Chen told Reuters by telephone.

The media in China has started publishing stories on a decades-old proposal to build a canal at Kra Isthmus, Thailand, thereby bypassing the Straits of Malacca and Malaysian ports.

The canal, if realised, will save shipment costs and time as the route is shortened by 1,000km.

Due to close trade relations between China and Asean for years, their bilateral trade rose from US$54.8 billion (RM179 billion) in 2002 to US$443.6 billion (RM1.4 trillion) in 2013. In the same period, mutual investment grew four times to an accumulated total of US$100 billion (RM326 billion).

The close relations and accumulated wealth due to economic and trade growth make people believe that the construction of Kra Isthmus is affordable now.

China’s huge state-owned LiuGong Machinery Co Ltd and XCMG, and private Sany Heavy Industry Co Ltd have taken the lead to set up a preparations group for the construction of Kra Isthmus Canal.

The 100km artificial link to the Indian Ocean will benefit not only China and Asean, but also Japan and other countries’ world trade.

However, ports in Malaysia and Singapore are then expected to be badly hit.

While Singapore is well prepared for such a possible backlash in port activities as it had invested in foreign ports to avoid putting all its eggs in one basket, the same cannot be said about Malaysia.

http://www.theantdaily.com/news/2014/03/27/mh370-possible-global-effects-malaysias-future-macro-economy

Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 13 of 13 comments

fortunebullz

Thailand's Kra Ithmus definately impact both Malaysia and Singapore in big way! You can say can bankrupt both countries! But that will be years to come! Another bad news for Malaysia is oil drying up! 2017 will be net importer status for Malaysia! Hence urgency for m&a of oil and gas players! I say lets just make money for this year! Tough years will arrive!

2014-03-28 13:50

fortunebullz

Thailand is definately want to monopolize trade in south east asia! This canal mark the beginning of Malaysia and Singapore lost glory days! Once Kra canal in full force, Malaysia and Singapore will be just backwash countries! Expat will be running to Thailand! Singapore will just be another Macau! Malaysia will be Myammar! Myammar will be Malaysia! I am not joking!

2014-03-28 13:58

Icon8888

As an ethnic Chinese of Malaysia, I call on every body to unite behind our government.

No doubt the government had made some mistakes handling the case. However, as Malaysians, let's react in a calm manner and speak with one voice.

What happened to MH370 is out of ordinary. They are bound to be confusions. However, we must be united during difficult time.

Thank you

2014-03-28 14:08

Icon8888

There is no need to be alarmist and started talking about how this incidence is going to drag down Malaysia. Let us react in a cool and responsible manner

This thing will come to pass. During time of adversity, let's stay cool and united

No need for this kind of article that paint an end of the world scenario

2014-03-28 14:13

fortunebullz

Icon! MH370 will be forgotten in a year time! But Kra Canal will be the death of Malaysia! You are talking about trade bypassing Malaysia! Thailand is more than capable to sapu everything! Tourism, export products with much higher quality! Cheaper and better too! In 5 years time Malaysia will nosedive like airplane and crash!

2014-03-28 14:23

Icon8888

I know about that thing. Don't worry we will be fine. Trust me, a nation is very resilient. Let's not care ourselves before to actually happen.

Thailand is currently in political turmoil. They can't even agree on the high speed rail, let alone the Kra channel

Furthermore there is insurgency in southern Thailand. The Chinese better do proper due diligence before they start digging

In the meantime let's keep our market positive by ignoring all these yet to materialize events

2014-03-28 14:29

fortunebullz

The building of Kra canal is not new Icon! It suggested 300 years ago! It is wildly rumoured Malaysia and Singapore bribe government officials to vote against Kra canal for years! But current news suggested China is doubling the bribe as China will be partnering in building the canal, ports and military base along Kra canal! As for Thailand, the trade is too hard to resist! Malaysia and Singapore will definitely bankrupt! This I can very sure of!

2014-03-28 14:33

fortunebullz

Try reading this link Icon! You can see how huge Kra canal impact is! http://thediplomat.com/2013/12/how-a-thai-canal-could-transform-southeast-asia/

2014-03-28 14:37

kkng0819kk

Being next door to the peoposed canal,the northern states especially Penang will definitely benefit fr the economic spill over.t

2014-03-28 16:45

_redbull_

Cmon...they should just tell that main suspect is Memetjan Abdullah from PRC themselves..

2014-03-28 18:55

bless88

Sadness.. Malaysia and singapore now being the target to make look bad to the eyes around the world for like example lahad datu tragedy making people of phillipine make up bad comment about malaysia during that tragedy trying to make malaysia as negatif as possible, Now like the target getting bigger by 307 tragedy making china have bad comment about malaysia.. seeing this sequence my point of view is that there is some trying to make malaysia and singapore look as bad as they can make it look bad very negative.. such sadness.. Malaysia is where the land of human unity together tight bond put aside our differences as human with religion christian, islam, buddhist and other religions that pray to god and against the devils.. Malaysia Singapore Human unity pray to god for safety of all and we are the humans not against humans but we unite against the devils and pray to god.. We are all the same human being.. Human Unity

2014-03-29 01:02

Powersourse

We need to get prepared with all possible situation as China funding will be unlimited

2014-03-29 09:34

xenolover

一个国家,如何看待自己的公民?乾隆时期,荷兰在婆罗洲杀死了数千名中国人。那时候,清廷实力强大。荷兰殖民者内心恐惧,因此到清廷来谢罪。不料乾隆皇帝大手一挥,称这些草民不顾祖宗的“庐墓”跑到外面去谋生,回来也是要杀头的。你们替我们惩办,很好啊很好——这样的历史,读过之后让人内心发凉。

2014-03-29 12:30

Post a Comment