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[转贴] Airasia的CEO东尼在大砲 - 朱冠華

Tan KW
Publish date: Tue, 31 May 2016, 11:22 AM
Tan KW
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2016年5月30日 星期一 

 
我曾經說過,亞洲航空(Airasia)過度財務槓桿已經達到極限,剩下的日子是忙著還債來減輕債務壓力,所以走向萎縮而不是擴展。
所以,Airasia會一直嘗試供股,減少賣出資產等各種方法來降低債務。
 
Airasia在股东大会(AGM)所說,已經逐漸印證我說的正確。
 
亚航集团首席执行员丹斯里东尼费南德斯向媒体指出:
 
「亚洲航空的独资子公司--亚洲航空资本公司(Asia Aviation Capital Limited)獲得10亿美元的献购价格,相等于亚洲航空市值16亿美元的62.5%,要知道这只是亚洲航空的其中一个部门,可见公司股价仍未反映內在价值。」
 
你信?
 
我分析一下給你們看!
 
第一:
Asia Aviation Capital Limited拥有43A320空巴。你知道一架AirBus A320多少錢嗎?
9800萬美元!
如果這個收購者,要買43架新的AirBus A320,需要41.16億美元。
但是收購Asia Aviation Capital Limited,也等於購買43架二手的AirBus A320,他只出價10亿美元。
請問這個收購者是看衰Asia Aviation Capital Limited的內在價值?還是看多?怎麼出架這麼便宜?
 
另外,东尼费南德斯拒绝提供潜在买家详情。
 
 
 
第二:
Airasia集團各夥伴公司的機隊數量如下:
馬亞航 - 80
全亞洲航空 - 21
泰亞航 - 44
泰國全亞洲航空 - 3
印尼亞航 - 29
飛龍亞航 - 14
菲亞航 - 1
印度亞航 - 5
 
總數197架。
 
如果Asia Aviation Capital Limited被收購而失去了43架,那AirAsia規模最少要萎縮20%
竟然飛機數量減少,談何成長?
 
 
 
第三:
Asia Aviation Capital Limited是在2014年成立,主要负责管理亚航集团租赁给国外联號公司的飞机,如泰国亚航、印尼亚航和印度亚航,但也有租赁给其他公司,如巴基斯坦国际航空公司。
其實就是通過這種關聯交易,才能美化AirAsia的帳目。
 
 
 
第四:
东尼费南德斯也向媒体表示,除了飞机租赁业务,亚航集团未来也有意释出其他非核心业务,包括亚航XAAX5238,主板贸服股)和Tune保障(TUNEPRO5230,主板金融股)。
 
這就是要變賣資產還債減債的意思,不過是好聽的說辭。
 
 
 
結論:
新聞多只是轉載某某方向傳達的資訊,評論也多是一家資源。

如果沒有足夠的眼力,是看不出這看似正面的消息,其實是壞消息。
 
 

http://ckfstock.blogspot.my/2016/05/airasiaceo.html

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2 people like this. Showing 17 of 17 comments

moneySIFU

似是而非,似真还假,半真半假,断章取义,实在要不得。

第一,这个朱冠華傻傻的相信Asia Aviation Capital Limited是只有资产,没有贷款。

第二,相信朱冠華是打工罢了,不是做生意的,哪有人把商业谈判内容早早公告天下,万一谈不成怎么办?
-------------------------------------------
但是收購Asia Aviation Capital Limited,也等於購買43架二手的AirBus A320,他只出價10亿美元。請問這個收購者是看衰Asia Aviation Capital Limited的內在價值?還是看多?怎麼出架這麼便宜?

另外,东尼费南德斯拒绝提供潜在买家详情。

2016-05-31 11:44

JN88

我曾經說過,亞洲航空(Airasia)過度財務槓桿已經達到極限,剩下的日子是忙著還債來減輕債務壓力.怎样还债? 是很多人看不透的,这就是为何有些人永远都不是生意人。

所以亞洲航空从擴展走向稳健而不是萎縮。所以,Airasia會一直嘗試還債。

怎样还债,Use ur brain to think twice.

2016-05-31 11:53

paperplane2016

debt reduce RM1bil last yr, you think they strong or not?

2016-05-31 12:03

JN88

Total debt 10 b right? haha 10 quarter can sapu all...then all plane belong to Tony. Top 5 richest in Malaysia.

2016-05-31 12:08

tkp2

有点硬硬来,太过迁强了。可能没有买在底点,现在要搞破坏。

2016-05-31 12:16

JN88

Bro tkp2 ,nice to see you here. How are you?

2016-05-31 12:17

tkp2

very good, happy lah with AA profit.

2016-05-31 12:18

JN88

Hahaha good to hear that. Must support AA ticket lo.

2016-05-31 12:21

tkp2

i only buy AA call warrant, depend on you guys to support and hold the ticket for me, haha

2016-05-31 12:23

JN88

Okay I stronly support you.

2016-05-31 12:31

Secrecy

TF is CEO, who are the critics?
Freedom of expression is encouraged, who are the critics ?
Critics is naive unless you stands on the line with TF.
By the way , if critics stand on the same line, he or she will do the same things like TF.

TF shows and performs himself openly in the eye of the public, who is critics, a little rat!

2016-05-31 12:33

Secrecy

Old poem: Berries always sour in the eyes of critics, why? He can't eat it or loses money before . That is why critics highly failed in share market.

2016-05-31 12:35

Secrecy

Freedoms of expression is encouraged, once you cross over acceptable boundary, you're naive.
You may ask where is the boundary ? In between One who profits and one who loses .

2016-05-31 12:38

Beza

Don't trust anybody. Do your analysis.

2016-05-31 15:41

Ricky Kiat

this fellow .....i am speechless.....non stop critics.....poor guy with poor mind....

2016-05-31 22:00

股海無涯

money sifu point out the keypoint as i think. tony 2001 buy AA from drbhicom for rm1, for 2 737 aircraft,along with 40m debt. if base on this article calculation, one aircraft is worth rm0.50. The people make this kind of statement clearly is dun have enough knowledge of business and understand of annual report. he expected AAC buying all 43 aircraft using cash.

2016-05-31 22:23

Icon8888

My guess is that there will not be a leasing disposal deal

Usually if the seller is interested, it would do it quietly and not go around town telling everybody

But of course I hope I am wrong

The deal would be good, if materialized

2016-05-31 22:37

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