We’re closely following the Chinese government’s efforts to contain the spread of the corona virus. We’re confident in their ability to overcome this crisis. The UAE is ready to provide all support to China and cooperate with the international community to tackle this virus.
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Coronavirus: when winter comes, spring is never far behind
When the World Health Organisation, the UN’s health agency, declared a public health emergency of international concern over the novel coronavirus on January 30, Director General Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus emphasised that this declaration is “not a vote of no confidence in China”; on the contrary, “China is actually setting a new standard for outbreak response”. The WHO continues to have confidence in China’s capacity to control the outbreak and does not recommend limiting trade and movement; rather, it calls for supporting countries with weaker health systems and accelerating the development of vaccines.
China has maintained close communication and good cooperation with the WHO. For example, the organisation’s experts recently conducted a field visit to Wuhan, the Chinese city where the outbreak began. Dr Tedros, who also visited China several days ago and exchanged views on the outbreak’s containment with Chinese leaders, has applauded the country’s contribution to the world through its extraordinary measures. As a responsible global power, China respects the declaration made by the WHO.
For the Government of China, outbreak containment is of paramount importance now. The novel coronavirus has put Chinese people’s health and security in jeopardy. The Chinese government has not only adopted some of the most stringent and comprehensive prevention and control measures possible since the outset, but also stayed committed to openness, transparency and responsibility in disclosing relevant information and addressing various concerns. China identified this pathogen within record-breaking time, isolated the virus, sequenced the genome and shared it with the WHO and the world. China’s efforts are intended to protect not only the Chinese, but people from all over the world. It is due to China’s robust and effective measures to contain the outbreak that the number of cases in the rest of the world has remained relatively small, accounting for only one per cent of the total confirmed.
The situation is still serious. The novel coronavirus spreads quickly and has a relatively long incubation period, and this means the number of confirmed cases in China is still increasing. But at the same time, we need to be aware that its fatality rate is lower than Mers, Sars or even influenza. With the positive impacts of China’s measures rolling in, many experts predict that a turning point may come soon. Cities are in lockdown and grid management systems are in place to restrict movements. Medical teams from across the country coming to the Hubei province’s aid, donations and supplies are arriving in affected areas daily and new, specialised hospitals are nearly complete after only 10 days of construction. Thus far, 243 patients have been cured and discharged from Chinese hospitals, including an 80-year-old senior citizen. All of this is inspiring news. China is confident, capable and sure to win this war against the novel coronavirus outbreak.
The Chinese embassy in the UAE attaches great importance to the first confirmed case of the virus here. We are keeping in close contact with competent authorities of the UAE and following up closely on those infected – four members of a Chinese family. They are in a stable condition and under medical observation. We are confident that under the UAE’s strong and able healthcare system, they will have a speedy recovery and be discharged soon. Our embassy will continue to work closely with Emirati authorities and call on Chinese visitors and residents to cooperate with all precautionary measures requested by the UAE, including thermal screening and quarantine. We are all in this together, and we will fight until the end together.
We Chinese people often say: “Rough roads test a horse’s stamina, high winds reveal a tree’s strength and adversities try a friend’s character.” At arduous time for China, we are glad to see the UAE leaders and people standing with us in solidarity – in particular, Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed, Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi and Deputy Supreme Commander of the Armed Forces, who expressed on Twitter his confidence in Chinese authorities and readiness to provide all support to China. The Chinese government and people are deeply grateful for the UAE’s support and generosity. Etihad Airways and Emirates are continuing to operate all direct flights to China, which registers their strong confidence in us as well. The Chinese people will not forget that.
Just as Director General Dr Tedros says: “This is the time for facts, not fear; this is the time for science, not rumours; this is the time for solidarity, not stigma.” As the weather warms up into spring, viral activity will naturally decrease, giving our governments and healthcare workers more favourable conditions to win this fight. Time and the momentum are both on our side. We believe that with the concerted efforts of the international community, including China and the UAE, we will soon triumph over the outbreak and safeguard global public health security.
It is important to remember that when winter comes, spring is never far behind. The world is still a wonderful place, and its people will emerge from the winter stronger than ever.
Lin Yaduo is Charge d’Affaires at the Chinese embassy in Abu Dhabi
https://www.thenational.ae/opinion/comment/coronavirus-when-winter-comes-spring-is-never-far-behind-1.972541
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Discussions
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Probability! Yeah, i read about this! But what if coronavirus cannot be contained! Then it would be much worst that common flu! Maybe i am started to get panicky! Just my 1 cent!
2020-02-02 00:37
after a month, the infection outside China is barely 170......98% of these are direct visitor from Wuhan...
That means the spread rate outside China is 0.02%!!
..................
thats definitely lesser than common flu rate
Note: the infection cases we are seeing in China are the result asymptomatic cases which are only surfaces during the incubation period of 14 days..
the actual virus is reported to be spreading in china since october 2019 last year and it did not originate from wuhan market alone..
so what we are seeing (2k cases per day) are long infected cases which are just surfacing...they are not the current rate of infection in china
see how the number appears after another week
Posted by Tan Sri Rick Walker > Feb 2, 2020 12:37 AM | Report Abuse
Probability! Yeah, i read about this! But what if coronavirus cannot be contained! Then it would be much worst that common flu! Maybe i am started to get panicky! Just my 1 cent!
2020-02-02 01:07
If you see the incremental infection per day vs incremental death per day..
Fatality rate was initially 30 for every 1500 new infections...around 2.0%..
But the latest rise is 2500 with death of 40...meaning fatality rate dropped to 1.6%.
This means the true fatality rate is even lesser as only the serious critically ill would have approached health care at the earliest and there were many asymptomatic cases.
true fatality rate could be just 1.0% or lesser if proper healthcare could be provided on time.
https://thewuhanvirus.com/
2020-02-02 11:35
Locals outside China infected will only reach 50 by end of the year
....................................................................
out of the 175 infected internationally so far...how many had no directly link with Wuhan from a close contact?
I think it was only germany and japan had wuhan member to local infection of about 4 people in total.
Thats just 4 people infected out wuhan members of 171 in a time frame of 1.5 months as these visitors had been travelling since the infection started early dec in Wuhan.
4/171 = 2% rise over 45 days...
For simplicity, just take the growth rate of 2% for 1 month, in 1 year (12 months), this grows to:
1.02*to the power of 12 = 1.25
This means the infection count size would increase by merely 25% at the end of the year max.
Thats just additional infection to locals international by max 50 person.
.......
I think above calculation is perfectly reasonable considering the available data
2020-02-02 11:57
the above is true provided the current visitors screening level is maintained internationally or if the number of cases from china comes down and becomes under control and screening is back to normal.
2020-02-02 12:09
Probability! I really hope you are right! Today number of infected at 14k! It's really reaching alarming level!
2020-02-02 15:50
there's around 5 million Wuhanian escape from the city lol
https://www.businessinsider.my/5-million-left-wuhan-before-coronavirus-quarantine-2020-1/?r=US&IR=T
2020-02-02 15:53
Wuhan virus fatality rate outside Hubei is just 0.2%! This is a shocking truth everyone should know.
refer the table on the below link on the infections in China based on territory and fatality.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019%E2%80%9320_Wuhan_coronavirus_outbreak_by_country_and_territory
As of 30th Jan
.............
Outside Hubei, within China infections: 9692 (China) - 5806 (Hubei)
= 3886
Outside Hubei, within China fatality: 213 (China) - 204 (Hubei)
= 9
Fatality rate outside Hubei:
= (9/3886)
= 0.2%
======
2020-02-02 17:39
The huge difference in death rate in Hubei region is due to the lock down by China government on Wuhan where they are forced to live with limited hospitals (healthcare).
...........
The govn is not allowing them to go out for medical treatment and instead building hospitals from scratch within Wuhan....
Purely to safeguard other regions. Pity the Wuhan residents.
2020-02-02 17:40
Probability! I saw few youtube videos on how Wuhan people are handling this situation! It seems they fully understand and having high spirit! They even gather on rooftop and shout positive things to keep themselves in high spirit! Kadoos!
2020-02-02 22:17
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Relax! Coronavirus is Less Dangerous Than the Flu, Says Epidemic Expert
January 31, 2020
All the panic surrounding the Wuhan coronavirus is misplaced. According to experts you should be worried more about the common flu.
https://www.ccn.com/relax-coronavirus-is-less-dangerous-than-the-flu-says-epidemic-expert/
The world is a state of fear after the World Health Organization (WHO) declared it a global emergency but one epidemic expert claims it's no more dangerous than the common flu.
The flu is more dangerous than the Wuhan coronavirus, according to experts.
In the U.S., 6.7% of deaths occurring during the week ended Jan. 18 were attributed to pneumonia and influenza.
So far, 2019-nCoV has largely affected the aged and the infirm.
The danger posed the Wuhan coronavirus (2019-nCoV) is not as lethal as media reports would have you believe, according to an expert.
According to a researcher and epidemic expert at the Oslo Metropolitan University, Svenn-Erik Mamelund, Coronavirus should not be a cause of panic [yg.no]:
People who aren’t usually anxious about the flu probably don’t need to be so concerned about the Corona virus either.
Affecting Mostly The Old With Underlying Diseases.
Per Mamelund, the demographic most likely to die from coronavirus consists of old who have other underlying diseases. Unofficial data from British and Chinese researchers showed that 39 out of 41 deaths blamed on Wuhan coronavirus were in people aged above 50 years [Quartz] . This is not vastly different from the flu which claims mostly senior citizens.
In the U.S., for instance, during the 2017/2018 influenza season, 83% of the deaths
Flu Will Kill More People Than Wuhan Coronavirus
Other experts have echoed Mamelund’s view. Vanderbilt University Medical Center’s preventive medicine and health policy professor, Dr. William Schaffner, recently told Kaiser Health News that “coronavirus will be a blip on the horizon” [Kaiser Health] compared to the flu.
Sheridan Memorial Hospital’s chief medical officer Dr. John Addlesperger, shares the same view that coronavirus is less dangerous than the flu [Sheridian Memorial] noting that influenza killed 35,000 people in the U.S. last year.
An emergency physician with the Hospital Corporation of America, Dr. Cole Sondrup, stated that the Wuhan coronavirus will be less fatal than the flu:
My guess is when the season is over coronavirus will have killed far fewer people than influenza.
Not The Time To Throw Caution To The Wind Though
That said, there is a lot that is unknown about the Wuhan coronavirus. The respiratory disease’s incubation period is also a cause of concern. The period can range from two days to up to two weeks. This allows it to spread undetected through person-to-person contact. Consequently, countries that have repatriated their citizens from the coronavirus hot zone are keeping their nationals in isolation for a number of days as a precautionary measure. France has, for instance, set a 14-day isolation period
Additionally, no vaccine for the Wuhan coronavirus has been developed yet. Thus the only method of containing its spread is physical containment.
2020-02-02 00:07