Swing In Malay Votes

A Swing In Malay Votes Will End BN Ruling

einvest88
Publish date: Fri, 27 Apr 2018, 08:33 PM
The impact to BN when there is swing in Malay votes

3 main ethnic groups for GE13

             

Ethnic Group

DAP

%

PKR

%

PAS

%

BN

%

Total

Malay

601356

9.4%

1217460

9.4%

1346233

20.9%

3261493

50.8%

6426542

Chinese

1484498

43.4%

825648

43.4%

206059

6.0%

900593

26.4%

3416798

Indian

289325

30.2%

285472

30.2%

92712

9.7%

290749

30.3%

958258

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Source

https://politweet.wordpress.com/2015/07/27/analysing-pakatan-rakyats-performance-with-malay-voters-in-peninsular-malaysia-ge13/

The above table tabulated the respective party for the 3 main ethnic groups for last GE13. BN had 50.8% Malay votes, 26.40% Chinese votes and 30.30% Indian votes. The other votes spread between DAP, PKR and PAS.

What will happen in the coming GE14 when there is swing in Malay votes because of major split within the Umno group by Dr M and Muhyiddin? Very obvious, BN will expect to lose at least 15-20% judging from the past incident when s46 and Anwar split from the group. This will bring the Malay votes down to between 30-35%.  

What is the impact of this 15-20% lost in Malay votes for BN? I would say it is serious to BN and may end up the ruling party lose in the coming GE first time in the history.

From the stat in GE13, there was total 62 parliament seats won with majority votes less than 5% and many were within 1-2%. The swing in Malay votes will have very big impact to these seats.

Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 11 of 11 comments

Bruce88

let get our fingers crossed !

2018-04-27 21:41

djibaok

analysis manyak lambatt

2018-04-27 22:46

gohkimhock

say no to kleptocracy!

2018-04-27 23:41

BILLC

Manyak olang akan nangissssss,,,,,dah 60 tahun baru mau tukarrrr,,,,

2018-04-28 11:25

m3379

Statement of fact: if all of Malaysian votes for Pakatan will also end BN ruling.

2018-04-28 13:04

TrippleZ

m3379 statement is wrong. First thing is grammar errors. Second thing is there is no way "all Malaysians will vote one party".

2018-04-28 13:18

Bursalearner

There is growing HOPE, keep believing, our Malay brothers in rural heartlands will raise up to the occasion..

TERKINI:RAFIZI RAMLI-KEMAMAN:MAJORITI MELAYU PERCAYA NAJIB RAZAK AKAN KALAH
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UssI8UGEpRg

2018-04-29 19:03

BILLC

Ini kali lah!

2018-04-29 23:21

Damas

ph next gov

2018-04-30 01:10

5354

Where to find Malay votes to swing?

2018-04-30 04:58

Bursalearner

Invoke: BN's Malay support on the wane
https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/422310

2018-04-30 17:13

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