3 main ethnic groups for GE13 |
|||||||||
Ethnic Group |
DAP |
% |
PKR |
% |
PAS |
% |
BN |
% |
Total |
Malay |
601356 |
9.4% |
1217460 |
9.4% |
1346233 |
20.9% |
3261493 |
50.8% |
6426542 |
Chinese |
1484498 |
43.4% |
825648 |
43.4% |
206059 |
6.0% |
900593 |
26.4% |
3416798 |
Indian |
289325 |
30.2% |
285472 |
30.2% |
92712 |
9.7% |
290749 |
30.3% |
958258 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Source
The above table tabulated the respective party for the 3 main ethnic groups for last GE13. BN had 50.8% Malay votes, 26.40% Chinese votes and 30.30% Indian votes. The other votes spread between DAP, PKR and PAS.
What will happen in the coming GE14 when there is swing in Malay votes because of major split within the Umno group by Dr M and Muhyiddin? Very obvious, BN will expect to lose at least 15-20% judging from the past incident when s46 and Anwar split from the group. This will bring the Malay votes down to between 30-35%.
What is the impact of this 15-20% lost in Malay votes for BN? I would say it is serious to BN and may end up the ruling party lose in the coming GE first time in the history.
From the stat in GE13, there was total 62 parliament seats won with majority votes less than 5% and many were within 1-2%. The swing in Malay votes will have very big impact to these seats.
Statement of fact: if all of Malaysian votes for Pakatan will also end BN ruling.
2018-04-28 13:04
m3379 statement is wrong. First thing is grammar errors. Second thing is there is no way "all Malaysians will vote one party".
2018-04-28 13:18
There is growing HOPE, keep believing, our Malay brothers in rural heartlands will raise up to the occasion..
TERKINI:RAFIZI RAMLI-KEMAMAN:MAJORITI MELAYU PERCAYA NAJIB RAZAK AKAN KALAH
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UssI8UGEpRg
2018-04-29 19:03
Invoke: BN's Malay support on the wane
https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/422310
2018-04-30 17:13
Bruce88
let get our fingers crossed !
2018-04-27 21:41