PERH’s 1HFY13 net loss of MYR92.6m was another letdown as we had expected losses to narrow after 1Q. The commissioning of its new concentration and pelletization plant offers a new income stream while the weak MYR favours exports. However, an effective restructuring remains crucial to its turnaround. We cut our estimates, lowering our FV to MYR0.33 (from MYR0.47), pegged to 0.72x FY14F P/BV. NEUTRAL.
- Another miserable quarter. Perwaja (PERH) posted net loss of MYR74,1m in 1QFY13, widening its 1H losses to MYR92.6m, way deeper than our estimates. Management blamed the poor results to weaker selling prices and higher costs for the annual maintenance of its direct reduced iron (DRI) plant.
- Restructuring crucial. PERH is engaging its financial lenders and major creditors to undertake a restructuring exercise. Petronas and Tenaga Nasional (TNB MK; BUY, FV: MYR10.45) have served various writ of summons to PERH, claiming a combined sum of >MYR200m on its outstanding utilities bills. While the commissioning of its concentration and pelletization plant may improve its profitability going forward, an effective restructuring remains crucial to turn the company around.
- Growing export sales. The sudden weakening of the MYR may be timely to help PERH improve its export sales profitability. Among others, PERH can now export its billets and DRI stockpiled prior to the weakening of the MYR at better margins. Apart from that, the higher MYR proceeds from exports may boost the profitability of its iron ore concentrate and pellets upon plant commission.
- Maintain NEUTRAL, lower MYR0.33 FV. Meanwhile, we expect losses to extend into 2HFY13. While an effective restructuring coupled with the commissioning of its concentration and pelletization plant may push PERH back into the black in FY14, it will likely be below our initial expectations. Thus, we are revising down our estimates. As the stock is currently trading at its lowest level since listing, we are keeping our NEUTRAL rating but lowering our FV to MYR0.33 (from MYR0.47), based on 0.72x FY14 P/BV or mean of its historical trading range.
Source: RHB
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Created by kiasutrader | Jun 14, 2016
Created by kiasutrader | May 05, 2016