WSC’s 9M13 core profit of MYR22m was below expectation, attributed to project delays at its oil & gas and trading divisions as well as margin erosion due to a higher proportion of low-margin projects. Hence, we slash our 2013-14 earnings by 56% and 32% respectively and downgrade the stock to NEUTRAL, with a lower FV of MYR1.56 (from MYR2.50), to incorporate uncertainties over project execution.
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Another weak quarter. WSC‟s 9M13 core profit of MYR22m (-43% q-oq, -58% y-o-y) made up 22% of our and 34% of consensus‟ full-year estimates. This core profit included MYR14m in provisioning for doubtful debts at its industrial services division, and excludes a MYR3.5m negative goodwill from a subsidiary. The poor results were attributed to:i) lower margins, ii) project delays, and iii) increased general expenses from the plantation segment.
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Margins still thin. EBITDA margin dipped 3.5ppts to 2.5% vs 9M12. By segment, we witnessed margin erosion in the oil and gas (O&G), industrial trading and services and other (mainly E&P services) divisions. The renewable energy division continued to chalk up stable margins owing to demand from the oleochemical and palm oil industries.
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Topline hurt by project delays. The company attributed the weaker revenue from its O&G division to: i) delays in its pipe coating projects, which we believe is the MYR611m Statoil Polarled development project, and ii) change in product mix at its industrial trading and services division to “high-margin, low volume‟ products”. This is despite the fact that its O&G segment‟s orderbook remained at a healthy MYR1.2bn, or 72% of its total orderbook of MYR1.7bn.
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Forecasts slashed. We incorporate significantly lower project margins for its pipe-coating business and industrial trading segment, slight margin erosion for its E&P division, and continued losses in the plantation segment. While we expect the Statoil and North Malay Basin projects to contribute positively by 4Q13, we are conservatively assuming lower margins at the initial phases of these projects. Accordingly, our 2013-14 forecasts are slashed by 56% and 32% respectively.
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Downgrade to NEUTRAL. Our FV is cut to MYR1.56 (from MYR2.50)based on a lower P/E of 13x (vs 14x and close to -1 SD of 12x), to reflect higher project execution risks.
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Company Profile
Wah Seong‟s principal activities are in pipe coating and corrosion protection.
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Source: RHB