Masterskill (MASEG) posted a 9MFY13 reported net loss of MYR134.8m. Excluding MYR88.2m in impairment loss during the quarter, its core net loss of MYR46.6m was slightly below estimates. With that, we maintain our NEUTRAL stance, with our FV now at MYR0.37, based on 0.6x P/NTA on FY14 earnings, as we remain cautious pending further clarity on management’s strategy moving forward.
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Another letdown. MASEG’s 9MFY13 revenue plunged 56.6% to MYR51.4m (vs 9MFY12’s MYR118.5m) as it failed to replenish its dwindling student base, weighed down by the reduction in National Higher Education Fund Corp (PTPTN) loans as well as the higher entry requirements stipulated for its nursing courses. While MASEG’s 9MFY13 reported net loss swelled to MYR134.8m from MYR15.4m in 9MFY12, this was distorted by an impairment provision of MYR88.2m during the quarter under review. Stripping out this one-off item, its core net loss of MYR46.6m came in slightly below our expectation. The dismal 3QFY13 results mark MASEG’s eighth consecutive quarterly loss.
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Slashing estimates. We slash both our FY13F and FY14F estimates further by 15.0% and 95.4% respectively as we incorporate lower student numbers as well as higher opex assumptions. We now project a a core net loss of MYR66.5m for FY13F and MYR59.4m for FY14F.
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Maintain NEUTRAL. We believe that the one-off exceptional item is part of the group’s efforts to clean up its books to mark the beginning of a new chapter for MASEG. That said, we remain cautious over its nearterm earnings as we await further improvements should management successfully revamp its business model and steer the company back to the black. Hence, we maintain our NEUTRAL stance on the stock, with our FV now at MYR0.37 (from MYR0.50). W e now value the stock at 0.6x P/NTA (being 20% premium on the stock’s 2-year trough P/NTA valuation of 0.49x) compared to earlier 0.7x P/NTA (40% premium on trough P/NTA). This is pending further clarity on management’s strategy moving forward.
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Company Profile
Masterskill Education Group is an investment holding company whose subsidiaries provide higher education and training in nursing and allied health sciences.
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Source: RHB