We maintain our NEUTRAL call, forecasts and FV of MYR2.23 on WCT. Its 1Q14 results met our forecast but missed consensus estimates. WCT is not a good proxy to the buoyant construction sector in Malaysia, as it has yet to secure any work packages from the Klang Valley MRT project. Also, its property business is facing headwinds on the back of the various sector cooling measures.
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Within our expectations, but misses consensus. 1Q14 core net profit of MYR46.3m (excluding forex loss) came in at 33%/24% of our/consensus full-year estimates. We consider the results within our forecast but below market expectations , as we expect weaker quarters ahead. This would be due to: i) WCT’s disappointing FY13 construction contract wins of only MYR670m (vis-à-vis its target of MYR2bn) and its inability to win any construction job as yet in FY14 , ii) its equally disappointing FY13 property sales of MYR499m (vis-à-vis its target ofMYR775m), and iii) the company’s expected share of initial losses from the newly opened (and 70%-owned) Gateway@KLIA2 shopping mall, which we project at MYR5m in FY14 before it breaks even in FY15.
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Forecasts. Maintained.
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Risks to our view. These include: i) new construction contracts secured by WCT in FY14-15 falling short of our MYR1.5bn per annumassumption, ii) higher-than-expected input costs, and iii) weak demand for its property launches.
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Maintain NEUTRAL. The prospects for the construction sector are strong, underpinned by the MYR73bn Klang Valley MRT project, which will keep industry players busy until 2019. However, WCT is not a good proxy to the construction sector, as it has yet to secure any work packages from the MRT project. In addition, its property business is facing headwinds on the back of the various sector cooling measures introduced by the Government. Our FV is kept unchanged at MYR2.23, which is based on 16x fully-diluted FY15F EPS of 13.9 sen, in line with our benchmark 1-year forward target P/Es of 10-16x for the construction sector.
Source: RHB