While we still hold the view that Datasonic is fairly valued at this juncture, based on the contracts it has in hand, we take a look at some of the jobs that could potentially materialize over the next 3-12 months. Should these materialize, we see room for a further re-rating in our earnings forecasts. For now though, our NEUTRAL call remains, with our FV unchanged at MYR2.04.
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Potential fuel subsidy contract. StarBiz recently reported, citing unnamed sources, that Datasonic could soon secure a contract to facilitate the allocation of petrol subsidies. Meanwhile, an unconfirmedNew Straits Times report said a multi-tier fuel price scheme may potentially be implemented by as soon as September. We think thisproposal makes sense since the Government intends to rationalize its existing subsidy scheme. We note that out of the total MYR40bn in subsidies, fuel subsidies take up more than MYR22bn a year. Should the plan go ahead, we believe Datasonic stands a good chance of securing a role in the scheme, given that it also manufactures the MyKad. This may ensure full integration of the proposed new fuel subsidy scheme with the existing MyKad platform.
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Healthcare initiative. Management is also looking to digitise patients’ medical and health records into their MyKads. Such a system may enable healthcare providers to better track patients’ data. As there are 140 public hospitals and 210 private hospitals in all, we see enormous potential in this area, should the Health Ministry roll out this plan.
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CCTV projects. Recall that the company was involved in the installation of closed-circuit television (CCTV) security camera systems in Penang.We believe that management may look at replicating this model in other parts of Malaysia as the Government is exploring ways to reduce crime, which is one of the National Key Results Areas aimed at improving the socio-economic well-being of Malaysians.
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Maintain NEUTRAL. Although it is too early to quantify the potential earnings accretion from these initiatives, we like Datasonic’s chances of securing them should the Government decide to roll them out, given the company’s success in implementing the latest version of MyKad. We think this could provide room for another re-rating. Retain NEUTRAL call for now, with FV unchanged at MYR2.04, based on a 25.0x FY16 P/E.
Source: RHB