Perisai reported FY14 core profit of MYR11.9m, beating our MYR1.6m forecast but in line with consensus at 100%. However, we continue to recommend a SELL on this stock with a higher MYR0.51 TP (from MYR0.35, 19% downside) based on a 50% discount to its BV/share. This is because we remain concerned over idle assets, potential impairments and its high gearing.
FY14 core profit of MYR11.9m. Perisai Petroleum Teknologi’s (Perisai)FY14 revenue came in at MYR122m, up 9.4% YoY. 63% of this was contributed by its jack-up drilling rig, Perisai Pacific 101, which has been operational since 2H14. The rest of the income came from marine vessel charters, which contributed MYR44.7m to its full-year revenue. Perisai’s mobile offshore production unit (MOPU), Rubicone 3, as well as its derrick lay barge (DLB), Enterprise 3, continued to be a drag on its
earnings as it reported a loss before tax of MYR57.3m. Associate earnings jumped up 500% on the back of steady offshore support vessel (OSV) charters as well as contributions coming in from the floating production storage and offloading (FPSO) Kamelia.
Outlook. We remain pessimistic about the likelihood of its two idle assets getting a contract for FY15. Hence, we have not input any charter contracts for these two assets in our earnings forecasts. Perisai’s second jack-up rig, Perisai Pacific 102, will be delivered in 2H15. It has not received a contract but we are not discounting the possibility of the rig garnering one as the delivery date gets closer. In the event that the two idle assets manage to secure contracts, this will provide an earnings boost to Perisai.
Maintain SELL with a TP of MYR0.51. We reiterate our SELL recommendation on the stock with a TP of MYR0.51 (from MYR0.35) as we switch our valuation methodology to one based on 50% discount to BV/share from P/E. W e believe the valuation methodology and the discount is justified, given: i) that its two idle assets are dragging down earnings but still have value, ii) potential impairments and write offs, and iii) its highly-geared balance sheet at 1.13x net gearing in FY15F.Although earningsgrowth looks impressive, Perisai will be coming from a low base and valuations are still rich at this point, in our view.
Valuation. We are changing our valuation methodology to a P/BV valuation as there are no earnings to be valued using P/E. We are pegging a 50% discount to Perisai’sBV/share, which we believe to be justified given that: i) its two idle assets are dragging down earnings but still have value, ii) potential impairments and write offs, and iii) its highly geared balance sheet at 1.13x net gearing in FY15F.
Source: RHB
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Created by kiasutrader | Jun 14, 2016
Created by kiasutrader | May 05, 2016