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From the frying pan to the fire for Umno as Malay support wavers

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Publish date: Sat, 26 Nov 2022, 10:41 AM

Although it is set to form a unity government with Pakatan Harapan (PH), analysts say that Umno, the country's biggest Malay party, may be hanging by a thread following its decision to work with its long-time foe in backing Anwar Ibrahim as Malaysia's 10th prime minister. 

This is largely due to its drastic slide in Malay support, with both Umno and its coalition Barisan Nasional (BN) losing traditional "safe" seats by the drove to Perikatan Nasional (PN) at the recent general election. 

BN as a whole won only 30 seats – its worst election performance ever, and far fewer than PN and PH which won 73 and 82 seats respectively. 

With only 26 seats of its own in the Dewan Rakyat – just over half the number held by PN component PAS, which won 49 – Umno's future appears to be up in the air. 

Political observer Azizi Safar said any move to join hands with PH and its biggest component party DAP would be a mistake for Umno.

"The Malays, especially those from the rural areas who have been Umno's vote bank, still cannot accept DAP which they see as a chauvanist party that is anti-Malay and anti-Islam.

"This time around, Umno was dealt a heavy blow. After the next election, it might just get a death blow," he said.

Several Umno leaders had said in the wake of the 15th general election (GE15) that the party should remain in the opposition. 

They included Johor Menteri Besar Onn Hafiz Ghazi, Sembrong MP Hishammuddin Hussein and Bera MP Ismail Sabri Yaakob, both of whom had said that they were willing to be sacked for not toeing the party line on cooperating with PH. 

Azizi, a former Penang BN secretary, said the Malays were rejecting Umno because of its president Ahmad Zahid Hamidi, who is embroiled in corruption charges despite his recent acquittal of some. 

The Bagan Datuk MP still faces 47 charges linked to funds from charity outfit Yayasan Akalbudi.

Analyst Mazlan Ali meanwhile said Umno's decision to work with PH would benefit it in terms of avoiding the overlaps in seats which it would otherwise experience if it cooperated with PN. 

"Umno could focus on the Malay seats while PH could focus on the multiethnic seats. 

"The overlap of seats and party interests would then be minimal – unlike with PN, which would clash with Umno in Malay seats," Mazlan, of Universiti Teknologi Malaysia, said. 

Together, PAS and fellow PN component Bersatu made a clean sweep of the seats in Kelantan and Terengganu, winning 14 in the former and eight in the latter.

A similar situation unfolded in Kedah, where PAS and Bersatu won 13 out of 14 seats with a huge majority.

The Padang Serai seat meanwhile will be contested on Dec 7. Polling was postponed following the death of a candidate, incumbent M Karupaiya.

"Many of the seats were considered safe seats for Umno," said Azizi. "But they lost to PN."

Umno will hold its party elections next year after postponing them several times ahead of GE15. 

Cracks among the party's rank and file could be seen as far back as several years ago, with leaders split into two camps: the court cluster and the Putrajaya cluster. 

Mazlan said Zahid could be expected to strengthen his grip on the party, as he appeared to be in full control despite calls for his resignation in the aftermath of the Nov 19 polls. 

"The party elections will weaken Umno leaders who are seen as friendly to PN, such as Ismail, Annuar Musa and Khairy Jamaludin.

"It is highly probable that Zahid will defend his place in the party," he said.

 

 

https://www.malaysianow.com/news/2022/11/26/from-the-frying-pan-to-the-fire-for-umno-as-malay-support-wavers 

Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 6 of 6 comments

George111

Pas is replacing Umno! No mistake about it!

2022-11-26 12:32

RAbbit494

kemenangan besar PN PAS disebabkan masalah dalaman UMNO dan ada pengkianat bagi menjatuhkan presiden parti BN . Dengan kewangan besar dari kerajaan shareton sebelum ini ada memperuntukkan wang kerajaan sebanyak rm 600 billion yang entah kemana dibelanjakan oleh PN telah memberi kelebihan kepada parti PN PAS menggunakan modal yang ada digunakan pada PRU15 bagi menagih undi dan merampas peluang PH untuk menagih undi melayu dari undi BN yang punyai masalah parti BN dan kes presiden parti malah bosku telah disabitkan bersalah dan dipenjarakan.

Dengan keputusan pru15 BN telah kalah teruk dan kesemua kerusinya BN yang kalah telah beralih kepada PN PAS dengan itu tiada sebab BN harus berkerjasama dengan PN PAS untuk tubuh kerajaan seperti sebelum ini . BN juga tidak akan dapat menang kembali kerusi yang mereka kalah kepada PN PAS jika mereka berkerjasama bentuk kerajaan sebaliknya akan mengurangkan kerusi yang mereka miliki sekarang.

Dengan keputusan Sultan Agong untuk bentuk kerajaan perpaduan dan melantik Anwar Ibrahim sebagai PM dengan memiliki majoriti kerusi parlimen terbesar berbanding parti lain dan memperolehi undi terbesar melebihi 5 juta dari pengundian rakyat malaysia.
Bagi menghormati titah Baginda parti lain yang menghormatinya akan menyokong kerajaan perpaduan walaupun sebelum ni mereka menyokong PN PAS.

Dengan hampir kesemua parti menyertai kerajaan perpaduan tidak termasuk PN dan PAS masih berbincang ingin menyertai namun belum memberi kata putus . kerajaan perpaduan telah memperolehi majoriti besar setakat ini 148 kerusi .

Hanya berbicara di waktu lapang
Harap maaf jika ada silap kata

2022-11-26 15:03

DickyMe

Maknanya, undi Melayu cuma bersandarkan wang suapan dan bukanlah sentimen kaum atau agama. Parti mana yang dapat beri sampul tebal dia dapat undi.

2022-11-26 19:48

MZM2511

Pemimpin mana nak mengaku parti hilang kepercayaan kerana perangai buruk atau tindakan bodoh atau tindakan kepimpinan yang lemah. Undi wang sekadar menidakkan bekas penyokong beralih sokongan kepada pihak lain kerana isu-isu tersebut yang ada dalam parti. He He

2022-11-26 20:14

MZM2511

Pada pengamatan saya, kali ini PN lebih berjaya menarik lebih ramai yang undi parti ini kerana jentera kempen pilihan raya yang lebih tersusun dan mantap berbanding jentera BN yang letih tidak bermaya dan tidak tersusun serta wujudnya perpecahan akibat tindakan Zahid memancung tokoh-tokoh UMNO di sesuatu kawasan tertentu..

2022-11-26 20:21

RAbbit494

Sememangnya banyak Undian BN yang akan berubah undi kepada parti lain , ini memang di jangka kerana masalah umno itu sendiri . Dan sebab ini PH begitu yakin dapat menang besar paling kurang 90 kerusi keatas dan 80 kerusi memang pasti boleh dapat dimenangi namun melesat selepas kekalahan beberapa kerusi yang di menangi sebelum ini. Salah satu kerusi permatang pauh nurul izzah anak kepada Anwar Ibrahim namun bernasib baik dapat memenangi kembali beberapa kerusi pengkianat Langkah shareton yang menyebabkan kerajaan PH tumbang belum sampai 2 tahun memerintah.

PN mengagih banyak wang bagi setiap pengundi dari duduk dengar ceramah juga boleh dapat rm 50 dan memakai baju PN sehari dapat rm 50 . Ada pengundi dapat rm 200 dan paling banyak kawasan pagoh rm500 setiap pengundi bagi memastikan presiden PN menang. Belum di kira barangan lain yang digunakan untuk pilihan raya yang sangat mewah pembelanjaannya.

Bukan bermaksud semuanya disebabkan undi sogokkan semata-mata ada juga undi muda terutama melayu yang tidak pasti mengundi parti mana selain umno BN tetapi tidak akan mengundi PH kerana DAP sebab fahaman benci dan takut sekian lamanya . Dan sebab suasana keadaan politik malaysia terwujudlah banyak parti baru dan bebas menjadi calon mencuba nasib mungkin boleh memenangi kerusi BN dan kawasan panas.

Cukuplah setakat ini
Hanya berbicara di waktu lapang
Harap maaf jika ada silap kata


2022-11-26 21:19

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