SOS Read this before you INVEST in Stocks

SOS What is analysts' consensus after GE14?

sosfinance
Publish date: Sun, 13 May 2018, 12:06 PM
VALUATION DOES NOT DETERMINE THE PRICE, IT'S JUST A TOOL TO ESTIMATE A VALUE OF A BIZ

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.....IS THIS ARTICLE FAKE OR FACT?? ANYONE CAN CONFIRM?

WHAT IS ANALYSTS CONSENSUS AFTER GE14?

1.  Sell first, ask later - due to political uncertainty.

2.  More volatile and sentiment driven.

3.  Avoid BN stocks (at least for the short term - as market is very much sentiment driven)

 

WHAT IS SO UNCERTAIN?

1.  Analysts' like to play up the "uncertainty" and react accordingly, to make them look relevant.

2.  Look at Brexit and US as a guide to the market.

3.  Foreign investors (MSCI allocation), as I was told, has been insignificant over the years.

4.  Don't forget, local fund managers still has lots of fire power, don't let the foreign investors lead the market.  

 

STRATEGY FOR INVESTMENT?

1.  Short term, as what analysts consensus observed, because at the moment, there is not major catalyst to lead the market yet.

2.  Market may go sideway for a short while.

3.  Market will go up in the medium term once the political uncertainty subsides.

4.  Long term strategy, this is a non event (a blip).  Buy, when stocks with strong business model (avoid BN stocks) and provide sustainable growth (am talking about at least 3-5 years with double digit growth and not overvalue).

 

WHAT STOCKS TO BUY AND TO SELL?

1.  Should be independently evaluated, because everyone has different time line (ST, MT or LT) and risk reward profile (expected return and amount or risk willing to tolerate) and amount invested (total invested in stocks or properties as against total net worth).

2.  What to buy for LT - always go for sustainable cash flow, growing, pay reasonable dividend, low debt (unless growth stocks), and competent management and of course it is UNDERVALUED. (Price vs Valuation).

3.  As market is currently sentiment driven, direction may change quickly.

Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 6 of 6 comments

VWWong

I wonder how are they going to earn back the Rm40billion without the GST. is not like tomorrow, your chicken rice price will go down to Rm4.50. The cost of living is not going to reverse with or without the GST.

2018-05-13 12:34

tecpower

market watchers expect equities to fall across the board, with government-linked companies, benchmark index stocks and infrastructure companies taking the brunt of a potential selloff. iShares MSCI Malaysia ETF, the biggest exchange-traded fund holding Malaysian stocks, fell 6.2 percent this week. The FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI Index has corrected by 2.6

2018-05-13 12:40

tecpower

These Are the Stocks You Need to Watch After Mahathir’s Malaysia Win
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-05-12/mahathir-s-return-may-spur-moves-in-these-malaysian-stocks

2018-05-13 12:43

Pavillion

Maybe with so many BN and heavy projects stocks will hit low, sentiment won't be good..for a while

2018-05-13 12:47

tecpower

CIMB Investment Bank said foreign investors may reduce their weighting in Malaysia due to short-term uncertainties.

“As such, banking stocks that have never seen foreign inflows in recent months may be negatively impacted. Constructions sector too will be negatively impacted as big projects may be reviewed,” the research house said.

“Consumer stocks however could gain from potential goods and services tax abolishment and minimum wage hike. Exporters may also gain due to their limited exposure to the domestic market,” it said.
https://www.nst.com.my/business/2018/05/368459/short-term-pain-long-term-gain-malaysia-stock-market-analysts

2018-05-13 12:50

teoct

When was market not sentiment driven?

2018-05-13 14:10

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