Stockman blogs
Time for a defensive portfolio
stockmanmy
Publish date: Fri, 29 Apr 2016, 12:12 PM
stockmanmy
0 76
Trade at your own risk. I am here only to vomit out my feelings
End of the road for 2016 for the KLSE?
Move from aggressive to defensive style
Worth thinking.
Especially for rest of 2016.
Looks that way once one take a helicopter view of things.
2015 had the export theme to hide and profit from. This theme will not work again , they never repeat , life is never that simple.
There is no theme that will work for rest of 2016. Some shares may do better than others but very specific and no theme play.
The real test for the rest of 2016 is How conservative one can become. The more conservative will do better.
Overseas..............................From July to Nov, the US market will have to look over their shoulders in case mad man Trump Triumps,
Interest rates fears, profit disappointments from tech to banking, political factors will keep Wall Street down.
Locally........where to find catalysts like the explosive earnings growth of export stocks of 2nd Half 2015?
There is none, except very special cases .
Should start thinking of a portfolio approach with safety first in mind.
Sometimes, attack and aggressive is good
Sometimes, defense is the best policy.
What say you.?
defence starts with low risk shares...shares off the lime lights, shares at consolidations, shares at multi year lows,
shares with very unique qualities
aggressive shares are.........airlines, electrical and electronics, oil and gas, any thing can consumes commodities ( we are in the beginning stages of a commodities rally)
shares with very unique qualities
aggressive shares are.........airlines, electrical and electronics, oil and gas, any thing can consumes commodities ( we are in the beginning stages of a commodities rally)
a defensive diversified portfolio....
CBIP
Ekovest
Ecoworld
Taan / Jtiasa
Bornoil
a balance of potential with least risks.
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1 person likes this. Showing 21 of 21 comments
probably he is looking at d macro picture ....seeing things not right ...quick to do a u - turn ....classic case of a chameleon ...these r d survivalists ...lol
2016-04-29 13:02
Why are these 5 defensive? LOL.
CBIP
Ekovest
Ecoworld
Taan / Jtiasa
Bornoil
2016-04-29 13:05
on 28 Feb, I produce a portfolio of.............AAX, Scientex, RHB, Bornoil, VS, Kesm, TGuan.
the first 3 did very well, the last 4 stays the same.....net net....the portfolio has done all it sets out to do.
this list is a very good defensive list with good potential and minimum risk.
CBIP
Ekovest
Ecoworld
Taan / Jtiasa
Bornoil
2016-04-29 13:19
CBIP
Ekovest
Ecoworld
Taan / Jtiasa
Bornoil
why is this a defensive list?
because
defence starts with low risk shares...shares off the lime lights, shares at consolidations, shares at multi year lows,
shares with very unique qualities
and shares, I do not expect it will go down.
But, still got enough potential to be rewarding.
2016-04-29 13:23
You talked a lot of nonsense but can't make money in stock market. Waste of time
2016-04-29 13:53
He has no idea how stock market works. But If you ask him how to PLP, he is expert
2016-04-29 14:03
on 28 Feb, I produce a portfolio of.............AAX, Scientex, RHB, Bornoil, VS, Kesm, TGuan.
the first 3 did very well, the last 4 stays the same.....net net....the portfolio has done all it sets out to do.
-----------------
KESM did very badly wo.
2016-04-29 14:03
why is this a defensive list?
because
defence starts with low risk shares...shares off the lime lights, shares at consolidations, shares at multi year lows,
shares with very unique qualities
and shares, I do not expect it will go down.
But, still got enough potential to be rewarding.
--------------
Sifu can explain on what are the potential for the shares to go up further? Will the results be improving?
2016-04-29 14:04
for the same period, my biggest exposure is to AAX.....from 25 sen to 39 sen (sold) ....also almost 100%.
2016-04-29 14:13
KESM did very badly wo....................
===========================================================
on 28 Feb, it was $ 4.40......
about same price.
2016-04-29 14:16
Will the results be improving?
defensive stocks do not need the results improving.
defensive stocks requires that I do not lose money on them.
any gains above 10% will be a bonus.
they also work best together....lets just call it a magical concoction of just the right balance of a diversified defensive characteristics.
2016-04-29 18:35
by 10%, I mean portfolio profits ( within a few months).....not referring to individual stocks which of course can be much more than 10%.
2016-04-29 18:42
CBIP, small cap uptrend, unique properties.
Ekovest.....this could be their year, guaranteed growth stock with Duke 3 and monetising Duke 1 and & 2...and personality of the year with Bandar Malaysia, Iskandar . CRECC
Ecoworld.....plenty of catalysts in coming months at multi years low. listing of Ecoworld International, and Spacs. ...and cash injections by major shareholder.
Taan / Jtiasa....we are in the middle of a commodity rally of sorts.
Bornoil....cannot lose money.....potential to fly....where to find?
2016-04-29 18:51
I believe the above shares will move on its own dynamics, independent of the market.
2016-04-29 18:54
this Icon and that fortunebullshit
if you so aggressive, you can put 100% into your favorite stock...and pray.
2016-04-29 21:49
For directors, substantial shareholders and long term investors, there is nothing much to do except go play golf.
For portfolio guys, just make sure you have a defensive strategy, take care of the downside.
For all the rest......
Would buy and hold strategy work in such times?
The risk reward ratio is against buy and hold in most of the stocks. We haven't seen a real bear market for some time already. A real bear market will wipe out all the buy and hold strategy guys.
Is there any theme to buy and hold? Exports? Consumers? Banks?
Actually there is no theme worth a buy and hold strategy.
It's all situational.
2016-05-05 16:03
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Icon8888
At the beginning of the year , you claimed that no other stocks are investable except for export stocks. In short two months, you reverse your position. Is it common for accountant to flip flop like this ?
2016-04-29 12:54