Strong ties between MHTC and private players.
High standards of medical treatment.
We expect continued revenue growth for private healthcare players fuelled by higher demand for quality healthcare services and growing healthcare needs both locally and from around the region. Coupled with the ageing population, overcrowded public hospitals and medical tourism, private hospitals have embarked on an aggressive expansion plan. IHH Healthcare targets to expand bed capacity by 46% (vs 2,822 operating beds in 4Q23), while KPJ aims to hit 5,000 beds by 2028 (vs 3,643 operating beds in 4Q23). Meanwhile, Sunway Healthcare plans to add around 1,842 beds by 2030, taking its total bed count to 3,000.
We believe Malaysia would continue to be the first destination choice for Indonesians seeking medical treatments and second opinions, given its proximity, flight connectivity, cultural affinity, insurance coverage and language. In addition, we foresee Malaysia gaining more market share from Singapore due to its cheaper fees, especially for health screenings and scope services. However, Singapore remains the go-to destination for critical and complex multi-speciality care like radiation therapy. Note that the cost of IVF treatment in Malaysia ranges from RM15-18k as compared to SGD13-19k from a Singapore facility.
We have observed that all three private healthcare players (IHH, KPJ and Sunway Berhad) under our coverage have ambitious plans to increase the contribution from medical tourism. Note that medical tourism contributed about RM230mn (6.0%) to IHH Malaysia operations, RM190mn (5.7%) to KPJ and RM120mn (8.3%) to Sunway Healthcare revenue in FY23. With that, IHH market share is the largest at 10.2%, followed by 8.4% for KPJ and 5.3% for Sunway Healthcare of Malaysia’s total health tourism revenue of RM2.25bn in FY23.
As of 1H24, IHH and KPJ medical tourism revenue in Malaysia surged by 50% and 21.8% YoY, respectively. Meanwhile, international patients in Sunway Healthcare grew by more than 40% in 1H24. Moving into 2H24, we believe that the growth is sustainable, fueled by higher medical travellers and healthcare inflation.
IHH Healthcare Berhad (Hold, TP: RM6.88)
IHH is one of the world’s largest healthcare groups. The group currently owns 11 Pantai Hospitals, 4 Gleneagles Hospitals, as well as Prince Court Medical Centre and Timberland Medical Centre in Malaysia. Prince Court Medical Centre recently won the Medical Tourism Hospital of the Year – Malaysia, in the Healthcare Asia Awards 2024 as well as the Orthopaedic Service Provider of the Year 2024 by Global Health Asia-Pacific.
Island Hospital will become IHH’s 18th hospital in Malaysia pending the completion of the acquisition, which is expected by the end of 2024. Island Hospital is the top medical tourism hospital in Malaysia, supported by an established ecosystem developed over 3 decades. The hospital attracts approximately one out of three inbound foreign patients into Malaysia. Note that medical tourist accounted for about 60% of Island Hospital FY23 revenue. We believe the acquisition will allow IHH Malaysia to build on its leadership position in Penang and will enable IHH to create a medical tourism powerhouse with increased access to the Indonesian catchment area. We believe Island Hospital would be a transformative opportunity for IHH given its leading position in Penang, extensive specialist pool and clinical offerings, as well as its status as the hospital of choice for foreign patients.
In all, we project that IHH’s medical tourism revenue in Malaysia will at least double in FY25 (compared to approximately RM230mn in FY23). Furthermore, we see synergies through cross referrals within the IHH network, increased medical tourism penetration, group procurement and process optimisation. In addition, the group will establish a new 200-bed tertiary hospital in Sarawak, targeting foreign patients from neighbouring countries.
KPJ Healthcare Berhad (Hold, TP: RM2.00)
KPJ is a homegrown brand with over 40 years of experience and 29 hospitals in Malaysia. The group recently won 11 awards at the Global Health Asia-Pacific Summit and Conference 2024. Malaysia’s status as a medical tourism destination presents an opportunity to attract international patients. KPJ plans to focus its resources on the Indonesia and Bangladesh markets. For instance, the group organised the KPJ Jakarta Expo, a conversion-driven initiative to create awareness and a platform to showcase KPJ hospitals to Indonesia patients. Thus far, we have gathered that the feedback has been positive with a slew of enquiries.
Looking forward, KPJ will pursue events in cities across Indonesia, including Surabaya, Bandung and Semarang. Meanwhile, the group has forged a partnership with Marriott International to elevate the standard of care offered to patients, drawing on the expertise from the hospitality sector in healthcare services. We expect KPJ’s health tourism revenue to grow by 35% in FY24 (vs. 21.8% in 1H24). Growth would be fuelled by i) collaboration with local agencies in Indonesia, ii) high demand for KPJ Kuching and iii) 20-30% health tourism growth from its ten hospitals in the Central region.
Thereafter, the group plans to raise market share to 20% (vs 8.4% in FY23) within 2-3 years via: i) 13 rep offices in Indonesia, ii) full-fledge health tourism team, iii) double investment for promotion and iv) leverage on strategies on Mayo Clinic affiliation, robotic, heart & lungs and preterm delivery management.
Sunway Berhad (Buy, TP: RM4.76)
Sunway Healthcare Group (SHG) is a leading integrated private healthcare group under the healthcare arm of the Sunway group of companies. SHG is 84% owned by Sunway Berhad and 16% held by GIC Pte Ltd, Singapore. Sunway now has three tertiary hospitals in its stable: Sunway Medical Centre Sunway City, Sunway Medical Centre Velocity, and Sunway Medical Centre Penang. The three hospitals have a combined licensed bed count of 1,158 and more than 400 specialist consultants.
The ongoing expansion projects are on track, with SMC Damansara set to begin operations in 4Q24 and SMC Ipoh in 1Q25. We expect these new facilities to replicate the success of previous openings, achieving EBITDA-positive results within 12 months. Currently, SMC Damansara is in the pre-commencement phase, and both new hospitals have secured operating licenses and completed the recruitment of doctors and nurses. The group has received the green light from its strategic partner GIC, which holds a 16% stake in SHG, and is currently engaging with investment bankers to prepare for the IPO. Given the momentum and operational success, we believe that an IPO by the first half of 2026 is highly probable, well before the agreed deadline of 2027.
SHG is among players in Malaysia’s medical tourism sector, receiving a higher number of international patients seeking high-quality and affordable healthcare solutions. Sunway’s International Patient Centre is a one-stop centre that handles everything from translation and visa processing, to billing and appointments. Coupled with the ongoing expansion of SMC Penang, phase 2 (110- beds by 3Q24) and 10 representative offices in Indonesia, we expect SHG foreign patient revenue to increase by 48% in FY24 (vs. RM120mn in FY23).
Other potential beneficiaries of the higher medical tourist arrivals include TMCLIFE (Not Rated) and ALPHA (Not Rated). TMC plans to expand its referral centres in Vietnam and Indonesia. The group is on an expansion trajectory, with significant additional capacity and capabilities coming in the next 2 years, including developing a new integrated medical hub, Thomson Iskandar, in Johor. Meanwhile, Malaysia is one of the world’s top medical destinations, and fertility treatments are amongst the most sought-after treatments for healthcare travellers. Foreign patients from Indonesia come to Malaysia for IVF due to cheaper cost, higher pregnancy rates, better technology and better execution. In addition, Chinese tourists are expected to return significantly under the current visa-free scheme. Under Alpha’s Malaysia operations, we note that customers from foreign countries contributed 39.6/44.9% of its total revenue for FY22/23.
Source: TA Research - 11 Sept 2024
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SUNWAYCreated by sectoranalyst | Oct 04, 2024
Created by sectoranalyst | Oct 02, 2024
Created by sectoranalyst | Oct 02, 2024