Alex™
[Q&A] [Free for all] Giving back to i3 community
Alex™
Publish date: Sun, 25 Nov 2018, 08:00 PM
Alex™
0 16
Fundamental-volume trader. I use both top-down and bottom-up approach in stock selection. Mainly on US Market, while having some exposure to Bursa Malaysia.
Inasmuch as I love the art of trading (and the money that comes with it), I believe sharing I know will perhaps smoothen the learning curve of others who just started out like me many years ago.
Core trading principle: Risk management and trading psychology come first, then world view and sectoral analysis.
Inasmuch as I love the art of trading (and the money that comes with it), I believe sharing I know will perhaps smoothen the learning curve of others who just started out like me many years ago.
Core trading principle: Risk management and trading psychology come first, then world view and sectoral analysis.
A place for Q & A
Past Questions & Answers [2018]
Q1 @ Sslee on INSAS valuation
https://ia601504.us.archive.org/5/items/IsINSASUndervalued/Is_INSAS_undervalued.m4a
Q2 @ dragonslayer on SAPNRG & HIBISCUS target price
with related question by
2b 5W on crude oil price commentary.
archive.org/download/Recording9_201811/Q2_SAPNRG_HIBISCUS.m4a
Q3 by probability, lizi, and enigmatic, on the characteristics of a growing stock price (to multibaggers).
archive.org/download/Q3TheNextMultibagger/Q3_The_next_multibagger.m4a
Q4 apolloang @ how to buy expensive toy by investing in the capital market
ia800709.us.archive.org/2/items/Recording11_201811/Q4_buying_expensive_toy.m4a
Q5 moneykj @ ASAP acquisition effect on Orion, annual report screen, and little bit of technical perspective
archive.org/download/orion_asap/Q5_ORION_ASAP.m4a
More articles on Alex™
Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 50 of 93 comments
Alex sifu,
How do you think of TM prospect? can keep for let say 1 year? expected 30% increases then? since hit the lowest price and TM consider big bro in fibre infra...
2018-11-26 15:07
CharlesT , Why complain ler ?
isnt its good for healthy discussion .
as good as we need to know the shananegans by the former gov. falsification ma ... its every Malaysian's right and responsible lah.
2018-11-26 17:16
Haha.... Yes to be fair, need to answer one by one. Hope everyone sabar. Just reached home from work, dinner pun belum makan
2018-11-26 19:37
CharlesT , its ok lah ...
Nothing to loose .
As long as we dont ask stupid question like those former gov. Politician do its fine lo.
2018-11-26 19:50
Dear Alex,
Thank for your recorded voice answer to INSAS questions. INSAS Q1 result out EPS 4.02 cents and interim dividend 2 cents.
Thank you.
2018-11-26 20:26
Q2 @ dragonslayer on SAPNRG & HIBISCUS target price
with related question by
2b 5W on crude oil price commentary.
Shared my thought process on the oil counter.
https://archive.org/download/Recording9_201811/Recording%20%289%29.m4a
Now QR season, everyone ganjiong, haha
2018-11-26 22:42
aiyo dragon...Alex revealing the pearl of wisdom to u liao...
can see see and chase the pearl hidden in bungaraya...but i believe u cannot catch liao..kikiki
2018-11-26 23:01
aiya Alex..i myself kena whack here and there...now i need to listen to those teach liao...
2018-11-26 23:09
Not only you bro... i3 contestants majority can't even beat fd rate also, myself included...haha...salary still terbest
2018-11-26 23:12
Alex sexy voice...now attract many lady subscribers already...they dont mind paying 5k...
Jon choivo...can match the voice or not?
2018-11-26 23:35
Tyyap use his wine glass and smoking skills to attract his subscribers...
what Jon Choivo have? English literature writing skills kah?
2018-11-26 23:37
To add bit info of the world 3 major producers Saudi /Russia/Usa
They almost contribute equally 10mil barrel oil per day.
That why the role from opec will be a lot less significantly .
2018-11-27 03:08
Somehow, i trust the drastically pull back of recently crude oil price is Saudi's political fren with D.trump request during the mid election.
What I'm trying to say is , demand doesnt disappeared just like that.
Btw, Shale oil cost is lowered from $72/ to $58/ ...
So, any below the shale oil cost level will not sustainable.
2018-11-27 03:13
Alex...
I have a question before I posted my direct question.
Ques: If I post my question today roughly when I can get the answer?
2018-11-27 10:25
The real thing is this forum is flooded by sifu-sifu until Alex cannot answer liao.
2018-11-27 10:31
Posted by 天龙八部≈ 扫地僧 > Jun 1, 2016 09:14 AM | Report Abuse
Today is PENTA's show time
----------------------------------
10 times gain. So pro..
2018-11-27 10:45
Unicorn is right... Haha.. Duit bro, I should be taught by you, that's more proper
2018-11-27 12:53
In the 2000 time. Mayoshi son, all his investments die, except for Alibaba. Every single one of his investment.
Is that skill or luck?
====
Posted by probability > Nov 25, 2018 08:57 PM | Report Abuse
question: how to spot another Ali Baba in Chinese market?
feels like this is where a dedicated and united effort from the whole of i3 members will benefit everyone...
Masayoshi Son spotted it early with a million in hand and he became an instant billionaire from this stock alone..
and there is something about Masayoshi which makes him able to spot..and that means a strategy exists..
isnt that worth the effort - to find out?
2018-11-27 12:58
Its funny how people keep praising my english writing, when i have never considered it an advantage, or flaunted it haha.
No idea, my time not free. And i write for myself about things i want to write about.
A few people who read and write insightful comments is enough for me, so is one, so is none.
====
probability Tyyap use his wine glass and smoking skills to attract his subscribers...
what Jon Choivo have? English literature writing skills kah?
26/11/2018 23:37
2018-11-27 13:06
in life many books teach us how to win the battle but we might lose in the long term war...
read this book... it powers us to win the battles and conquer the war also.....
https://www.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://jonanxin.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/thick-black-theory-book-cover.png&imgrefurl=http://jonanxin.com/thick-black-theory-2/&h=1004&w=700&tbnid=GRmMqeElobHUJM:&q=thick+black+book&tbnh=160&tbnw=111&usg=AI4_-kRDkM2kbh0vxMk1LJYfDoJ96hnQ7w&vet=12ahUKEwjhoJay8PPeAhVKLo8KHScRDToQ_B0wEHoECAQQEQ..i&docid=nvYrzK8K8N3r7M&itg=1&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwjhoJay8PPeAhVKLo8KHScRDToQ_B0wEHoECAQQEQ
Posted by Alex™ > Nov 27, 2018 12:53 PM | Report Abuse
Unicorn is right... Haha.. Duit bro, I should be taught by you, that's more proper
2018-11-27 13:54
Haiyo ! Who's the itchi hand to red flag at Alex sifu land ?
Why waste time flag ler !
Want to flag flag all lah, why purposely flag all commenters here except Duit master ... we have zahid hadi conspiracy enough already...
Don't make i3 another one.
Cherrish life la dude.
2018-11-28 12:49
Q3 by probability, lizi, and enigmatic, on the characteristics of a growing stock price (to multibaggers).
Heard it myself and found that you people might have known already. Thank you for giving chance....
https://archive.org/download/Q3TheNextMultibagger/Q3%20The%20next%20multibagger.m4a
Venfx bro... interesting link about oil price and trump's election. It's hard to distinguish whether the news surrounding oil price is fact or opinion. Like Trump always said, the media is biased. So nowadays I hardly read news, but go straight to the data. But leh, no money to buy paid data, haha
2018-11-28 17:01
14 min covered now. Will finish rest after hot dinner being served now..
2018-11-28 23:47
Alex bro, appreciate your efforts here.
TA wise hibi undergo a consolidation , perhaps a consolidate stage first before any attempting to load up at this juncture.
Let Brent oil tell us what need to be done.
2018-11-28 23:54
very enlightening and refreshing Alex....
Gillette and Coca Cola...low cost, high margin...high sales volume potential
2018-11-29 00:08
Having some electrical knowledge... i always use the below analogy:
(i) Sales Volume potential is like electricity Current I....and,
(ii) Gross margins are like Voltage, V...
Earnings = Sales x Margin = I x V = Power in Watts
We need to see where lightning can strike......
i.e where there is huge pent up electric potential difference (voltage)....and sparks will lead to further sparks...and release an enormous jolt of current.......
2018-11-29 00:16
Haha !
Probability always keep thing deep in his head with his unique own way... salute .
I prefer Light asset and low capital, accompanied with uncommonly profit ... problem is here to look ?
This has always a biz that has good moat and well protected with their patter right through innovation .
What our school teached in old days ?
Their system not focusing on innovative , but just ask the results the headmaster want .
Western always good in stimulate and develope new idea.
Eastern good in adopt with environment.
Germany goid at industrialisation.
Malaysia School perhap can promote a mixed racial cultural and values.
SORRY KELUAR TAJUK SUDAH ...
2018-11-29 00:35
i you watch a lightening strike in super slow motion X 100...viewed upside down....thats exactly like how a business or tree grows....
each branch generating more branches (RR)..while all the branches thickens and widens (ROE).....
Growth = RR x ROE
RR = Reinvestment rate
ROE = Return on Equity...
The above are the two engines....the Driving Force of performance
2018-11-29 00:37
VenFX....yes the moat is what represented by high ROE or ROIC...which should be sustainable ...resilient...or even increasing.....
when you combine a high potential for Reinvestment Rate x ROIC...
you get an exponential growth.
2018-11-29 00:41
Find a biz that can grow by its own ,
Like cow grass
Growth everywhere as long environmental fit.
Growth stronger if cut twice a months.
Its humble but friendy.
2018-11-29 00:41
yup...thats just maths...the difficult part...is finding the type of business that fits these maths...ha ha....
it wont come easy...
2018-11-29 00:45
It would be easier if the 3 wisdom combined from the
Usa (innovative), German (industrialisation) and Chineese's Dao to blend in with new environment.
They can create earth :)
2018-11-29 00:52
Q4 apolloang @ how to buy expensive toy by investing in the capital market
https://archive.org/download/Recording11_201811/Recording%20%2811%29.m4a
gg got noise in the background,
just realised that i recorded it with fan on (sorry boss)
apollo bro is way more experienced than me, paise
2018-11-29 22:15
Alex sifu, pls skip my earlier question.
Got anorher one more seriously question to conern.
What is the best simple & quick way to avoid from investing a counter that can fall in the " Impairment lost " zone ?
2018-11-29 22:20
After seeing todays qtr results , there are few branded name eg.; myeg armada kps and lots more.
2018-11-29 22:24
ok venfx bro.... call me bro can d =D
i go ask my accounting lecturer veterans on impairment thingy first... then publish here hehe....
2018-11-29 22:28
hehe done moneykj....apology if there's a pause in between the audio (coz my audio cutter kaput d), wish to learn from you =)
ASAP acquisition effect on Orion, annual report screen, and little bit of technical perspective
https://archive.org/download/orion_asap/cut.m4a
2018-12-06 16:16
next question to attempt: Venfx bro on avoiding counter with 'impairment loss', e.g., myeg, armada, kps.... give time study xia hehe
2018-12-09 20:11
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hi Alex, how do you think about Annjoo and Gkent? worth to invest and why?
2018-11-26 13:47