THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

TOP 10 REASONS WHY CARIMIN PETROLEUM IS NOW A STRONG BUY (Calvin Tan Research)

calvintaneng
Publish date: Fri, 26 Jan 2018, 11:41 AM
calvintaneng
0 1,832
Hi Guys,

I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.

Dear Friends/Investors of i3 Forum,

 

THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

Author: calvintaneng   |   Latest post: Fri, 26 Jan 2018, 12:16 AM   |  >> Go to Blog Dashboard

  

 

TOP 10 REASONS FOR BUYING CARIMIN PETROLEUM

 

1) AT 39 SEN CARIMIN HAS FALLEN BY 65% FROM ITS RM1.10 IPO PRICE.

BUYING CARIMIN NOW IS BUYING AT HUGE DISCOUNT TO IPO PRICE.

 

2) MARGIN OF SAFETY

At 39 sen with NTA of 67 Sen Carimin is selling at a nice Discount of 42%. This meets Ben Graham criteria of 30% Discount To NTA as a Margin of Safety.

 

3) CARIMIN ASSETS ARE VALUABLE REAL ESTATES UNDERSTATED WITH DEEP VALUE

A look at Property/Plants/Equipments (PPE) of CARIMIN reveals the Happy Discovery of Highly Undervalue Solid Assets

Take for example (Refer to Annual Report of Carimin under Property)

 

(viii) No.7, Jalan SS15/2A, Subang Jaya, 47500 Selangor Darul Ehsan....................Book Value...Rm224,911

Double storey intermediate terrace shophouse (Gross built up 2,646 sq ft)

 

WHOA! A 2 Storey Shophouse in SS15 SUBANG JAYA (HOT AREA) has a Book Value of only Rm224,911?

 

What is the Current Market Value?

For that let us go to iproperty.com website

 

Selangor

RM 3,800,000

SS15/4D- 2 storey shop, Subang Jaya

Selangor

    • Built-up : 2,147 sq. ft.
    • Land area : 20x65
    • Whoa! A Crazy Rm3.8 MILLIONS ASKING PRICE?
    •  
    • This is the address of Carimin office in SS15 Subang Jaya. All can go SEE & VERIFY YOURSELF
    •  
    • ((( No.7, Jalan SS15/2A, Subang Jaya, 47500 Selangor Darul Ehsan)))

       

      4) AFTER THE CARNAGE OF OIL COLLAPSE MANY O&G COMPANIES HAVE GONE BANKRUPT ONE BY ONE: SO CARIMIN LEADERS BEING HANDS ON "SEE" GREAT OPPORTUNIES IN THE BUSINESS OF DECOMISSIONING, WELL PLUG & DISMANTALATION & STRIPPING OF ASSETS

      The Board of Directors of Carimin wishes to announce that Carimin Engineering, a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company, had on 5 April 2017 entered into a collaboration agreement with EMAS (“COA”). Carimin Engineering has experience and expertise on hook-up and commissioning (HUC), topside maintenance of offshore facilities, supply of marine vessels, onshore fabrication and the provision of manpower services in the oil and gas platforms in Malaysia, whereas EMAS is principally involved in provision of engineering and technical innovative solutions for pre-commissioning, commissioning, decommissioning, well plug and abandonment services.

      So CARIMIN FORMED A JV WITH EMAS WHOSE PARENT COMPANY IS EZRA WHICH IS GOING INTO LIQUIDATION

      EMAS is a 99.99% owned subsidiary of Emas Energy Services Pte. Ltd., a company incorporated in Singapore. The parent company of the group is Ezra Holdings Ltd (“Ezra”). Additional information on EMAS may be obtained from Ezra website at http://www.ezraholdings.com/

       

      This shows that CARIMIN BOSSES are on the look out for opportunities & not afraid of dirty work hands on.

      This was what happened to Muda who recycled waste paper & rubbish.

      In these bad times many O& G are going kaput & turned belly up! So there is opportunity to make money in cannibalising & salvaging leftover for sale.

      This kind of Value Add Management is rare.

      Example is TMakmur willing to rear animals for sale in its plantations (TMakmur later taken private!)

      Another one is Scientex. Scientex not only build houses. They also do the dirty manual work of making their own cement bricks to save cost. By cutting cost Scientex is able to compete against all other Housing Developers in Johor!

       

      SO KUDOS TO CARIMIN MANAGERS!!!

      CALVIN GIVES THUMBS UP!!!

       

      5) MAJOR SHAREHOLDERS WITH MYOPIC VISION SOLD DOWN CARIMIN SHARES ON THIS NEW JV

      RIGHT AFTER THIS ANNOUNCEMENT ONE SHAREHOLDERS DUMPED CARIMIN SHARES BELOW 30 SEN

       

      Particulars of substantial Securities Holder

      Name DYNAC SDN. BHD.
      Address No. 16, Jalan Skudai, Straits View 
      Johor Bahru 
      80200 Johor 
      Malaysia.
      Company No. 85602-M
      Nationality/Country of incorporation Malaysia
      Descriptions (Class & nominal value) Ordinary Shares
      Name & address of registered holder AmSec Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn. Bhd. (Pledged securities account for Dynac Sdn. Bhd.) 22nd Floor, Bangunan AmBank Group 55, Jalan Raja Chulan 50200 Kuala Lumpur

      Details of changes

      Currency: Malaysian Ringgit (MYR)

      Type of transaction Description of Others Date of change
      No of securities
      Price Transacted ($$)
      Disposed   05 Apr 2017
      3,536,500
       

       

      Circumstances by reason of which change has occurred Disposal of shares through open market
      Nature of interest Direct
      Direct (units) 1,410,000
      Direct (%) 6.029
      Indirect/deemed interest (units) 0
      Indirect/deemed interest (%) 0
      Total no of securities after change 14,100,000
      Date of notice 08 Apr 2017

       


      Remarks :
      This notice was received on 10 April 2017.

       


      Announcement Info

      Company Name CARIMIN PETROLEUM BERHAD
      Stock Name CARIMIN
      Date Announced 10 Apr 2017
      Category Change in Substantial Shareholders Interest Pursuant to Form 29B
      Reference Number CS2-10042017-00080

      SO STUPID INDEED!!

      It was the dirty work of Muda in paper recycling that caused Muda to go up from 32 sen to Rm2.40 & split (Up 700%)

      And OKA who deals with Longkang also up 600% from 35 sen to over Rm2.00

      Don't look down on Longkang & sampah business! So is Carimin decommisioning job!! If it pays well, so what?

       

      6) CARIMIN HAS MANAGABLE DEBT WITH HIGH NTA & HIGH CASH RESERVE

      Being a Man Power Company there is little Mark Down of Assets depreciation unlike others whose Equipments are already aged. In fact we already see the Valuable Examples of Carimin understating Its Real Estate Value.

      So going forward CARIMIN has survived while others face insolvency due to horrendous debt

       

      7) JOBS ARE WELL SECURED IN RAPID (Pengerang RAPID), WEST COASTAL HIGHWAY (WCE) & KL WATER WORKS

      Fear of payment default is little as Paymasters of Petronas, Malaysia Govt & other Entities of Repute.

       

      8) RM60 MILLIONS JOB AWARD & OTHER SERVICES BY PETRONAS ENSURE GOOD COMING QUARTERS

       

      The Board of Directors of Carimin is pleased to announce that Carimin Bina Sdn. Bhd. ("CBSB"), a subsidiary of Carimin, had on 23 June 2017 received a Letter of Award dated 22 June 2017 (“LOA”) as the exclusive Sub-Contractor from Urban Masterpiece Sdn. Bhd. for the construction of all civil and engineering works in respect of the rainwater storage tank, consisting of 2 numbers of tube wells, 1 basement tank, 1 level of service/maintenance floor and external works (excluding mechanical and electrical works) for a project in relation to the management, control and store water for flood mitigation purposes in the area of Jalan Termeloh, Taman Tasik Titiwangsa, Kuala Lumpur, subject to the terms and conditions as stipulated in the LOA (“Sub-Contract”).  

       

      2. THE SUB-CONTRACT SUM

       

      The Sub-Contract is estimated to be approximately RM60,000,000.00 (Ringgit Malaysia: Sixty Million Only).

       

      3. DURATION OF THE SUB-CONTRACT

       

      The anticipated period for the completion of the Sub-Contract shall be twenty-four (24) months from the date of site possession. Tentatively, the dates on which CBSB shall commence and complete the Sub-Contract are as follows:-

       

      a) The Date of Site Possession: 16 October 2017

      b) The Date of Completion: 15 October 2019

       

      Estimating Rm30 Millions for One Year with 12% profit CARIMIN already show a future profit of Rm3.6 Millions just from this one job award.

       

      And latest is

      The Board of Directors of Carimin is pleased to announce that the Company's wholly-owned subsidiary, Carimin Engineering Services Sdn Bhd (“CES”), had on 20 September 2017 accepted a Letter of Award dated 20 September 2017 (“LOA”) from PETRONAS Carigali Sdn Bhd (“PETRONAS Carigali”) for Provision of Maintenance, Construction and Modification (MCM) Services (Package C (Offshore) Peninsular Malaysia Oil) (“the Contract”).

      2. INFORMATION OF THE CONTRACT

      The contract duration will be for a primary period of five (5) years with one (1) year extension option effective from 20 September 2017 and will expires on 19 September 2022, at an agreed fixed schedule of rates.

      The details of the scope of works in relation to the Contract will be addressed in a work order which will be issued by PETRONAS Carigali and shall include any or all other work and services which is generally related to Topside Structural Maintenance, Workover Preparation and Facilities Improvement Project.

      SO FOR THE NEXT 5 YEARS CARIMIN'S FUTURE IS GUARANTEED BY THE JOB AWARD FROM PETRONAS. A MAMMOTH RM170 BILLIONS TOTAL CAPEX FOR PENGERANG RAPID - THERE WILL BE LOTS MORE JOBS COMING CARIMIN WAY

       

      9) THE ARRIVAL OF SAUDI ARAMCO INTO RAPID FOR DOWNSTREAM O&G PROJECTS

      ARAMCO BEING WORLD LARGEST OIL COMPANY IS INVESTING USD7 BILLIONS (RM28 BILLIONS) INTO RAPID.

      OTHERS WILL COME LATER.

      AND CARIMIN HAS AN EVEN BRIGHTER FUTURE!!

       

      Saudi Aramco’s US$7b investment in Rapid tops Asean’s M&A list

      Image result for saudi aramco picture

       

      .

10) WITH SO GOOD FUTURE AHEAD CARIMIN BOSSES & INSIDERS ARE LOADING UP CARIMIN SHARES IN UNISON

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CALVIN HAS A MODEST  TARGET PRICE FOR CARIMIN AT 80 SEN

 

REGARDS, Calvin Tan Research, Singapore

 

After posting that in a very bleak time Carimin even dropped to a low of 21.5 sen

 

AS OF TODAY SEPTEMBER 22ND 2019 CARIMIN HAS BROKEN THE TARGET PRICE OF 80 SEN CHUN CHUN TO CROSS RM1.00!!

So from its lows Carimin has gone up a Whopping 400%

AMAZING INDEED!!

 

 

 

 

 

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Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 50 of 54 comments

lextcs

it sud be almost limit up by now...but why isn't it?

2018-01-26 15:53

calvintaneng

AND ONE LADY BY THE NAME OF

MISS LIM GUAN NEE 19-Jul-2017 Notice of Interest 15,698,300 0.000 View Detail

SUDDENLY APPEARED IN TOP HOLDERS OF CARIMIN WITH 15.6 MILLION CARIMIN SHARES!

THIS SHOWS SOME BIG THINGS MIGHT BE BREWING IN CARIMIN

2018-01-26 15:53

calvintaneng

CARIMIN?

APA ITU?

CARI AS IN SEARCH OR FIND IN MALAY

MIN SOUNDS LIKE MONEY/WEALTH

SO MAY ALL FIND SUBSTANTIAL WEALTH IN CARIMIN PETROLEUM!!

2018-01-26 15:53

Alex™

chun chun call mr calvin =D

2018-01-26 16:31

calvintaneng

Alex™ chun chun call mr calvin =D
26/01/2018 16:31

Thks Alex

Hopefully, this will be another Waseong

2018-01-26 17:21

MissElizaClarke

whats the TP?

2018-01-26 23:27

apolloang

datuk calvin now u follow many crook tactics ar?already up more than 10% today, now u post and call people to buy ar? u been buying at 38cts a few days ago isn't it?

2018-01-26 23:36

calvintaneng

Eliza
Target price is 80 sen.

2018-01-26 23:44

apolloang

u gotta be kidding me rite.....hahaha

2018-01-26 23:46

apolloang

I tot u u say butaland TP 80cts

2018-01-26 23:47

calvintaneng

Sultan Apolloang,

I first bought at 42.5 sen. Then average down on weakness.

See, i called for a buy on jaks at 40 sen. After it crosses 50 sen i stopped. In fact i told all to sell jaks at Rm1.00

As for Dutaland i first promoted at 39.5 sen. Even at 55 sen i still think dutaland is undervalue.

And Carimin Director last purchase price was 47 sen.

So Carimin is still cheap in view of it being

a) AN ASSET PLAY. AS IT IS SELLING AT MORE THAN 30% DISCOUNT TO NTA

b) IT IS NOW A TURNAROUND PLAY AS BRENT CRUDE HAS CROSSED USD70.

c) LATER IT WILLB E LIKE MASTEEL AS A CYCLICAL GROWTH STOCK. BY THEN PRICE SHOULD HAVE CROSSED 80 SEN AND MANY OTHERS WILL GO GAGA AND SRART CHASING

FOR NOW PRICE IS STILL LOW.

2018-01-26 23:52

calvintaneng

DUTALAND FIRST TARGET PRICE IS RM1.00
NEXT DEPENDS ON DUTA YAP

2018-01-26 23:55

apolloang

carimin director yeoh 1st bought at 28cts only,last year....anyway I dunno u post to buy jaks at 40cts

2018-01-26 23:57

apolloang

from carimin forum

apolloang anyway also down a lot from 60cts....if bought over 50-60cts only option is hold.it won't up a lot but down also limited

27/11/2017 18:16

datuk calvin if u tell me earlier this stock I hentam liao,i saw this when 31cts only last month. 2 rounds already I miss on this stock.1st round is when the director yeoh bought at 28cts only

2018-01-27 00:04

calvintaneng

Go to Jaks forum tread.
Scroll back to december 16 2014

I CALLED FOR A BUY ON JAKS AT 40 SEN.

2018-01-27 00:04

apolloang

sorry type wrong....the director name is lim yew hoe

2018-01-27 00:05

apolloang

he bought 5,000,000 july last year.that time only 28cts

2018-01-27 00:07

apolloang

2014 I am not in this forum yet....haha

2018-01-27 00:07

John《 HIBISCUS 》 TP RM2

I tot u just said all in in Opcom??

2018-01-27 00:09

apolloang

opcom already up from 36 cts to 53cts before dropping now.....hehe

2018-01-27 00:12

calvintaneng

WHEN JAKS WAS LOW AT 40 SEN I WAS VERY BULLISH. JAKS OVER RM1.00 OTHERS ARE BULLISH

WHEN MASTEEL WAS 66 SEN I WAS SO BULLISH. MASTEEL OVER RM1.50 MANY OTHERS TURNED VERY BULLISH

WHEN RCECAP WAS 27.5 SEN I WAS BULLISH. WHEN RCECAP OVER RM1.50 MANY TURNED BULLISH

WHEN DUTALAND WAS 39.5 SEN I WAS BULLISH. NOW DUTALAND AT 60 SEN GO SEE WHO IS BULLISH THERE?

SO WAS WANGZNG AT 75 SEN, PRESTAR AT 46 SEN AND WASEONG AT 73 SEN AND INSAS AT 65 SEN.

RIGHT TIME TO BE BULLISH IS WHEN ALL OTHERS ARE STILL BEARISH


AND WHEN ALL OTHERS HAVE TURNED BULLISH IT IS THE TIME TO BE CAUTIOUS.

SINCE 80% OF THE PEOPLE EVENTUALLY LOSE MONEY DUE TO GREED AT WRONG TIME WHEN PRICE IS EXPENSIVE AND TO BE FEARFUL AT WRONG TIME WHEN PRICE IS CHEAP

THE ONLY WAY TO ESCAPE LOSSES IS BY BEING TRUE CONTRARIAN.

TO BE FEARFUL WHEN OTHERS ARE GREEDY. AND TO BE GREEDY WHEN OTHERS ARE FEARFUL. THIS IS EASIER SAID THAN DONE.

2018-01-27 00:15

apolloang

carimin M&A securities is the underwriter for it's IPO,when wanna listing in 2014,i ask the people inside for a placement....they very lan si and say not enough to distribute

2018-01-27 00:19

calvintaneng

Correct. At Ipo Carimin at rm1.10 every one wanted at wrong timing.

At 28 sen when nobody wanted insiders loaded up.

At 3 sen insiders loaded up Huaan kaw kaw.

Always watch Insiders buying.

2018-01-27 00:23

apolloang

that time oil 100 bucks lah

2018-01-27 00:23

apolloang

also at that time the company no posted loss

2018-01-27 00:25

apolloang

actually I don't like to buy loss companies unless they are undervalue or got huge assets like butaland.

2018-01-27 00:28

calvintaneng

Did you sapu Dutaland last 40 lots at 61 sen at today closing price? If not it should Duta Yap himself buying through proxy

2018-01-27 00:30

apolloang

u guess almost rite but not me....why u know always closing is me? hehe.

2018-01-27 00:34

calvintaneng

THERE ARE 3 STAGES

1. BUY AT TOTAL UNDERVALUATION WHEN IT IS A BOMBED OUT STOCK.

2. BUY AT SECOND STAGE LIKE NOW WHEN OIL HAS REBOUNDED. SO THIS IS CALL A TURNAROUND BUY

3. BUY WHEN EVERYTHING IS CLEAR AS CLEAR AS CRYSTAL... EVERYONE ALREADY KNOW THE GROWTH STORY...

THE STOCK BECOMES LIKE MS UNIVERSE

I TOTALLY AVOID NUMBER 3! YOU CAN'T MAKE MUCH MONEY ON THAT WHICH IS SO POPULAR. LIKE SELLING RICE, EGG, FLOUR OR SUGAR. ONLY FEW CENTS PROFIT.

I LIKE NO. 1.
AND SINCE SO UNPOPULAR PEOPLE THOUGHT THEY WERE RUBBISH.

AND SO COLD AND UNTRADED REMISIERS WON'T RECOMMEND IT TO SAVE THEIR OWN RICE BOWL. SO REMISIERS DIRECT CLIENTS TO BUY "GORENG" STOCKS TO THEIR DETRIMENT.

2018-01-27 00:38

apolloang

datuk calvin what u think of comcorp got 45cts div coming? or fpgroup down a lot already,what's ur opinion?

2018-01-27 00:40

calvintaneng

OF COURSE THERE ARE GOOD REMISIERS AS WELL. THESE CARE FOR THEIR CLIENTS LONG TERM. THEY TRULY CARE FOR THEIR CUSTOMERS BY POINTING THEM TO VALUE STOCKS.

THEY WILL STILL MAKE MONEY LONGER THEM. AND THEIR CLIENTS ARE ALL LOYAL FRIENDS FOR VERY LONG TIME TO COME.

2018-01-27 00:42

apolloang

that is old timers,my remisiers mostly let their lady assistants to entice me to buy only.....hahaha

2018-01-27 00:44

calvintaneng

COMCORP IS OK. IT WILL BE LIKE REVASIA OR MAA. AFTER EX PRICE SHOULD STAY FIRM OR REBOUND. FPGROUP TOO SPECULATIVE

2018-01-27 00:44

apolloang

my fren bought FPgroup 300,000 at 58cts kena kaw kaw,i tot wanna support him some lo.....hehe.many counters I keen to buy just worry about election.so I buy sikit sikit only to make some coffee n makan money....hehe

2018-01-27 00:47

calvintaneng

Going for supper now

2018-01-27 00:50

apolloang

eat apa for supper?

2018-01-27 00:52

apolloang

come to penang lah I take u to eat supper....porridge wif fish and roast pork wif black sauce.....hehe

2018-01-27 00:53

MissElizaClarke

Btw, whats ur average price for this stock ? Carimin involve in O&G ? In terms of E&P?

2018-01-27 10:06

calvintaneng

Good morning,

Thks Sultan Apolloang,

I like all types of Penang food. But food is not a main priority for me. A simple bowl of porridge with a small fish & a side vege dish will do. Must eat moderately.

Yes, Ms Eliza,

I first bought at 42.5 & bought it down all the way to 38 sen. So it should be about 40 to 40.5 sen level.

As for E&P (Exploration & Production?) Carimin is into supporting O&G companies and others. It is more to do with Skilled ManPower Job. So the company is very hands on & versatile. It can adapt to O&G, Road Job & even Water Jobs. Theses guys really tough bunch & don't mind to soil their hands in hard work.

2018-01-27 10:18

bleuerouge

I've been in and out Carimin for many times and pocketing between 16% to 50% profit on each trade. The latest one I bought at support level 38c last Thursday and I believe the price will reach beyond 50c soon.

2018-01-27 11:15

MissElizaClarke

A 2 Storey Shophouse in SS15 SUBANG JAYA (HOT AREA) has a Book Value of the only Rm224,911. Do they do revaluation on this land and recorded at the books? my concern is does they recorded this gain in their previous reporting quarter? If they have not recorded or revalued this. I think there will be a big capital gain in their balance sheet

2018-01-27 12:16

mamakspecial

most important thing is their financial results...
look at sapura..they want to list the exploration as separate entity and look at sime..once they split..the mother sime share goes up.

carimin at the end of the day will be judged based on its financial result only..not just basing on its property value.

2018-01-27 16:43

calvintaneng

Eliza

Yes, carimin could do either these 2

1) Revalue Assets like EG, Fiamma, Hapseng or Seacera & then book them as profits. After that gives bonus issues & free warrants to goreng shares.

2) Revalue Assets and booked them as profits then give out dividends just like Oka did last time when one year earnings were poor.

2018-01-27 17:03

calvintaneng

mamak

it is true that ultimately Carimin will be judged for its financial results (that is yet future)

For Sapura you might watch carefully its Rm15 BILLIONS Debt Burden

Over a very long term all the TRUE FUNDAMENTAL OF A COMPANY WILL SURFACE.

For now we must detect their health or any symptoms of hidden diseases

2018-01-27 17:07

MissElizaClarke

wow I am surprised the management still not yet revalue the asset during the oil crisis.

2018-01-27 17:58

MissElizaClarke

is this revalued same with sapura?

2018-01-27 18:04

calvintaneng

Eliiza
If assets of Carimin are revalued it will reveal deeper undervaluation of Carimin share price's discount to Nta. Its debt compared to Sapura's rm15 billions debt look miniscule.

2018-01-27 21:28

MissElizaClarke

wow... gonna look into it.

2018-01-28 00:03

MissElizaClarke

thanks for the blog

2018-01-28 00:03

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