THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

THE PERILS OF MARGIN CALLS BETTING ON XINQUAN, JAKS & SENDAI COMING ONE BY ONE, Calvin Tan Research

calvintaneng
Publish date: Tue, 31 Jul 2018, 10:30 AM
calvintaneng
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Hi Guys,

I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.

Hi guys

We invest in shares of Good Companies. But the Stock Market can be turned into a betting casino for some. And more. Some go into Margin Play by amplifying his bets by borrowing from margin

The peril is when Stocks are Delisted but Margin loan interest continues?

See in Xinguan

Is Xingquan a Good Bet? Koon Yew Yin

Author:   |    Publish date: 

 

 

Xingquan is a Good Bet - Koon Yew Yin

Author:   |    Publish date: 

 



I am sorry that I made a mistake in calculating my average cost per share in my previous article “Is Xingquan a good bet?”.

Xingquan was listed in 2009 with CIMB as the under writer at Rm 1.75 per share. I did not buy any share in 2009 and its it's 2009 annual account shows that I did not hold any shares. 


As you know its price has been falling quite rapidly ever since the company was listed. I started buying it in 2010 when the price fell below Rm 1.00. Its 2010 annual account shows that I had a total of 17,005 million shares. I think my average price is about 70 sen per share. 

(1) My cost is 17.005 X 0.70 = Rm 11.9 million and the price is falling rapidly ever since my purchase. 

As you know, Xingquan has been selling around 10- 12 sen per share for a long time and I bought 19.4 million shares at an average cost of 11 sen per share.

(2) My total cost is 19.4 X 0.11 = Rm 2,13 million.

When SC gave notice of suspension, its price plunged to trade between 2-5 sen per share and I bought 50.5 million shares, almost all the shares traded during those few days.

(3) My total cost is 50,5 X .035 = Rm 1.77 million.

 

The total of (1) + (2) + (3) totalling 86.9 million shares costing Rm 15.8 million

My average cost is Rm 15.8 divided by 86.9 = 18 sen per share.

There is always some risk in buying any share. They say ‘No risk no gain and the higher the risk the higher is the gain”. There is also a saying “The higher you climb, the bigger you fall”. Which is right?

The game is not over yet!

Unlike the case of VS Industry; very few people knew that I had been buying VS so aggressively until I became the 2ndlargest shareholder, holding 102 million share, as shown in its 2015 annual report. The price of VS shot up 550% within 18 months.

Now I am in the lime light. The whole investing community thinks that I am crazy.

At the same time, they also know of my successful track record.

The road to my successful track record is knowledge, confidence, willing to take calculated risk and patience.

If you are patient you can buy cheaper or sell at a higher price.     

The reasons why I am willing to take the risk of buying so much of Xingquan shares are:

I visited Xingquan’s factory in Jinjiang, Fujian, China. Although I was so impressed, I did not start to buy Xingquan shares because I practise what I preach-patience! Patience! Patience!   

Xinguan received more than Rm 100 million from the IPO and it spent it on building a huge factory with all the ancillary facilities and 7 blocks of flats to accommodate 3,000 workers on a very large piece of land given the Chinese Government for a song. The company also has 110 distribution outlets in some of the shopping malls in the larger towns and cities in China. All these assets would have appreciated by now and they belong to all the shareholders. All these solid assets cannot disappear in thin air.

That is why the audited account shows that its NTA is Rm 1.90 per share. Moreover, it has cash and no bank borrowings.

In early June, when so many people were rushing to sell before its suspension, I took the risk to buy 50.5 million shares, almost all the shares traded during the few days.

I was told the controlling shareholder is making preparation to comply with the rules of SC in order to relist the company.

 

So betting is the name of the game?

 

Now stuck in limbo

see

 

LIST OF TOP 30 HOLDERS OF XINGUAN  AS AT 30 SEPTEMBER 2016 No. Name Holdings %

1 RHB NOMINEES (ASING) SDN BHD 269,412,616 55.53 RHB OSK SECURITIES HONG KONG LIMITED FOR TAI ZHEN XIANG HOLDINGS LIMITED

2 DB (MALAYSIA) NOMINEE (ASING) SDN BHD 22,859,100 4.71 BNYM SA/NV FOR STICHTING EFFECTENBEWAARBEDRIJF HOF HOORNEMAN

3 ALLIANCEGROUP NOMINEES (TEMPATAN) SDN BHD 16,221,200 3.34 PLEDGED SECURITIES ACCOUNT FOR KOON YEW YIN (6000051)

4 CIMSEC NOMINEES (TEMPATAN) SDN BHD 8,346,000 1.72 CIMB BANK FOR KOON YEW YIN (MY0951)

5 RHB NOMINEES (ASING) SDN BHD 7,384,600 1.52 EXEMPT AN (BP) FOR RHB SECURITIES HONG KONG LIMITED A/C CLIENTS (RETAIL)

6 LAI MING CHUN @ LAI POH LIN 6,353,000 1.31

7 TA NOMINEES (TEMPATAN) SDN BHD 5,434,100 1.12 PLEDGED SECURITIES ACCOUNT FOR YAP SUNG PANG

8 TA NOMINEES (TEMPATAN) SDN BHD 5,347,300 1.10 PLEDGED SECURITIES ACCOUNT FOR KOON YEW YIN

9 JF APEX NOMINEES (TEMPATAN) SDN BHD 5,017,800 1.03 PLEDGED SECURITIES ACCOUNT FOR OOI SIEW LOOI (STA 2)

10 MAYBANK NOMINEES (TEMPATAN) SDN BHD 4,219,000 0.87 PLEDGED SECURITIES ACCOUNT FOR KOON YEW YIN

11 TA NOMINEES (ASING) SDN BHD 4,088,900 0.84 PLEDGED SECURITIES ACCOUNT FOR SYLVAIN LAINE

12 MAYBANK NOMINEES (TEMPATAN) SDN BHD 3,255,500 0.67

13 LEE SOON SHENG 3,160,000 0.65

14 RICKOH CORPORATION SDN BHD 3,000,000 0.62

15 OOI CHENG HUAT @ OOI PENG HUAT 2,934,000 0.60

16 MO GUAN CHOON 2,600,000 0.54

17 KON CZE YAN @ KOON CZE YAN 2,431,600 0.50

18 KENANGA NOMINEES (TEMPATAN) SDN BHD 2,404,800 0.50 PLEDGED SECURITIES ACCOUNT FOR KOON YEW YIN (002)

19 PHUAH SOON KEE 2,297,000 0.47

20 MAYBANK SECURITIES NOMINEES (TEMPATAN) SDN BHD 2,113,600 0.44 PLEDGED SECURITIES ACCOUNT FOR YAP SUNG PANG (MARGIN)

21 CHOW YIT SEONG 2,020,900 0.42

22 MAYBANK NOMINEES (TEMPATAN) SDN BHD 1,876,100 0.39 PLEDGED SECURITIES ACCOUNT FOR TANG KING HUA

23 TAN LOON TOW 1,602,900 0.33

24 CHOR KIANG MONG 1,518,500 0.31

25 NG YEE 1,100,000 0.23

26 MAYBANK NOMINEES (TEMPATAN) SDN BHD 1,030,000 0.21 PLEDGED SECURITIES ACCOUNT FOR NG KIM KEE

27 NG SENG MONG @ WONG SIN MONG 1,015,000 0.21

28 RHB NOMINEES (TEMPATAN) SDN BHD 1,010,000 0.21 PLEDGED SECURITIES ACCOUNT FOR KOON YEW YIN

29 ALLIANCEGROUP NOMINEES (TEMPATAN) SDN BHD 1,000,000 0.21 PLEDGED SECURITIES ACCOUNT FOR KOH KIN LIP (8058900)

30 RHB NOMINEES (TEMPATAN) SDN BHD 959,900 0.20 PLEDGED SECURITIES ACCOUNT FOR CHONG WOI KEONG

 

As you can SEE from the above After Xinquan is suspended from trading these 14 shareholder accounts still got to service Margin Loans from PLEDGED SECURITIES

The Leader is Great Better/Gambler Koon Yew Yin

Followed by his macai gamblers

See

7 TA NOMINEES (TEMPATAN) SDN BHD 5,434,100 1.12 PLEDGED SECURITIES ACCOUNT FOR YAP SUNG PANG

9 JF APEX NOMINEES (TEMPATAN) SDN BHD 5,017,800 1.03 PLEDGED SECURITIES ACCOUNT FOR OOI SIEW LOOI (STA 2) 

11 TA NOMINEES (ASING) SDN BHD 4,088,900 0.84 PLEDGED SECURITIES ACCOUNT FOR SYLVAIN LAINE

20 MAYBANK SECURITIES NOMINEES (TEMPATAN) SDN BHD 2,113,600 0.44 PLEDGED SECURITIES ACCOUNT FOR YAP SUNG PANG (MARGIN) 

22 MAYBANK NOMINEES (TEMPATAN) SDN BHD 1,876,100 0.39 PLEDGED SECURITIES ACCOUNT FOR TANG KING HUA

26 MAYBANK NOMINEES (TEMPATAN) SDN BHD 1,030,000 0.21 PLEDGED SECURITIES ACCOUNT FOR NG KIM KEE 

29 ALLIANCEGROUP NOMINEES (TEMPATAN) SDN BHD 1,000,000 0.21 PLEDGED SECURITIES ACCOUNT FOR KOH KIN LIP (8058900)

30 RHB NOMINEES (TEMPATAN) SDN BHD 959,900 0.20 PLEDGED SECURITIES ACCOUNT FOR CHONG WOI KEONG

AND WHO WERE THESE 8 ABOVE NAMED MARGIN GAMBLERS? ARE THEY FOLLOWERS OF UNCLE KYY

 

NOW LISTEN

 

MARGIN IS A VERY DANGEROUS THING IF YOU ARE NOT CAREFUL

TRADING CAN BE SUSPENDED AND FROZEN BUT MARGIN LOANS CONITUNE TO BLEED INTEREST UPON PERPETUAL INTEREST UNTIL LIQUIDATION & BAKRUPTCIES

 

SO CAVEAT EMPTOR

 

REGARDS

 

Calvin Tan Research

 

Note:

TA SECURITIES & HL SECURIES ARE THE FIRST TO FORCE SELL KYY JAKS SHARES

More to come later

Meanwhile Calvin tells all to stay away from Jaks & also Sendai. Don't play with fire and you won't get burnt like charcoal

Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 7 of 7 comments

3iii

I am impressed by Calvin Tan's prolific sharing. He is very very resourceful indeed.

Who is Calvin Tan? I don't know him but am curious to understand him better.

He is involved in properties and share investing. He is mainly in Johore and Singapore.

His investing style is deeply traditional Benjamin Graham. He is very much into deeply undervalued stocks, often penny stocks too.

He is probably in his late 50s or early 60s.


:-)

2018-07-31 12:41

Sslee

Hi Calvintaneng,
My name is at No.13 Xinguan list. I learnt my painful lesson. Did not blame anyone and in fact have forgiven but not forget my own fault and move on. You have many field days in hitting back at Mr. Koon and your messages are loud and clear. But please do not overdoing it otherwise it look like you are taking advantage of Mr. Koon missteps and unleashed personal vengeful on Mr. Koon in this i3 public forum.
As of the rest of us, you are you own master and worst enemy. Conquer self and your will be your own master.

Thank you

2018-07-31 13:06

qqq3

3 forum is a very good platform for investors to write their ideas/ comments pertaining to any stocks, but investors themselves must always do their own research rationally, both on technical & fundamental analysis to support their own buying/selling decisions.
========================

that is a mouthful and cliche...after research...some can be decisive, some cannot.

Kyy is a businessman and can be decisive.....

educators are educators and cannot be decisive....what so surprising?

2018-07-31 13:18

calvintaneng

3iii

You are correct!
But i met Jon Choivo in Jb yesterday. He shared his views on Aeoncredit and Rcecap. From his high profit margin growth approach i get to learn something. And i happen to tell him i am coming out with an article on Insas. He already bought among his stock of value shares.

And he added some insas warrant because he is bullish. So i think if you go round sharing your views without too much attack on Sifu Raider it will do a whole lot of good.

As of now 80% in both i3 forum and 95% in investlah are gamblers

2018-07-31 13:37

calvintaneng

Correction. Not yesterday but last week.

As for SSLee

Thank you very much for your good spirit. Yes, it might seem i had a personal animosity with Uncle Koon. But far from it.

Uncle Kyy commands my respect for his Oversized Reputation in Malaysia.

I have personally learnt a lot from him from his vast store of experience in Mudajaya, IJM, Gamuda, MBMR, Pineapple for breakfast. The study of human stools. Etc etc.

i3 forum is such a colourful and interesting place having him around.

Now that is a compliment. With him around i3 has risen to be among Top 50 search engines.

So i hope he stays and share more from his store of wisdom.

My best regards to Uncle Koon

2018-07-31 13:44

3iii

31-Jul-2018 Insider MADAM TAN KIT PHENG (a substantial shareholder) disposed 1,000,000 shares on 30-Jul-2018.
31-Jul-2018 Insider MADAM TAN KIT PHENG (a substantial shareholder) disposed 693,000 shares on 27-Jul-2018.
31-Jul-2018 Insider MR KOON YEW YIN (a substantial shareholder) disposed 6,662,900 shares on 30-Jul-2018.
31-Jul-2018 Insider MR KOON YEW YIN (a substantial shareholder) disposed 2,962,500 shares on 27-Jul-2018.
31-Jul-2018 Insider MR KOON YEW YIN (a substantial shareholder) disposed 1,599,900 shares on 26-Jul-2018.

2018-07-31 20:26

3iii

Leverage cuts both ways.

2018-07-31 20:26

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