THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

JAYA TIASA (DR NEOH SOON KEAN OF DYNAQUEST) VERSUS HAP SENG PLANT (COLD EYE AKA FONG SILING), Standing on Shoulders of Giants, Calvin Tan

calvintaneng
Publish date: Sat, 26 Feb 2022, 04:30 PM
calvintaneng
0 1,841
Hi Guys,

I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.

Dear Friends of i3 Forum

Lately, we heard the about turn & capitulation of Research Houses to Palm oil finally! More and more Analysts admitted they were wrong to downgrade Palm oil due to Esg concern which is unwarranted. Many of their clients have missed buying when Palm oil stock prices were cheap & unloved

 

Now the Surge of Foreign Funds buying up OverSold Malaysia Palm oil stocks have completely changed their mindset and they have become bullish believers of this still unfolding Palm oil Super Bull Market. So far so good. Better late than never.

Now we have always looked to Experienced Investment Giants for our conviction on Palm oil. Dr. Neoh Soon Kean of Dynaquest & Fong Siling aka Mr Cold Eye are two investors in Palm OIl stocks

As Isaac Newton said, "We can see further because we stand on the Shoulders of Giants"

See

Standing on Shoulder of Giants: The Power of Incremental Changes

 

 

Let us See what Dr, Neoh's Jtiasa Versus Fong Siling's Hs Plant

 

JAYA TIASA (4383)

Coming in at Top 24 of Top 30 Shareholders of Jtiasa (Refer Annual Report)

24 Neoh Choo Ee & Company Sdn. Berhad 2,373,000

Neoh Choo Ee is the privately held Company of Dr Neoh Soon Kean in Beach Street, Penang

He owns 2.373 Million shares of Jtiasa

See our write up on Jtiasa

SOME NOTEWORTHY NOTES ON JAYA TIASA (4383) : FFB HARVEST INCREASED QoQ, CPO PRICES UP & INSIDER BUYS, Calvin Tan

Author:    |    Publish date: 

 

 


 

Hi guys

We are in a very happy Super Bull Time for all Palm Oil Stocks

BPLANT AND THPLANT HAVE BOTH OVERTAKEN JTIASA IN THEIR PRICE SURGE

 

Now we like Laggards

And Jtiasa looks like a Laggard (The last of the low lying fruits to be taken

 

Yes! Like Bplant & Thplant --- Jtiasa also got 206,000 acres of Palm Oil. Another 1.9 Million Acres of Forest concession lands which need a Helicoptor for monitoring.  1.9 million acres is 11 times the size of Singapore Land Mass of 180,000 acres. That shows how vast the Plantation Lands Jtiasa manages

 

1) JTIASA FFB This Coming Qtr result will see Increased Volumes

 

See

Jayatiasa

FFB for 3 months (July to Sept 2021) 195,447 tonnes

Current Qtr Result will report (Oct to Dec 2021) 202,684 tons

 

FFB from Qtr to Qtr up 3.7%

THIS IS A PLUS FACTOR FOR JTIASA AS MANY OTHERS SUFFERED FFB DWINDLING COLLECTIONS DUE TO FLOODS & LABOR SHORTAGE

 

2) JAYA TIASA ALSO WITNESSED PRICE RISE FROM RM4,417 (LAST QTR) TO OVER RM5,100 NOW

(UP 15% EXTRA PROFIT JUST BY CPO PRICE SURGE

 

3) NO MORE SELLING TOO EARLY BY LOCK-IN FORWARD SALES

Previous Qtrs' results were setback by low forward sales in a time of rising CPO Prices

Now no more.

SO JTIASA SHOULD GET BETTER PRICES FOR ITS FFB (Fresh Fruit Bunches)

 

ALL THESE FIGURES TELL US JTIASA SHOULD PERFORM MUCH BETTER IN COMING QTR RESULT

NOW CPO OVER RM6,000 JTIASA SHOULD GET AN EVEN MORE POWERFUL BOOSTER

 

4) NEW DIRECTOR OF JTIASA EMERGED BUYING JTIASA SHARES FROM OPEN MARKET SHOWS POSITIVITY!

THINGS ARE GETTING BRIGHT IN JTIASA

 

JTIASA PRICE NOW 80.5 SEN

Calvin has a Target Price for JTIASA

RM1.00 (1st Target)

RM1.50 (2nd Target)

RM2.00 (3rd Target)

(Note: Target like goal post is constantly changing. And we have upgraded New Target price to Rm3.00)

 

Best Regards for a Prosperous Palm oil Bullrun

 

Calvin Tan

 

Please buy or sell after doing your own due diligence or consult your Remisier/Fund Manager

 

Low Hanging Fruit Model – Prioritize for Better Business Results | BC  BizCoachOnline

 

THESE ARE LOW HANGING FRUIT STOCKS

ALL WITH OVER 200,000 ACRES OF PALM OIL

 

JAYA TIASA (Dr Neoh in Top 30 holders of Jtiasa)

BPLANT

THPLANT (Dr. Neoh in Top 30 holders of Thplant)

TAANN

SOP (Dr Neoh in Top 30 holders of SOP)

SIMEDARBY PLANT

TSH RESOURCES (Fong Siling or Cold Eye in Top 30 holders of InnoPlant of which TSH is top 2nd holder)

FGV

 

ONCE CHEAP PRICES TAKEN WILL NEED TO WORK HARDER TO FIND OTHER VALUE BUYS

 

The historical high of Jtiasa was Rm3.50 (before ex bonus) After ex-bonus high was Rm2.70

We expect Jtiasa to reach Rm2.00 & to breach the precvious high of Rm2.70 by End 2022 or in 2023 to reach Rm3.00

 

 

HAP SENG PLANTATION 

SARAWAK PLANTATION (5135) VERSUS HAP SENG PLANT (5138) : BOTH ARE GOOD: BUT WHICH ONE IS BETTER, Calvin Tan

Author:    |    Publish date: 

 

 


 

Dear Investors

Today both Swkplant (5135) and Hs Plant (51238) results are out

Lately we hear lots of noise on Swkplant. Of course Swkplant is good. But we think HsPlant is better. 

Why?

 

See the Results

 

SWK PLANT (5135)

SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION
31 Dec 2021

 
INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
QUARTER
CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
PERIOD
31 Dec 2021
31 Dec 2020
31 Dec 2021
31 Dec 2020
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1 Revenue
243,637
132,224
790,524
465,750
2 Profit/(loss) before tax
43,787
21,873
168,391
83,054
3 Profit/(loss) for the period
32,674
16,320
128,289
61,647
4 Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
32,532
16,690
127,826
61,421
5 Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
11.66
5.98
45.81
22.01
6 Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
5.00
0.00
20.00
10.00
   
AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7 Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
2.4000
2.0900
 

 

Revenue Rm243.637 Millions

Profit Rm32.532 millions

To get percentage of profit

divides Rm32.532 Mil by Rm243.637 Mil

= 13.3%

 

This qtr earns 11.66 sen

Annualised 11.66 x 4 

= 46.64 sen

Current price Rm3.16

To get P/E  divides Rm3.16 by 46.64

= 6.77

It will take 6.77 years to double your money

Dividend is 5 sen

or 1.5% this qtr

 

 

HS PLANT (5138)

 

Refer to HS PLANT Annual Report

Coming in at Top 14 of Top 30 Shareholders

14. RHB Capital Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn Bhd

- Pledged Securities Account For Fong Siling (CEB)
1,000,000
 
Mr. Fong Siling aka Cold Eye owns 1 Million shares of Hs Plant

 

SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION
31 Dec 2021

 
INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
QUARTER
CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
PERIOD
31 Dec 2021
31 Dec 2020
31 Dec 2021
31 Dec 2020
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1 Revenue
194,828
153,269
670,851
467,595
2 Profit/(loss) before tax
118,160
50,147
290,260
108,400
3 Profit/(loss) for the period
94,307
36,951
224,023
90,296
4 Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
94,307
36,951
224,023
90,296
5 Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
11.79
4.62
28.01
11.29
6 Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
15.50
5.50
17.00
7.00
   
AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7 Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
2.3500
2.14

 

Revenue Rm194.828 Millions

Profit Rm94.307 Millions

To get profit in percentage

Divides Rm94.307 Mil by Rm194.828 Mil

= 48.4%

So Hs Plants profit 3.63 times better.

This quarter earns 11.79 sen

Annualised 11.79 x 4 

47.16 sen

Current price of Hs Plant Rm2.35

To get P/E divides Rm2.35 by 47.16

= 4.98

That means HsPlant will double your money in 4.98 years

Dividend is 15.5 sen

= 6.5%

 

Note: The historical high of SWKPLANT in year 2008 was Rm4.20

Calvin expects SwkPlant to breach that and go higher 

Calvin owns Taann which is the Top Holder of SwkPlant.

Taann is a highly respected Palm oil company with integrity & honest Management.

 

The historical high of Hs Plant was Rm3.78 also in year 2008 and we certainly expect Hs Plant to go higher than that as well

 

Figures extracted from STOCK PERFORMACE GUIDE By Dynaquest 2015 March Ed

 

Best Regards

 

Calvin Tan

 

Please buy or sell after doing your own due diligence or consult your Remisier/Fund Manager

 

After posting the Results Hap Seng Plantation Share Price shot past Rm2.70

The historical high of HS PLANT Was Rm3.78 when Cpo was Rm4,000 (previous world record)

Since then Hap Seng Plant 100% Pure Upstream Palm oil Plantation has grown further

So with Cpo price new breaking into all time New Record over Rm6,000 we expect HS Plant to breach the previous record price of Rm3.78 to reach Rm5.00 new target price.

 

That's It

Jtiasa target Rm3.00 Versus Hs Plant target Rm5.00

See which one will reach there first as we are in Palm oil Super Bull run time now

 

Best regards

 

Calvin Tan

Republic of Singapore

 

Please buy or sell after doing your own due diligence or consult your Remisier/Fund Manager

 

 

 

Standing on the shoulders of giants Images, Stock Photos & Vectors |  Shutterstock

 

 

 

Isaac Newton quote Standing on the shoulders of giants - medium image 500 px

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Discussions
1 person likes this. Showing 6 of 6 comments

calvintaneng

Hap seng plant is debt free and 100% Pure Upstream palm oil producer

Upstream will capture the bulk of profits from Cpo price rise

Example: a supermarket sells cooking oil for a fixed percentage of profit and it has no advantage of getting better profit from high cpo prices as margins are fixed

Upstream producer of palm oil stands to gain the most from price surge as production cost is fixed or only up a little.

So the higher the cpo price surge up the stronger the earnings and hotter the bull

2022-02-26 17:09

calvintaneng

Same goes for jtiasa with 206,000 acres of palm oil in the superb upstream sphere

2022-02-26 17:10

daretocutandchange

sg shipping stocks samudera shipping eps 23.9cts(us$)*1.35sg=32cts of sg dollar,pe only 2.25.proposed 12.75cts and 0.75cts dividend........watch out......

2022-02-26 18:17

calvintaneng

rising crude oil will hit shipping hard

also hit logistic and airline as fuel cost goes up

2022-02-26 18:25

calvintaneng

Short term jtiasa might seem overbought but invest longer term is best as the upside ahead still got lots more room to run up

Do not take small profits as the palm oil bull will grow into a Super Bull

2022-02-27 18:54

calvintaneng

Cold Eye's Innoplant has turned hot and popular

But Innoplant rent it's lands from Sabah Govt while Hs plant own all it's lands outrightly

Hs plant offers more value now

2022-02-27 18:57

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