I already bought serba dk. 777 shares. It is very much compatible with Armada. Though it belongs to different category, industrial services.

Selling pressure to increase ?

My agent/broker told me that the best deals are on Friday afternoon, just before the end of trading. That is because some traders do not wish to be stuck with securities for weekend.

But not today.
:-)

I am thinking of buying Serba dk. It is like young armada at 20 sens. Maybe with next salary ...

Am I missing anything ?
It was sure a quiet morning here. Until now.

Those who bought recently at 0.495, like me, may get their rewards soon.

Up ... up and away ....
Many people will finally see some profit. But ...
There was a lot of selling at 0.50 MYR last few times.
Hard resistance expected.

I read in my newsfeed. I read it here.

Brent Oil to 70 USD soon. Major ceiling to be broken soon.

CIMB downgraded it from buy to hold .... wow ...
_________________
Analysis: CIMB International Investment Banking Research

Target price: 48 cents
...Our valuation still has opportunities for upward adjustments, including if the FPSO Limbayong contract is awarded, FPSO performance continues to be strong, and higher oil prices stimulate confidence in the oil and gas sector.

As for the risks of downgrades, they include the inability to dispose of excess assets, resulting in the company having to raise funds to meet loans and debt repayments that will mature in 2024.

Nevertheless, this is at least 3 years from now, so it will not have a significant impact on the current forecast.

We downgrade the rating from "Buy" to "Hold" because the stock price has risen sharply.

Kenanga expect Yinson to gain 40% but gave a sell rating to Armada. Reality check. I used to own Yinson shares. Hope I am on the right side.


Source : KENANGA
Stock : YINSON Price Target : 6.95 | Price Call : BUY
Last Price : 4.93 | Upside/Downside : +2.02 (40.97%)

I expect PB to give us an upgrade as they promise at the very end of comments:
_
Bumi Armada (Outperform, TP: RM0.49): JV inks deal for FSRU project in Mumbai. Bumi Armada's 49%-owned JV company entered into a licence agreement with the Board of Trustees for the Port of Mumbai (MBPT) to set-up, operate and maintain a floating storage and regasification unit (FSRU) in Mumbai harbour for a period of 30 years. (Bursa Malaysia)

Comments: Under the License Agreement, both parties will have approx. 9 months to fulfil certain conditions comprising of financing, obtaining permits for construction works, and signing of the agreement between the FSRU owner, charterer and JV Company for providing the FSRU for the License Period. Upon the fulfilment, the License Agreement will become effective and the License Period shall commence. Construction works for FSRU is expected to take about another 1.5 – 2 years hence earnings will only contribute from late FY23 onwards. While this could be positive on BAB’s future earnings, we are curious on how BAB is going to finance this job due to its stretched balance sheet with 2.4x net gearing. Pending more development on this and its 1QFY21 results next week, we maintain our earnings forecast at this juncture.

I sure do not like this plan. Price is now 0.40. Why is the 0.21 load of shares being dumped in the market ? There should not be free give aways.

Also:Huat ah, Heng ah, Ong ah !‬

Dear Strateggist.
What is the meaning of the:
sapu sapu hey
ala nampak hey
aiyoooooo

Google translate could not handle it.
Only word they propose is broom.

Yes. Horrible news struck sooner than expected. Container ship refloated. Traffic through canal to resume. Oil plunges.
But that is just short term moment of joy.
Long term prospects for this ship unchanged.
Those who sold - CONGRATULATIONS.

The rest are trapped.

Best time to SELL for short term traders is NOW.

Suez canal looks bad. Oil price soared. A bit of a panic.

But everything that wedges can be unwedged. Especially with unlimited resources. Sooner or later ships will resume sailing the canal. And things will return to normal.

Long term players - better to wait for earnings and moving averages to move into all positive. Put impairments into span of 2 years ago.

My sincere apologies to the longs of this stock.

Whenever I buy more, it drops in value. And this time it lost almost 20% over two weeks. Harder than usual.

I warned when I did it at almost 50 sens lately.

But seems that this downtrend is now broken and we can resume way up.
Have patience.

By the way, Investor King was right. My bid for 48 sens was 'unmatched' even though stock was trading at 47 sens. I complained and got no reply. But I have shares for premium.

I remember early this year oil reached 50 and I was worried it would not hold Let's be real. 60+ is a very, very good price. Think about clients receiving 100% more than last year for oil. There will be money for services and BAB bottom line will improve. Let's wait it out.

I have bad news for my long colleagues.

I bought more of BAB, so it will go down now for sure.
At least for a few days.
Happens every time.

I already stopped washing my car as I hate the rain, but still trying with this stock.

Owners think that Kraken field is in decline ....

__________________________________________________
London-listed Cairn has agreed to sell its interests in the UK North Sea Catcher and Kraken fields to Waldorf Production Limited for a cash consideration of US$460 million plus additional contingent consideration dependent mainly on oil prices from 2021 to the end of 2025.

The consideration is subject to adjustments for working capital and other customary interim period adjustments from the economic effective date of January 2020.

Under the deal, Cairn will sell its entire 20 percent interest in the Catcher field and 29.5 percent interest in the Kraken field.

As already mentioned, the firm consideration of US$460 million. Additional uncapped contingent consideration dependent on oil prices and production performance from 2021 to the end of 2025: generating ~US$75 million at US$60 Brent and ~US$125 million at US$65 Brent.

The completion of the deal is completion currently expected in H2 2021

Simon Thomson, Chief Executive of Cairn said: "The divestment of our UK producing assets as they move into decline phase, will further strengthen our ability to pursue Cairn's strategic goals and position the company robustly for the decade ahead."

In a separate statement, Cairn, together with Cheiron announced the proposed acquisition of a portfolio of upstream oil and gas production, development and exploration interests from Shell in the Western Desert, onshore Egypt for a purchase price of US$646 million (US$323 million net to Cairn).

The deal also includes an additional contingent consideration of up to US$280 million (US$140 million net to Cairn) if certain requirements are met.

Capricorn Egypt, a subsidiary of Cairn, will take 50% of the assets, with the remaining 50% acquired by Cheiron.

This company lacks focus.
First they did buses.
Then they acquired FPSO's.
Now they go after renewables.

In the end, if you chase 3 hares you end up with none.

That is why I exited last year.

Still accumulating. My target price is 1 MYR.

It will take a while, but that is what I paid back in the days.
50 sens seemed a dream a year ago when price was below twenty.


Those windmills will not cut it in the real world. Good for us.

Very, very quiet here. Looks like I may be able to get more shares at a really good price in the near future.

I am waiting for my account to be credited with the salary.

In the meantime, a lot of guys here will be realizing the profits. So not in the rush to buy any more.

:-)

We will see some downward action for a change.

Time to cool off and wait for consolidation.
Going back to the safe spot.
:-)

GUYS, STOP BEING CRAZY !!! SLOW DOWN !!!

I am waiting to collect my salary next week to top up and seems that the stock is running away from me.

Darn !!!

Dropping of share price just before announcement is NOT a good sign. But this can hopefully be attributed to the general market sentiment. Insiders were not trading much anyway. Their options are probably worthless. So do not give up. Fund managers on most part do not know what they are doing. Reddit group proved it when they destroyed hedge fund forcing billion funding.

1 sen up ....

As a rally following 50% increase in Brent oil price it is not very convincing.

Hmmmmm.

I translated the article of valueinves and it is not bad ...
________________________________________________
The full name of FPSO is Floating production storage and offloading. The Chinese explanation is offshore floating production and storage tankers. It is mainly used for the exploitation, processing, storage and transportation of offshore oil, natural gas and other energy sources. The main players in Malaysia are MISC, YINSON and ARMADA.

The history of FPSO offshore structure is very novel for the entire petroleum industry. The history of modern oil began in 1846, when Abraham Disner in Canada invented the method of extracting kerosene from coal. In 1846, Baku established the first modern oil well, and in 1861 the world's first oil refinery was established. At that time Baku produced 90% of the world's oil. Later, the Battle of Stalingrad was launched to capture the Baku oil field.

With the decline of land oil reserves and the increasing development of offshore oil exploration, FPSO has emerged. In 1976, Shell Petroleum Company converted a 59,000-ton old oil tanker into the world's first FPSO, which was used in the Mediterranean Castellon oil field in 1977. Because FPSO has the advantages of large oil storage, low investment, and transferability, it has developed rapidly.

FPSO is one of the industries with the heaviest assets in the offshore industry. The structure and process of FPSO are very complicated and expensive. The world has 70.8% of retrofit FPSOs and the remaining 29.2% are newly built. The cost of the modified FPSO will be relatively low, but it is generally only suitable for oilfield development tasks in shallow sea areas. With the discovery of deep-sea and ultra-deep-sea oil fields, the demand for new FPSOs will gradually increase. It is generally estimated that the cost of a new FPSO is not less than 1 billion US dollars.

Companies that build and modify FPSO hulls are mainly in China, South Korea, Singapore and Brazil. The three major FPSO operators in Malaysia are mainly renting and providing support services.


Malaysia is very competitive in this field. The disadvantage of the FPSO market is its high instability. The ups and downs of oil prices are very painful for operators. This is because the maintenance, depreciation and cost of an FPSO are very high. If the oil price is too low, the company will be severely hit. For example, Armada has repeatedly used debt restructuring to delay debt risk.

I think that after the epidemic is over, the demand for oil will naturally increase. At this time, the oil and gas industry will flourish. Next, I will also analyze the development prospects of Armada, Yinson and Misc. Friends who are interested can follow the Facebook homepage @大朋友投资录本 or Instagram @free_dominvestor to get the latest news.

When price of Brent Oil Crude was $55 last year, BAB was 0.55 myr. Delayed this year but it is coming back soon ...

If I am reading it right, OIL PRICE is above US$58 !!!!

And holding.

It is higher than a year ago. Before crisis.

This cannot be bad news for clients of BAB.

As oil reaches 57 usd per barrel, I seriously consider switching to Silver. Squeeze ongoing.

It may spread to gold and commodities, including oil. Good luck to reddit fighters. They have to overcome paper silver mountain and then, the sea of paper oil may be next target.

I have to repeat myself. This stock NEVER fails to disappoints.

The sky is falling or just the bottom has fallen off?
Down, down, down ...

Kaya, kaya, kaya ... !!!

What do MCO's have to do with FPSO's on different continents operated by locals there with only some BAB specialist ?

I think the only real effect is the general sentiment of investors.
Also a factor. But a very temporary one.

2 months ago oil was 40 usd. Now it is 57 usd.
This stock price in oil service company largely unchanged.
Even lower yesterday as people see local movement restriction.

Everyone sees movement restrictions. Not everyone follows Brent price.
Of course people respond to local restrictions.

But those FPSO's are NOT subject to rules limiting how many in car.
So take advantage of this irregularity. Get more.
I did.

This is not too bad. Even 0.43 would mean improvement. Not sure if RHB was a friendly or foe brokerage in the past.
_________________________________________________________

RHB maintains 'buy' on Bumi Armada
TheStar Mon, Jan 04, 2021 09:28am - 43 minutes ago


KUALA LUMPUR: RHB Research reiterated its "buy" recommendation on Bumi Armada Bhd on improved earnings and cash flow visibility, underpinned by stable FPSO contributions masking weaker offshore marine service weakness.

It said the group's risk-reward profile looks attractive as the current 5.2x FY21 price-earnings and 0.5x FY20 prie-book value reflects an elevated 2.6 net gearing as at 3Q20.

Bumi Armada could see higher FPSO earnings in 4Q20 on higher contributions from Armada Kraken following the completion of the scheduled maintanence procedure in September.

"We expect this vessel to deliver a stable performance, and any planned and scheduled maintenance in 2021 should fall within the allowable maintenance days.

"That said, management still does not anticipate any asset write-back to be made in the near term, with regards to Armada Kraken," said RHB.

Meanwhile, it said the OMS segment is expected to face headwinds in 4Q20 due to the absence of sub-sea work orders and potentially lower OSV utilisation rates due to the monsoon season.

However, OSV contributions could improve in 2021 on higher vessel demand on drilling and related projects as Bumi Armada pushes for better spot charter rates.

"Our TP rises to MYR0.43, after narrowing the Kraken’s DCF valuation discount to 10% (from 20%) in view

of better vessel stability.

"Our new TP implies 6.4x FY21F P/E and 0.6x FY21F P/BV," it added.

RHB's base case assumpton is that Bumi Armada will refinance the borrowings due in May so no equity fund-raising would be required.

I doubt. If one thing that Armada never fails, is to eventually disappoint. And when investors think ALL POSSIBLE BAD SCENARIOS HAVE BEEN EXPERIENCED, they find a new way. That is some creativity.
But one day BAB will fail in getting a new excuse and finally deliver.

Tempest in a teacup. I still have some funds ready to deploy. Approaching 0.4 near the end of the year. Boy, it has been a bad one for investments.

Interesting news. Has not happened for a while.
________________________________________________

Currency -
Date of Change Type Number of Shares
18-Dec-2020 Acquired 200,000
Registered Name UTHAYA KUMAR A/L VIVEKANANDA
Nature of Interest Indirect Interest
Nature of Interest Indirect Interest
Shares ORDINARY SHARES
Reason ACQUISITION
Consideration -

I am buying more. Nice moment to top up.

The crisis will continue to cause bankruptcies. But surviving companies have the pie to themselves, with fewer players.
I think this company is surviving. It is in emerging market. And exporting to Asia.
________________________________________
The global economy, with plenty of speed bumps to come, is in the early phase of recovering from a once in a generation shock. Typically, in economics, a shock is either demand or supply-based, covid was really both. For oil, the grounding of flights, domestic lockdowns, and heightened levels of general uncertainty, have meant oil and oil names have traded very poorly this year. The thing that is worth noting in the context of this perfect storm is, who are the survivors, because the companies that are able to survive this shock will be in a good place from an operating leverage perspective, i.e. reduced competition, and will be the most able to benefit from the changing tides of global risk.

Emerging market countries are benefiting from the weaker U.S. dollar and stronger CNY in China.

Mikekim, I remember you. Welcome back. I also did not write here for almost a year. It was not useful to post along all the garbage. But it is time to look into this investment again. I see good comments too.
Seeing you here, is a good sign too.

Finally a meaningful post here. Thank you jojobaa.

Maybe people misread that ?

What new project ?

HOME OFFSHORE FULL CREW FULL CREW NEW FPSO PROJECT IN MALAYSIA
FULL CREW New FPSO Project in Malaysia
Company
Bumi Armada

Email
careers.my@bumiarmada.com

Opening Date
2020-12-03

https://oceancrew.org/vacancies/offshore/full-crew/full-crew-new-fpso-project-in-malaysia_03-12-2020

Dropping like a stone now. Vertical down as I see this afternoon at the moment. Time to take the profit ?

What the %^!& happened here?
People mistake Biden's Kraken for Armada Kraken?
If anything, it is going up too fast for a heavy vessel with little fundamental change. Seems all sentiment.
Control yourselves.
Sentiment changes. Earnings stay.

Time to top up my BAB holdings. Thank you all. :-)

Correct me if I am wrong but this is a very, very small amount of oil to be produced:
__________________________________________________________________
This infill-drilling program is targeted to increase gross production at TGT field off Vietnam from the current levels of around 15,000 boepd to around 20,000 boepd in 2022.

No problem at all. I am buying some more. See you on the other side.

Same story but different names.
I was not supposed to be the only one left here, but such things happen.

My favorite part of the release:

EnQuest’s chief executive, Amjad Bseisu, said on Tuesday: “I am delighted with the progress we have made at Kraken and in strengthening our balance sheet. We have now set a platform to use our capabilities for continuous improvement and to be able to enhance value for shareholders.”