Armada's paid up around 5.873 billions , if drop to 0.1 , total market capitalisation = 587.3 millions . If drop to 0.01 , total market capitalisation = 58.73 millions . 51 % = 29.369 millions . So if you have 30 millions , you can control the company . Would it be possible ???
Sumatec still hovering around 0.01 - 0.015 .

We can notice that everyday there are more than 300 ,000 lots of buyers and sellers queuing in the market for 3 best quotes , majorities are stockists or PDT linked to the sharks because they don't have to pay brokerage whereas IDSS which mostly are retail buyers who have to pay brokerage .
IDSS take seller's price at 0.21 and at the end of the same day forced to sell to buyers at 0.205 . After few rounds or many rounds of doing the same things , the retail IDSS will suffer losses due to commissions paid and other charges and also every time loss two bids , eventually the Retail IDSS will be kicked out .

As I mentioned before , IDSS is nothing great , just like you and me , a small retail buyer . Majority of the retail buyers are holding less than 50 k worth of shares . How much can they short sell ? If they don't cover back their short sell position , the broking firms will force to buy back before 4.00 pm or latest by 4.30 pm .
What is very much more powerful are stockists linked to to sharks . Stockists A to B , B to C & D , and so forth . If they have a net sell position of few millions or hundreds of millions , then they will ask the nominees of the sharks to sell the shares to them to cover back their short sell position . Thereafter , they will wait for T + 3 or more days to catch contra players .

Time to accumulate more Sapnrg and Velesto .

Can start to accumulate . Any minor correction is an opportunity to buy

Any minor correction or pull back is an opportunity to buy .

Can start to accumulate . Any minor correction is an opportunity to buy .

Can start to accumulate . Any minor correction is an opportunity to buy .

Can start accumulate .

Congratulations to those who bought warrants @0.10. Almost 50% unrealized profit .
SAPNRG right issue was under subscribed and the underwriters had taken up . The underwriters had sold off all their Sapnrg shares and warrants recently .
The main reasons why Warrants up more than the mother shares . 1 ) very much smaller number of warrants issued As compared to mother shares , around 1 billion over 16 billions shares . 2) warrants only issued to those shareholders who subscribed the right issue of shares . It means tight controlled .
3 ) Warrants price are at premium , so retail buyers are scared to buy .

For those investors who are taking about to invest 1 million shares , or 5 millions shares or even more , this is the company , not Dayang , perdana ,Carimin or Ifcam , these companies if you buy 100,000 shares, they will stop pushing for a long , long time .

Two main factors to consider before you buy Sapnrg . First the world crude oil price and second the ability of the company to get contracts especially from PETRONAS .
SAPNRG with shares paid up of 15.979 billions is a huge company in Malaysia just like RENONG before . It is just like an AIRCRAFS CARRIER in Malaysia . It is too big to fail .
Even if the company is going to close shop , it will take a many years . The price will go up few times and go down few times just like RENONG shot up from below 0.30 to more than 3.0 from Jan 1999 - December 1999 . UEMLAND shot up from below 0.40 to more than 5.0 from beginning of 2006 to 2007 . Also , Uems from 0.50 to more than 3.50 from 2010 - 2013 .

Congratulations to those who bought @ 0.26 - 0.265 on 31 Jan 2019 , unrealized profit 38 % . For those who bought @ 0.3 , unrealized profit 20 % .
For those who have no positions and intend to hold for 3 - 6 months can accumulate and average down .

PETRONAS INCREASED its capital expenditure from 46 billions to 50 billions this year .

Congratulations to those who bought SAPNRG @ 0.30-0.305 . At least 10 % profits . For those who bought around 0.26 , more than 20 % unrealized profit .
Many oil and gas counters have gone up more than 50 % compared to the lowest price , some even gone up 200 - 300 % from their lowest price . SAPNRG IS the conglomerate oil and gas company In Malaysia . As long as crude oil price can sustain above USD 60 , it's share price should go higher . If crude oil price can sustain around USD 70 - 80 for another one or two years , SAPNRG should at least doubled its share price .

For those who has been trading actively in BURSA ( e.g. RM 3 M -5 M in value ) a year
for the last 5 years , he should be able to understand the tactics and the movements of the counters shares prices .
When the price is low , the price move up and down in a tight range , as the sharks don't want the contra players to make money and at the same time they are accumulating the shares . All the counters are the same . The only difference is how long they need to take to accumulate and this depend on the shares paid up of the counter
The bigger the shares paid up , it will take longer time ..
For Sapnrg with 15.979 billions shares issued , assuming 30 % of shares are in the hand of retail buyers , it means 4.7937 billions shares .
If they push up every 10 sen , they have to pay extra 479 millions . If they push up every
RM 1.00 , they have to pay extra 4.7937 billions .
So , when the price is low , the price moves in a tight range . We can take Carimin , a small capital with 233 millions paid up as an example .below 0.30 , up down up down for so long , from 5 Dec 2018 , 0.295 , to highest of 0.945 on
12 Feb 2019 , because accumulated enough and running of time .

Imagine if crude oil price hovering above
USD 70 -80 for next one two years , Sapnrg may be above 1.50 , Warrant above 1.00 .

As at 31 Jan 20019 , AMANAHRAYA TRUSTEE owns 4,302,719,373 shares ( 26.927% )
, as at 30 Jan 2019 , KUMPULAN WANG PERSARAAN owns 460,744,024 ( 2.876 % )

As at 28 Jan 2019 SHAHRIMAN BIN SHAMSUDDIN owns 2,648,656,175 shares
( 16.573%) .

If you look at VSOLAR , NTA 0.04 -0.045 , shares paid up 386 millions , thin volume traded for last two years , suddenly it was pushed up from 0.095 on 26 Dec 2018 to 0.19 today , any good news or just because the Vsolar with the word
" SOLAR" on it and the govt is talking about SOLAR project at this moment .

We are here to select counters to invest or to trade in order to make some gains . We are here not to buy the whole economic of the country . Any good news or bad news which Will affect the company's shares price performance and the company's performance , we must take into account .

FGV rebounded from the record low of 0.63 on 14 Dec2018 & 17 DEC 2018 , today hit high of 1.20 . Has the company's financial difficulties been solved within 2 months ???

NEAC is established again like in years 1998 -1999 when financial crisis happened in Asia especially Asean .

In year 2009 , Sapnrg ( formerly known as CREST PETROLEUM) was pushed up from below 0.70 to around 3.0 . After merger with Kencanca , it was pushed up further to around 5.0 .
This company is like an aircraft carrier in the oil and gas industry in Malaysia , unless the government and PETRONAS want to abandon it . As long as crude oil price can sustain above USD 60 , we should be able to get some good returns within one or two years from this company .

Sapnrg is moving up . Record low 0.255 . Worse scenario like Thheavy 0.045 - 0.05 , unlikely to be happened in the next one or two years unless crude oil drop back to below USD 30 . Down side risk less than 6 sen , worse case 0.25 . After right issue and joint venture with OMV should be ok . Who knows Sapnrg may get some more contracts . From 0.31 may jump to 0.36 - 0.38 .

If all retail buyers jump in to buy around 0.84 - 0.90 for a total of 2 , 3 millions shares , or even 5 millions , they can press down to kill contra players , but if all retail buyers jump in to buy 0.84 -0.90 for a total of 20 , 30 millions or even 50 millions , then they will be hesitating to press down the price by selling more shares because they afraid that they will lose the control of the company . But , they won't be so stupid to sell all their shares at this range . But if the price is 1.80 or 2.0 , they won't be hesitating to do so .

Small share capital counters with good results and prospects for the next few years , normally the shares could have been cornered .

Should be dump the share instead of Lumpur the shares .

Once the market price is higher than the fair value of the company , they can just sell some shares to push down the price and kill the contra players . When JAKS was trading around 1.30 , the share price was pressed down to 1.00 to create a panic scenario and kill the contra players at the same time . Later the Jaks's shares price was pushed up above 1.70 .
When Carimin was traded around 0.36 , the price was pressed down below 0.24 also .
When the price is pushed up few times from the low of 0.36 , they have a lot of buffer or their safety margin is large . For example , if their cost of purchase is 0.60 and below and the company's fair value is 0.80 , then any price above 0.80 or even 1.0 , they can just Lumpur the shares to the retail buyers .

Almost all the counters will be hovering in a tight range for few months or even years and traded with thin Volume , because the sharks want to accumulate slowly and to prevent contra players to joint in especially big contra players . Some counters especially small share capital , even if you buy 5k or 10 k , it will drop few sen and cool down for few weeks or months .
When Carimin was traded around 0.28 - 0.32 , the volume traded was thin and they controlled the price movements .
Unless you have multi millions and the share price you bought is far below the company's fair value , then the sharks and major shareholders have no choice , but to push up the share price in order to prevent you from buying or accumulate too much shares at the price below fair value of the company . Just like MR KYY joint in to accumulate the company's shares , they have no choice but quickly push up the share price .
The sharks and major shareholders have accumulated a lot of shares below 0.40 and Mr Kyy could have collected from 0.40 - 0.84 , may be his average cost above 0.60 .

This counter has been hovering from 0.28 - 0.33 for sometimes , then pressed down to 0.24- 0.28 . Sometimes in NOVEMBER 2018 , they pressed down to below 0.24 within intention to collect more . After good latest good results , it was was pushed up above 0.40 .
Out of their expectations , Mr KYY joint in , they
are facing a bit of challenges .

In year 2009 , Uems ( or UEMLAND ) rebounded from 0.50 to more than more than 2.50 in year 2011 then shot up to more than 3.50 in year 2013 . UNISEM also from around 0.50 to more than 2.50 .

Due to more and more stringent rules and regulations , the price volatility in Bursa become weaker and weaker . Those days are unlikely to be seen .

If there are some changes in the govt policy and loan lending rules which are more relax and friendly , then these will be good for Uems and other property counters .

I am still learning , but if you can catch 3 to 5 dark horses which can give you 3 to 5 times , or even
5 - 10 times or even more in 2-3 years , from counter A then shift to counter B , then counter C , then good enough .
In year 2017 , Iwcity , Hengyuan , Petronm and others ,.
In 2018 , after panic sell down , MYEG , 5226 and Carimin , 2 months ago and others .

Between 2006 - 2007 , Granite( Terbau ) rebounded from below 0.50 to around 2.50 again .
In 2017 Iwcity ( or Tebrau or Granite ) rebounded from below 0.80 to around 3.20 .

Should be in year 2006 , UEMLAND rebounded from 0.50 to around 5.00

In year 2006 , Ireland from 0.50 rebounded to around 5.00 , Mrcb below 1.0 to more than 3.00

In beginning of the year 1999 , granite below 0.30 rebounded to 2.50 , Renong below 0.40 rebounded above 3.0 , Mrcb below 0.50 rebounded to around 5.0 in year 2000 , Time Engineering from 1.0 to 7.00 , HL indah from 1.90 to around 25.00 , BOLTON below 1.0 to more than 3.50 .

I bought Renong , Mrcb , granite , TRI , BOLTON and Time Engineering in 1999.
also bought Public bank , HLIND .
IN 2006 , I bought Uemland , Terbau , Mrcb ,.

A lot of people talk about Regulated short selling ( RSS ) , Intraday short selling ( IDSS) or stockists ( proprietor trade) .
Actually RSS is just talking for fun only .
IDSS means retail buyers also can short sell without having shares ( naked selling ) and buy back in the same day , this also talk more than action , because the retail buyers must be skillful enough and have enough trading limit .
What is more powerful are those stockists linked with the sharks and major shareholders or fund managers .
All the few hundred thousand buyers and sellers quing in the market , I believe are stockists with the links .

When Armada was trading around 0.145 - 0.155 few weeks ago , a lots of retail buyers grumbled , boring , scared and frustrating . Out of sudden , the price was pushed up to 0.24- 0.245 .
I think a lots of retail buyers cut loss , and the sharks collected a lots of shares at 0.15 - 0.155 , then they pushed up to 0.245 for redistribution again . The sharks will do the same for Sapnrg and Armada again.

When a company's financial positions is bad and with high daily volume traded , and its share price keep on dropping , we should avoid to buy , better mss the boat than trapped .
A coffee shop's turnover may be better than Sumatec .

I didn't buy a share for Sumatec

The trading strategy i mentioned above is only meant for few weeks to few months short term buy and sell .
For 3 -5 years longer investment , we really need to do a more deeper analysis and also have to wait for a better opportunity including a major correction .

Risktransformer , agreed with your point . Only sometimes , some data and crucial informations are not available in time .
For Armada case , those who bought at 0.24-0.19 , if they have doubled average down at 0.15 , they should have made some profits .
For big companies like Armada , Sapnrg , Velesto and many others , they won't close shop so easily .

As we are not able to predict the lowest price , so we need to accumulate level by level , as the same time , we need to monitor and also keep in view all informations relate to the company . If the is bad fundamental changes happened to the company , we may have to cut loss .
If we buy at 0.26 - 0.27 , and the volume traded for few weeks is huge but the share price never drop , then we may roughly assume that the price is stabilising , so we can accumulate some more .

MM 78 , i have been using this strategy for last few years , few factors we need to take into consideration . 1) the company won't go bankrupt 2) the share price is trading at almost historical low and the down side risk is minimum 3) strong and powerful major shareholders .

If you buy 10000 shares @ 0.26 and average down to buy 20000 @ 0.16 , the total cost of investment is around 6000 . If you hold for 3 - 6 months and managed to sell 10000 @ 0.24 and 20000 @ 0.28 , your total sale proceeds of 8000 less 6000 , you can still make a returns of 30% .

If the daily volume traded for the next two to three weeks around 500 k lots -1.50 millions lots at the price range of 0.245 - 0.265 and without any major changes in the company's financial position , then we can roughly assume 0.245 -0.265 is a lowest price range to buy .
If unfortunately , after you have bought , the price drop to 0.15 - 0.16 , then you may consider to double average down and hold for a period of few months .

To guess to what price Sapnrg Will drop to or to hit the record low is very difficult . Instead we should think whether Sapnrg can recover back its losses or making profits in the next few years .
How low can the price hit also very much depends on how much the retail buyers buy .
If retail buyers bought a net total of 5 millions shares at 0.26 , after T + 3 , the price may drop to 0.22 - 0.23 . If retail buyers average down a net total of 20 millions shares at 0.21 - 22 , then , the price may drop to 0.19 - 0.20 . If the retail buyers keep average down again with a net total buy of 50 millions shares again at 0.19 then the price may drop to 0.15 - 0.16 . We can take ARMADA's low of 0.145 and Velesto's low of 0.165 as a reference . We also have to see the daily volume traded , if the daily volume is more than 5 millions lots for 2 -3 weeks consecutively , then we can roughly assume the temporary lowest price is there if there is no major changes in the company's financial position .