[UMW] QoQ TTM Result on 31-Dec-2002 [#4]

	30/09/03	30/06/03	31/03/03	31/12/02	30/09/02	30/06/02	31/03/02	CAGR
TTM Result
Revenue	4,877,803	4,562,692	4,187,833	3,839,950	3,674,413	3,485,897	3,287,684	30.05%
YoY %	6.91%	8.95%	9.06%	4.51%	5.41%	6.03%	-	-
Horiz. %	148.37%	138.78%	127.38%	116.80%	111.76%	106.03%	100.00%	-
PBT	465,774	480,818	485,625	462,097	475,042	450,901	409,890	8.88%
YoY %	-3.13%	-0.99%	5.09%	-2.73%	5.35%	10.01%	-	-
Horiz. %	113.63%	117.30%	118.48%	112.74%	115.89%	110.01%	100.00%	-
Tax	-254,226	-262,311	-257,086	-240,790	-250,001	-230,064	-205,392	15.26%
YoY %	3.08%	-2.03%	-6.77%	3.68%	-8.67%	-12.01%	-	-
Horiz. %	123.78%	127.71%	125.17%	117.23%	121.72%	112.01%	100.00%	-
NP	211,548	218,507	228,539	221,307	225,041	220,837	204,498	2.28%
YoY %	-3.18%	-4.39%	3.27%	-1.66%	1.90%	7.99%	-	-
Horiz. %	103.45%	106.85%	111.76%	108.22%	110.05%	107.99%	100.00%	-
								-
YoY %	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
NP to SH	211,548	218,507	228,539	221,307	225,041	220,837	204,498	2.28%
YoY %	-3.18%	-4.39%	3.27%	-1.66%	1.90%	7.99%	-	-
Horiz. %	103.45%	106.85%	111.76%	108.22%	110.05%	107.99%	100.00%	-
								-
YoY %	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Tax Rate	54.58%	54.56%	52.94%	52.11%	52.63%	51.02%	50.11%	-
YoY %	0.04%	3.06%	1.59%	-0.99%	3.16%	1.82%	-	-
Horiz. %	108.92%	108.88%	105.65%	103.99%	105.03%	101.82%	100.00%	-
Total Cost	4,666,255	4,344,185	3,959,294	3,618,643	3,449,372	3,265,060	3,083,186	31.78%
YoY %	7.41%	9.72%	9.41%	4.91%	5.64%	5.90%	-	-
Horiz. %	151.35%	140.90%	128.42%	117.37%	111.88%	105.90%	100.00%	-
								-
YoY %	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Net Worth	1,658,464	1,654,635	1,653,143	1,646,626	1,676,022	1,604,689	1,527,735	5.62%
YoY %	0.23%	0.09%	0.40%	-1.75%	4.45%	5.04%	-	-
Horiz. %	108.56%	108.31%	108.21%	107.78%	109.71%	105.04%	100.00%	-

	30/09/03	30/06/03	31/03/03	31/12/02	30/09/02	30/06/02	31/03/02	CAGR
Dividend
Div	75,815	54,851	54,851	54,851	54,266	46,984	73,808	1.80%
YoY %	38.22%	0.00%	0.00%	1.08%	15.50%	-36.34%	-	-
Horiz. %	102.72%	74.32%	74.32%	74.32%	73.52%	63.66%	100.00%	-
Div Payout %	35.84%	25.10%	24.00%	24.79%	24.11%	21.28%	36.09%	-
YoY %	42.79%	4.58%	-3.19%	2.82%	13.30%	-41.04%	-	-
Horiz. %	99.31%	69.55%	66.50%	68.69%	66.81%	58.96%	100.00%	-

	30/09/03	30/06/03	31/03/03	31/12/02	30/09/02	30/06/02	31/03/02	CAGR
Equity
Net Worth	1,658,464	1,654,635	1,653,143	1,646,626	1,676,022	1,604,689	1,527,735	5.62%
YoY %	0.23%	0.09%	0.40%	-1.75%	4.45%	5.04%	-	-
Horiz. %	108.56%	108.31%	108.21%	107.78%	109.71%	105.04%	100.00%	-
NOSH	276,410	275,772	275,523	274,437	274,074	273,580	269,285	1.75%
YoY %	0.23%	0.09%	0.40%	0.13%	0.18%	1.59%	-	-
Horiz. %	102.65%	102.41%	102.32%	101.91%	101.78%	101.59%	100.00%	-

	30/09/03	30/06/03	31/03/03	31/12/02	30/09/02	30/06/02	31/03/02	CAGR
Ratio Analysis
NP Margin	4.34%	4.79%	5.46%	5.76%	6.12%	6.34%	6.22%	-
YoY %	-9.39%	-12.27%	-5.21%	-5.88%	-3.47%	1.93%	-	-
Horiz. %	69.77%	77.01%	87.78%	92.60%	98.39%	101.93%	100.00%	-
ROE	12.76%	13.21%	13.82%	13.44%	13.43%	13.76%	13.39%	-
YoY %	-3.41%	-4.41%	2.83%	0.07%	-2.40%	2.76%	-	-
Horiz. %	95.29%	98.66%	103.21%	100.37%	100.30%	102.76%	100.00%	-

	30/09/03	30/06/03	31/03/03	31/12/02	30/09/02	30/06/02	31/03/02	CAGR
Per Share
RPS	1,764.69	1,654.51	1,519.95	1,399.21	1,340.66	1,274.17	1,220.89	27.80%
YoY %	6.66%	8.85%	8.63%	4.37%	5.22%	4.36%	-	-
Horiz. %	144.54%	135.52%	124.50%	114.61%	109.81%	104.36%	100.00%	-
EPS	76.53	79.23	82.95	80.64	82.11	80.72	75.94	0.51%
YoY %	-3.41%	-4.48%	2.86%	-1.79%	1.72%	6.29%	-	-
Horiz. %	100.78%	104.33%	109.23%	106.19%	108.12%	106.29%	100.00%	-
DPS	27.50	20.00	20.00	20.00	19.80	17.50	27.50	0.00%
YoY %	37.50%	0.00%	0.00%	1.01%	13.14%	-36.36%	-	-
Horiz. %	100.00%	72.73%	72.73%	72.73%	72.00%	63.64%	100.00%	-
NAPS	6.00	6.00	6.00	6.00	6.1152	5.8655	5.6733	3.79%
YoY %	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-1.88%	4.26%	3.39%	-	-
Horiz. %	105.76%	105.76%	105.76%	105.76%	107.79%	103.39%	100.00%	-

	30/09/03	30/06/03	31/03/03	31/12/02	30/09/02	30/06/02	31/03/02	CAGR
Adjusted Per Share Value based on latest NOSH - 274,437
RPS	417.52	390.54	358.46	328.68	314.51	298.38	281.41	30.05%
YoY %	6.91%	8.95%	9.06%	4.51%	5.41%	6.03%	-	-
Horiz. %	148.37%	138.78%	127.38%	116.80%	111.76%	106.03%	100.00%	-
EPS	18.11	18.70	19.56	18.94	19.26	18.90	17.50	2.30%
YoY %	-3.16%	-4.40%	3.27%	-1.66%	1.90%	8.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	103.49%	106.86%	111.77%	108.23%	110.06%	108.00%	100.00%	-
DPS	6.49	4.69	4.69	4.69	4.64	4.02	6.32	1.78%
YoY %	38.38%	0.00%	0.00%	1.08%	15.42%	-36.39%	-	-
Horiz. %	102.69%	74.21%	74.21%	74.21%	73.42%	63.61%	100.00%	-
NAPS	1.4196	1.4163	1.415	1.4094	1.4346	1.3735	1.3077	5.62%
YoY %	0.23%	0.09%	0.40%	-1.76%	4.45%	5.03%	-	-
Horiz. %	108.56%	108.30%	108.21%	107.78%	109.70%	105.03%	100.00%	-

	30/09/03	30/06/03	31/03/03	31/12/02	30/09/02	30/06/02	31/03/02	CAGR
Price Multiplier on Financial Quarter End Date
Date	30/09/03	30/06/03	31/03/03	31/12/02	30/09/02	28/06/02	29/03/02	-
Price	4.55	3.97	3.85	3.75	3.97	3.90	4.28	-
P/RPS	0.26	0.24	0.25	0.27	0.30	0.31	0.35	-17.96%
YoY %	8.33%	-4.00%	-7.41%	-10.00%	-3.23%	-11.43%	-	-
Horiz. %	74.29%	68.57%	71.43%	77.14%	85.71%	88.57%	100.00%	-
P/EPS	5.95	5.01	4.64	4.65	4.84	4.83	5.64	3.62%
YoY %	18.76%	7.97%	-0.22%	-3.93%	0.21%	-14.36%	-	-
Horiz. %	105.50%	88.83%	82.27%	82.45%	85.82%	85.64%	100.00%	-
EY	16.82	19.96	21.54	21.50	20.68	20.70	17.74	-3.48%
YoY %	-15.73%	-7.34%	0.19%	3.97%	-0.10%	16.69%	-	-
Horiz. %	94.81%	112.51%	121.42%	121.20%	116.57%	116.69%	100.00%	-
DY	6.04	5.04	5.19	5.33	4.99	4.49	6.43	-4.08%
YoY %	19.84%	-2.89%	-2.63%	6.81%	11.14%	-30.17%	-	-
Horiz. %	93.93%	78.38%	80.72%	82.89%	77.60%	69.83%	100.00%	-
P/NAPS	0.76	0.66	0.64	0.63	0.65	0.66	0.75	0.88%
YoY %	15.15%	3.12%	1.59%	-3.08%	-1.52%	-12.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	101.33%	88.00%	85.33%	84.00%	86.67%	88.00%	100.00%	-

	30/09/03	30/06/03	31/03/03	31/12/02	30/09/02	30/06/02	31/03/02	CAGR
Price Multiplier on Announcement Date
Date	11/11/03	13/08/03	12/05/03	25/02/03	15/11/02	08/08/02	16/05/02	-
Price	3.03	4.53	3.78	3.85	3.90	3.92	4.30	-
P/RPS	0.17	0.27	0.25	0.28	0.29	0.31	0.35	-38.18%
YoY %	-37.04%	8.00%	-10.71%	-3.45%	-6.45%	-11.43%	-	-
Horiz. %	48.57%	77.14%	71.43%	80.00%	82.86%	88.57%	100.00%	-
P/EPS	3.96	5.72	4.56	4.77	4.75	4.86	5.66	-21.17%
YoY %	-30.77%	25.44%	-4.40%	0.42%	-2.26%	-14.13%	-	-
Horiz. %	69.96%	101.06%	80.57%	84.28%	83.92%	85.87%	100.00%	-
EY	25.26	17.49	21.94	20.95	21.05	20.59	17.66	26.92%
YoY %	44.43%	-20.28%	4.73%	-0.48%	2.23%	16.59%	-	-
Horiz. %	143.04%	99.04%	124.24%	118.63%	119.20%	116.59%	100.00%	-
DY	9.08	4.42	5.29	5.19	5.08	4.46	6.40	26.23%
YoY %	105.43%	-16.45%	1.93%	2.17%	13.90%	-30.31%	-	-
Horiz. %	141.88%	69.06%	82.66%	81.09%	79.38%	69.69%	100.00%	-
P/NAPS	0.51	0.76	0.63	0.64	0.64	0.67	0.76	-23.33%
YoY %	-32.89%	20.63%	-1.56%	0.00%	-4.48%	-11.84%	-	-
Horiz. %	67.11%	100.00%	82.89%	84.21%	84.21%	88.16%	100.00%	-

PBT = Profit before Tax, NP = Net Profit, NP to SH = Net Profit Attributable to Shareholder, Div = Dividend, NP Margin = Net Profit Margin, ROE = Return on Equity, NOSH = Number of Shares, RPS = Revenue per Share, EPS = Earning Per Share, DPS = Dividend Per Share, NAPS = Net Asset Per Share, EOQ = End of Quarter, ANN = Announcement, P/RPS = Price/Revenue per Share, P/EPS = Price/Earning per Share, P/NAPS = Price/Net Asset per Share, EY = Earning Yield, DY = Dividend Yield.

NOSH is estimated based on the NP to SH and EPS. Div is an estimated figure based on the DPS and NOSH. Net Worth is an estimated figure based on the NAPS and NOSH.

Div Payout %, NP Margin, ROE, DY, QoQ ⃤ & YoY ⃤ figures in Percentage; RPS, EPS & DPS's figures in Cent; and NAPS's figures in Dollar.

All figures in '000 unless specified.

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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....

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