[NESTLE] QoQ TTM Result on 31-Dec-2003 [#4]

Stock

[NESTLE] NESTLE (M) BHD

Announcement Date

26-Feb-2004

Admission Sponsor

Sponsor

Financial Year

31-Dec-2003

Quarter

31-Dec-2003 [#4]

Profit Trend

QoQ- 8.75%

YoY- -11.28%

Quarter Report

for KLSEreporting2003a.xls

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NESTLE's Result

NESTLE's Financial Summary

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YoY %

Horiz. %

	30/09/04	30/06/04	31/03/04	31/12/03	30/09/03	30/06/03	31/03/03	CAGR
TTM Result
Revenue	2,843,633	2,768,260	2,688,011	2,656,989	2,514,600	2,459,323	2,503,300	8.84%
YoY %	2.72%	2.99%	1.17%	5.66%	2.25%	-1.76%	-	-
Horiz. %	113.60%	110.58%	107.38%	106.14%	100.45%	98.24%	100.00%	-
PBT	288,893	245,056	213,377	202,117	192,779	215,657	242,110	12.46%
YoY %	17.89%	14.85%	5.57%	4.84%	-10.61%	-10.93%	-	-
Horiz. %	119.32%	101.22%	88.13%	83.48%	79.62%	89.07%	100.00%	-
Tax	-69,761	-52,631	-44,870	-40,128	-43,827	-46,901	-52,914	20.17%
YoY %	-32.55%	-17.30%	-11.82%	8.44%	6.55%	11.36%	-	-
Horiz. %	131.84%	99.47%	84.80%	75.84%	82.83%	88.64%	100.00%	-
NP	219,132	192,425	168,507	161,989	148,952	168,756	189,196	10.25%
YoY %	13.88%	14.19%	4.02%	8.75%	-11.74%	-10.80%	-	-
Horiz. %	115.82%	101.71%	89.06%	85.62%	78.73%	89.20%	100.00%	-
								-
YoY %	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
NP to SH	219,132	192,425	168,507	161,989	148,952	168,756	189,196	10.25%
YoY %	13.88%	14.19%	4.02%	8.75%	-11.74%	-10.80%	-	-
Horiz. %	115.82%	101.71%	89.06%	85.62%	78.73%	89.20%	100.00%	-
								-
YoY %	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Tax Rate	24.15%	21.48%	21.03%	19.85%	22.73%	21.75%	21.86%	-
YoY %	12.43%	2.14%	5.94%	-12.67%	4.51%	-0.50%	-	-
Horiz. %	110.48%	98.26%	96.20%	90.81%	103.98%	99.50%	100.00%	-
Total Cost	2,624,501	2,575,835	2,519,504	2,495,000	2,365,648	2,290,567	2,314,104	8.72%
YoY %	1.89%	2.24%	0.98%	5.47%	3.28%	-1.02%	-	-
Horiz. %	113.41%	111.31%	108.88%	107.82%	102.23%	98.98%	100.00%	-
								-
YoY %	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Net Worth	321,321	311,916	375,138	304,913	269,610	316,641	403,274	-14.01%
YoY %	3.02%	-16.85%	23.03%	13.09%	-14.85%	-21.48%	-	-
Horiz. %	79.68%	77.35%	93.02%	75.61%	66.86%	78.52%	100.00%	-

	30/09/04	30/06/04	31/03/04	31/12/03	30/09/03	30/06/03	31/03/03	CAGR
Dividend
Div	199,357	199,357	199,366	199,366	222,843	293,197	281,452	-20.48%
YoY %	0.00%	-0.00%	0.00%	-10.54%	-24.00%	4.17%	-	-
Horiz. %	70.83%	70.83%	70.83%	70.83%	79.18%	104.17%	100.00%	-
Div Payout %	90.98%	103.60%	118.31%	123.07%	149.61%	173.74%	148.76%	-
YoY %	-12.18%	-12.43%	-3.87%	-17.74%	-13.89%	16.79%	-	-
Horiz. %	61.16%	69.64%	79.53%	82.73%	100.57%	116.79%	100.00%	-

	30/09/04	30/06/04	31/03/04	31/12/03	30/09/03	30/06/03	31/03/03	CAGR
Equity
Net Worth	321,321	311,916	375,138	304,913	269,610	316,641	403,274	-14.01%
YoY %	3.02%	-16.85%	23.03%	13.09%	-14.85%	-21.48%	-	-
Horiz. %	79.68%	77.35%	93.02%	75.61%	66.86%	78.52%	100.00%	-
NOSH	234,541	234,523	234,461	234,548	234,443	234,549	234,461	0.02%
YoY %	0.01%	0.03%	-0.04%	0.04%	-0.05%	0.04%	-	-
Horiz. %	100.03%	100.03%	100.00%	100.04%	99.99%	100.04%	100.00%	-

	30/09/04	30/06/04	31/03/04	31/12/03	30/09/03	30/06/03	31/03/03	CAGR
Ratio Analysis
NP Margin	7.71%	6.95%	6.27%	6.10%	5.92%	6.86%	7.56%	-
YoY %	10.94%	10.85%	2.79%	3.04%	-13.70%	-9.26%	-	-
Horiz. %	101.98%	91.93%	82.94%	80.69%	78.31%	90.74%	100.00%	-
ROE	68.20%	61.69%	44.92%	53.13%	55.25%	53.30%	46.91%	-
YoY %	10.55%	37.33%	-15.45%	-3.84%	3.66%	13.62%	-	-
Horiz. %	145.38%	131.51%	95.76%	113.26%	117.78%	113.62%	100.00%	-

	30/09/04	30/06/04	31/03/04	31/12/03	30/09/03	30/06/03	31/03/03	CAGR
Per Share
RPS	1,212.42	1,180.37	1,146.46	1,132.81	1,072.58	1,048.53	1,067.68	8.81%
YoY %	2.72%	2.96%	1.20%	5.62%	2.29%	-1.79%	-	-
Horiz. %	113.56%	110.55%	107.38%	106.10%	100.46%	98.21%	100.00%	-
EPS	93.43	82.05	71.87	69.06	63.53	71.95	80.69	10.23%
YoY %	13.87%	14.16%	4.07%	8.70%	-11.70%	-10.83%	-	-
Horiz. %	115.79%	101.69%	89.07%	85.59%	78.73%	89.17%	100.00%	-
DPS	85.00	85.00	85.00	85.00	95.00	125.00	120.00	-20.48%
YoY %	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-10.53%	-24.00%	4.17%	-	-
Horiz. %	70.83%	70.83%	70.83%	70.83%	79.17%	104.17%	100.00%	-
NAPS	1.37	1.33	1.60	1.30	1.15	1.35	1.72	-14.03%
YoY %	3.01%	-16.87%	23.08%	13.04%	-14.81%	-21.51%	-	-
Horiz. %	79.65%	77.33%	93.02%	75.58%	66.86%	78.49%	100.00%	-

	30/09/04	30/06/04	31/03/04	31/12/03	30/09/03	30/06/03	31/03/03	CAGR
Adjusted Per Share Value based on latest NOSH - 234,548
RPS	1,212.64	1,180.49	1,146.27	1,133.04	1,072.32	1,048.75	1,067.51	8.84%
YoY %	2.72%	2.99%	1.17%	5.66%	2.25%	-1.76%	-	-
Horiz. %	113.60%	110.58%	107.38%	106.14%	100.45%	98.24%	100.00%	-
EPS	93.45	82.06	71.86	69.08	63.52	71.96	80.68	10.26%
YoY %	13.88%	14.19%	4.02%	8.75%	-11.73%	-10.81%	-	-
Horiz. %	115.83%	101.71%	89.07%	85.62%	78.73%	89.19%	100.00%	-
DPS	85.01	85.01	85.02	85.02	95.03	125.03	120.02	-20.49%
YoY %	0.00%	-0.01%	0.00%	-10.53%	-23.99%	4.17%	-	-
Horiz. %	70.83%	70.83%	70.84%	70.84%	79.18%	104.17%	100.00%	-
NAPS	1.3702	1.3301	1.5997	1.3003	1.1497	1.3503	1.7197	-14.01%
YoY %	3.01%	-16.85%	23.03%	13.10%	-14.86%	-21.48%	-	-
Horiz. %	79.68%	77.34%	93.02%	75.61%	66.85%	78.52%	100.00%	-

	30/09/04	30/06/04	31/03/04	31/12/03	30/09/03	30/06/03	31/03/03	CAGR
Price Multiplier on Financial Quarter End Date
Date	30/09/04	30/06/04	31/03/04	31/12/03	30/09/03	30/06/03	31/03/03	-
Price	22.70	22.00	22.60	21.80	21.00	20.50	20.20	-
P/RPS	1.87	1.86	1.97	1.92	1.96	1.96	1.89	-0.70%
YoY %	0.54%	-5.58%	2.60%	-2.04%	0.00%	3.70%	-	-
Horiz. %	98.94%	98.41%	104.23%	101.59%	103.70%	103.70%	100.00%	-
P/EPS	24.30	26.81	31.45	31.56	33.05	28.49	25.03	-1.94%
YoY %	-9.36%	-14.75%	-0.35%	-4.51%	16.01%	13.82%	-	-
Horiz. %	97.08%	107.11%	125.65%	126.09%	132.04%	113.82%	100.00%	-
EY	4.12	3.73	3.18	3.17	3.03	3.51	3.99	2.15%
YoY %	10.46%	17.30%	0.32%	4.62%	-13.68%	-12.03%	-	-
Horiz. %	103.26%	93.48%	79.70%	79.45%	75.94%	87.97%	100.00%	-
DY	3.74	3.86	3.76	3.90	4.52	6.10	5.94	-26.47%
YoY %	-3.11%	2.66%	-3.59%	-13.72%	-25.90%	2.69%	-	-
Horiz. %	62.96%	64.98%	63.30%	65.66%	76.09%	102.69%	100.00%	-
P/NAPS	16.57	16.54	14.13	16.77	18.26	15.19	11.74	25.74%
YoY %	0.18%	17.06%	-15.74%	-8.16%	20.21%	29.39%	-	-
Horiz. %	141.14%	140.89%	120.36%	142.84%	155.54%	129.39%	100.00%	-

	30/09/04	30/06/04	31/03/04	31/12/03	30/09/03	30/06/03	31/03/03	CAGR
Price Multiplier on Announcement Date
Date	04/11/04	05/08/04	07/05/04	26/02/04	02/01/04	06/08/03	30/04/03	-
Price	22.60	22.00	20.80	22.10	21.80	20.80	20.00	-
P/RPS	1.86	1.86	1.81	1.95	2.03	1.98	1.87	-0.35%
YoY %	0.00%	2.76%	-7.18%	-3.94%	2.53%	5.88%	-	-
Horiz. %	99.47%	99.47%	96.79%	104.28%	108.56%	105.88%	100.00%	-
P/EPS	24.19	26.81	28.94	32.00	34.31	28.91	24.79	-1.61%
YoY %	-9.77%	-7.36%	-9.56%	-6.73%	18.68%	16.62%	-	-
Horiz. %	97.58%	108.15%	116.74%	129.08%	138.40%	116.62%	100.00%	-
EY	4.13	3.73	3.46	3.13	2.91	3.46	4.03	1.64%
YoY %	10.72%	7.80%	10.54%	7.56%	-15.90%	-14.14%	-	-
Horiz. %	102.48%	92.56%	85.86%	77.67%	72.21%	85.86%	100.00%	-
DY	3.76	3.86	4.09	3.85	4.36	6.01	6.00	-26.70%
YoY %	-2.59%	-5.62%	6.23%	-11.70%	-27.45%	0.17%	-	-
Horiz. %	62.67%	64.33%	68.17%	64.17%	72.67%	100.17%	100.00%	-
P/NAPS	16.50	16.54	13.00	17.00	18.96	15.41	11.63	26.18%
YoY %	-0.24%	27.23%	-23.53%	-10.34%	23.04%	32.50%	-	-
Horiz. %	141.87%	142.22%	111.78%	146.17%	163.03%	132.50%	100.00%	-

PBT = Profit before Tax, NP = Net Profit, NP to SH = Net Profit Attributable to Shareholder, Div = Dividend, NP Margin = Net Profit Margin, ROE = Return on Equity, NOSH = Number of Shares, RPS = Revenue per Share, EPS = Earning Per Share, DPS = Dividend Per Share, NAPS = Net Asset Per Share, EOQ = End of Quarter, ANN = Announcement, P/RPS = Price/Revenue per Share, P/EPS = Price/Earning per Share, P/NAPS = Price/Net Asset per Share, EY = Earning Yield, DY = Dividend Yield.

NOSH is estimated based on the NP to SH and EPS. Div is an estimated figure based on the DPS and NOSH. Net Worth is an estimated figure based on the NAPS and NOSH.

Div Payout %, NP Margin, ROE, DY, QoQ ⃤ & YoY ⃤ figures in Percentage; RPS, EPS & DPS's figures in Cent; and NAPS's figures in Dollar.

All figures in '000 unless specified.

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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....

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