Mr duit ... may I ask if u have done an analysis for me ? I don't want titanic :( and I don't understand your excellent 1st class analysis ! ps help me k ? Thank you very much ... warmly n sweetly :)
Ada hutang apa apa lagi meh? Dah tua cepat lupa Leh. I also dun understand wat I write la... Not excellent nor 1st class... Semua tadika view la... Untuk sembang sembang only ma..... Hahahah... Really got hutang meh?
Hahahah.... I jump first then u jump then only ship Titantic... No worries la... Enjoy ur youngest nite first.... Never quote anything yet... Jz reserve for u only... Make sure u are in my fast lane list.
Twobits boss... The most crucial is at Identification and which to be included... I skip this chapter in this write up because this particular can become one lengthy chapter... With this then we can calculate which has the highest return plus least risk......
Few reasons behind why only got 7 picks in the analysis pool...
Kam Siah duit....need more times to digest....sound simple,but thing are not as it is.....m & m is going to read this and they will go after u with parang....:)
duit,dont you think that premium should taken into consideration ? as eg for your c2 , the premium is 237 pts meaning KLCI need to be 1833 for c2 to be break even on 31/dec/15(expiry date). for HL , the premium is only 15 poits at 0.795 with expiry days of 46 (30/sep/15). To me it is too risky to touch c2 but it is alright for HL
Yes. Your definitely correct. Even though myself trade various types of puts but will not recommend that for long keeping mainly due to time constraint and premium issue.
However, the above write up is for correlation criteria so as long the correlation has high confidence level, it can be used for analysis. I ever consider this factor. Thanks for your highlight in fact.
Duit so generous. Sharing his secret weapon. But I think put call trade only good for those who can monitor the screen closely. Duit. If u don't mind pls shout loudly if KLCI has bottomed. I m still having your recommendations on my shopping list. Just waiting for opportunity. Wishing u a haut haut 2015.
So glad to see you here.. And I am doing the same thing like u to review all my shopping list... I feel like u read my mind.. I m screening and will call out their bottom price for best entry with some buying strategy...
Hahah... Not secret weapon la... It is fun trading style not weapon ma.. I don't have secret one, all must share out.. Jz no time to write another article...thanks for reading always
Hi Duit, thanks for sharing, may I know how to identify which call/put market is made by the MM? Secondly, how you define the interpretation for the normalized value, as 0.07 is an absolute value, not in %, I am a bit confused on this, do u mind to enlighten me on that? Thirdly, may I know what do u mean by safe to follow if normalized value above 0.15? To keep track of the direction of the index or to buy? but the price is so high if to buy...Sorry ask too much, haha
Hi Duit, thanks for sharing, may I know how to identify which call/put market is made by the MM? [̲̅a̲̅][̲̅n̲̅][̲̅s̲̅][̲̅w̲̅][̲̅e̲̅][̲̅r̲̅] Actually, most of the FBMKLCI call and put warrants also have MM no matter issued by CIMB, Maybank, Macquarie etc. The concern is whether MM control about 100% or lesser. Some put and call have large participation of small retailers, hence, the dynamic of the stock will be reduced. For instance, when you hear somebody say : Look like this C(X) or H(X) stand firm even though the market is plunge/surge. May be one easy way for you to check the existence of MM, you check the buy/sell queue before and after market open at 9AM, 2:30PM and 4:45pm. Once you see the queue abnormal before and after (like in my write up) mean MM is already IN. ANother sign is normally you will see huge lots like 5000 lots or 3000 lots by only 1 seller/buyer. Of course there are few warrants have odd queue like 3396 or 200/300 lots. It means small MM is over there.
Secondly, how you define the interpretation for the normalized value, as 0.07 is an absolute value, not in %, I am a bit confused on this, do u mind to enlighten me on that? [̲̅a̲̅][̲̅n̲̅][̲̅s̲̅][̲̅w̲̅][̲̅e̲̅][̲̅r̲̅] Need not to define. Actually 0.07 is the sum up difference by 7 counters mean several with RM0.005 change while some are UNCHANGE. In another analysis I will use % but it will be used to predict how many index point changes. I am not ready to do this write up at this moment as it involves more technical skills. Why must get the value into POSITIVE, because we want to see the magnitude whether safe to be used to predict daily's CI movement. YOu read there are 3 results either weak indicator, strong or very strong indicator.
Thirdly, may I know what do u mean by safe to follow if normalized value above 0.15? To keep track of the direction of the index or to buy? but the price is so high if to buy...Sorry ask too much, haha [̲̅a̲̅][̲̅n̲̅][̲̅s̲̅][̲̅w̲̅][̲̅e̲̅][̲̅r̲̅] For example, when you get the total normalized value at 0.15 mean on that particular moment it is very safe to rely on MM's movement to predict CI movement. Give you detailed example 1a) result at 0.15 and market UP, when suddenly(within minute) 0.15 become 0.18/0.20 then you can trade more Call warrant 1b) result at 0.15 and market DOWN, when suddenly(within minute) 0.15 become 0.18/0.20 then you can buy more Put warrant
2a) result at 0.20 and market UP, if suddenly(within minutes) 0.20 reduce to 0.16/0.100 then you can start to buy PUT 2b) result at 0.20 and market Down, if suddenly(within minutes) 0.20 reduce to 0.16/0.100 then you can start to buy Call
3) If weak result like 0.07 and if market UP/DOWN........ it is weak indicator because MM deduce that day's trading will be in limited changes
4) IF strong result 0.160 when market is UP but all PUT(GReen) and CALL(Red)..... Mean in short time(less than 1.5 hour) the market will collapse. You may ask why market can be green while MM know it will be RED eventually..... Simple is that KLCI has 30 components, may be on that time have 5 gainers/2 losers/23 untrade............. So, if all 23 untrade start to join LOSER list then MM's 0.160 is perfectly match.
Conclusion: MM has every info to access and to make quick money for their issuer. Since we are busy or unable to read all global in very short time. We can make use of MM's trading behavior. As long as STRONG indicator then we can probably rely on them throughout the day.
For example: HK..... usually one bid have more than 15 sellers/buyers and MM's 5000 lots might be jz 9-15% of the total bid.... But when you check HM...... MM almost control every bids so on n off you will see retailer sell small piece or buy small piece from them...... Mean HM has high weightage
hope it helps.... no nub or dumb lo..... I am learning also to be better...
Coldrisks: It is free.... This is part of effort to return to theh community.....
Hahahhaa..... May be you are right.... But I am fine to be low profile... Really dislike high profile.... Worldwide business is good.. I have faith in you.. You can do it... U have my support.
I choose to send thru email becoz it is not nice to send thru public.... Everyday I need to reply for stock enquries and sometime I cant do it even drag for a week.... I know I cant commit for too much so I choose to go with smaller scope.... anyway.. I am still very dedicated and committed.....
but u know la.... I working as cleaner at Econsave very late only finish work.... then letih juga ma
after U go in-depth then you will know expiry date is not the overall criteria........ If the stock already overcome the exercise price and jz around the expiry date.... It has HIGHER trading interest than normal one..... I include all the necessary criteria in my analysis......
Duit hor you highly paid cleaner mah. I think hor you are the taukeh mah. Solve problem Liao got a lot of time to play stock market lor. Correct ah brader
so many 3000 thousand years never chat with you...
My gaji is RM1200 the after adjusted minimum wage... No EPF no SOSCO and apa apa itu benefits....... No choice la... start from humble work... Cleaner ma.... yes... apart of cleaning and lap tingkap..... I curi curi baca market news....
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
apanama
3,796 posts
Posted by apanama > 2015-08-15 16:55 | Report Abuse
Excellent