When icon8888 article out at 8.01 pm...suddently i3 latest forum stop for 10 minutes...nobody comment on the other article because all people busy reading his the clash of sea cucumber article
Icon ... master of marketing..and a diplomat for gurus of different philosophies.
If one is not going to buy a stock like buying a business after studying its business prospect and staying invested for the period they had expected the business to start rewarding...or because of the Div yield better than FD....its then all about tapping inefficiency in information and making a benefit out of it.
Now I think we can greatly rely on Icon where the 'inefficiencies' of information are...and while helping Icon to untie these inefficiency..i am sure we will be rewarding ourself in return too...ha ha ha..
I love the last part the most here. Thank you very much.
"Email both Ooi Teik Bee and KC Chong now to register for their courses. They are waiting for you."
It is the best advertisement for me. You know it is not easy to try to propagate fundamental value investing in Bursa.
To reciprocate your kindness, I am going to write one article, hopefully by to-night to talk about my perception of fundamental value investing, which is very different from your perspective of value investing.
I have every reason to appreciate you but none at all to "shoot" you. You are a great contributor in i3investor.
I believe you are receptive of different opinion, just like me.
Hi Icon, I think you mean Joel Greenblatt not Greenberg.
1. Buffett and Greenblatt operate in a totally different approach. Buffett focus on moat and as you know holds Washington Post, American Express, Coca-cola for decades. Greenblatt doesnt look at moat. He focus on portfolio systematic approach. Find a list of stocks with high ROIC and high earning yield, rank it, buy them, sell on last day of the year, repeat every year.
2. I do not believe Buffett focus on 23% hurdle rate. A great example is Burlington Northern Santa Fe. BNSF market cap sits at 44bil when acquired by Berkshire. You don't expect a company that size to compound 23% a year.
3. Buffett is so interested in newspaper because newspaper is like a 'toll road'. And newspaper has efficiency of scale. In a small town, the size and market of it is small enough to only accomodate one newspaper, any other newspaper that wants to come in will have to steal market shares and make a profit loss. Thus newspaper is a monopoly in small town.
4. He bought Washington Post after the bad drop in share prices to 80 mil market cap. He mention that in the superinvestors speech saying anyone can look at Washington Post assets and easily know it is worth 400 mil. He bought it with a margin of safety and the moat. He sat on the board, become great friends with Katherine Graham, the heir of Washington Post, and guided her to turn the company around, hence the growth in margin and revenue.
5. If by your categorisation of value traders & value investors, then Buffett is a former then become a latter. He uses pure Ben Graham net-net style when he was running his partnership. Finding cheap companies, and yes thats how he bought Berkshire Hathaway, and sell them when they reaches fair value. Over time under the influence of Charlie Munger and buying Sees Candies, he started to appreciate the power of franchise aka moat, thats how he move into looking for moat companies. Another major reason is that as Berkshire grows and cigar butt stocks are getting rare during the 70-80s, their capital are ballooning, those are the reasons why he prefer moat companies. In an email he replied to a student asking if he has 10 million now would he use Ben Graham or moat style, he thinks cigar butt still works with small sum (<10mil) and moat works better for larger capital.
6. And as some would aware few years ago during a crisis in South Korea, a fund manager send a booklet that contain all the korean listed companies. He spend half a day going through all of them, picks a bunch of them using his own money, not Berkshire and make a healthy return.
7. By my honest opinion, 99% of ppl on here are value traders especially when you look at all the analysis using ratio and metrics. But it is a fact there arent many moat companies in Malaysia to begin with, unless you venture out into other countries. Studying moat starts with studying competitive advantage, that means looking at the 5 forces. Power of supplier, barrier of entry, substitute, forces of competitions and power of buyer. I never really see anyone analyse those. And it is not easy consider the disclosure and information is very limited on Annual Reports.
1. Icon8888 - King of writing stock market article 2. OTB - King of TA 3. KCchong - King of FA 4. KYY -King of Talking 5. Wikileaks - King of insider information
As long as they don't cross their own expertise they won't sound like zebaitree and samgrouse
Example of crossing their expertise, OTB now try to do syndicate and insider information exposë like in the hevea case where he exposë got syndicate playing to push up the price
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
samgross
229 posts
Posted by samgross > 2016-01-08 20:02 | Report Abuse
U late 1.8888 minutes