Posted by kcchongnz > Feb 22, 2016 11:04 AM | Report Abuse
Posted by stockraider > Feb 22, 2016 10:34 AM | Report Abuse Btw....what is the perceive weaknesses of young people ? The answer....is lack of capital....!! Of course beside the lacked of skill.!!
What would be the result of lack of capital, lack of skill, and combine with the use of margin finance? RAIDER AGREE LACKED OF SKILL CAN BE TRAINED...BUT USING MARGIN FINANCING IS ALSO PART OF THE OVERALL INVESTMENT SKILL....SHOULD RAIDER SAY TRAINING INVESTOR TO MANAGE THEIR MARGIN IS ALSO PART OF THE INVESTMENT SKILL,,,PERHAPS RAIDER SAY IT IN A DIFFERENT WAY...IT CAN BE CONSIDER ADVANCE PART OF INVESTMENT LOH....!!
Still want to encourage youngsters to invest with margin finance? Yes, skill can be taught, but that guarantee the success in investing, especially in the short run? AS RAIDER SAY EARLIER...INVESTMENT IS NOT SHORT TERM....IT IS A LONG TERM PLAY....!! REMEMBER THIS ....SHARE PRICE IS A VOTING MACHINE IN THE SHORT TERM....THAT MEANS U UNABLE TO PREDICT ITS MOVEMENT IN SHORT TERM, BUT IN THE LONG TERM IT IS A WEIGHING MACHINE, THAT MEAN ITS VALUE CAN BE DETERMINE LOH...!!
If one uses margin finance, he has to be right, not only in the long run, but also in the short term. Otherwise any sharp fall in the market incurs short selling and capital can be wiped out easily. So a skilful investor guaranteed of short-term success in investing with margin finance? WHETHER PEOPLE USE MARGIN OR OWN MONIES TO INVEST...THEY NEED TO BE RIGHT IN THE LONG RUN...IF THEY ARE WRONG WEALTH WILL BE DESTROYED LOH....!!
DON'T FORGET, EVEN IF U INVEST USING YOUR OWN MONIES....U R EXPOSE TOO...SAME AS MARGIN LOH....!! U MEET TO MAKE HIGHER THAN UR OPPORTUNITY COST....!!
IN FACT SOMETIME IT IS BETTER TO USE MARGIN THAN UR OWN MONIES LOH...!! FOR EXAMPLE IF U LEAVE MONIES IN THE EPF...UR RATE RETURN IS 6.4% PA BUT IF U CAN BORROW USING MARGIN AT 5.4% PA, THEN IT IS BETTER FOR U TO BORROW LOH....!!
HAVING SAY THE ABOVE, AN INVESTOR NEED TO ON GUARD MORE ON MARGIN COMPARE WITH OWN MONIES.
1. WHEN SHORT TERM MOVEMENT MAY TRIGGER MARGIN CALL
2. THE BANK MAY CHANGE THE CAPPING VALUE OF YOUR SHARE, AGAIN THIS MAY REDUCE UR SECURITY..RESULTING THE RISK OF MARGIN CALL AND FORCE SELL.
3. THE BANK MAY COMPLETE DISALLOW THE VALUE OF YOUR SHARE PLEDGE, AGAIN THIS MAY TRIGGER A MARGIN CALL,
IN THE CASE OF A MARGIN INVESTOR...HE NEED TO BEAR IN MIND OF RISK ITEM 1 TO 3 COMPARE TO SHARE INVESTOR. OTHER THAN ITEM 1 TO 3....THE RISK OF CASH INVESTOR AND MARGIN INVESTOR ARE EXACTLY THE SAME.
SO IN ORDER TO USE MARGIN FINANCING U NEED TO MANAGE YOUR MARGIN RISK LOH....RAIDER WILL ELABORATE THIS LATER...!!
Margin a/c only good while makro r stable, uptrending chart counter, make sure your porfolio simple < 6 counters and bea bit diversify. Left 20-25% cash, so that u can always make a comeback. PROFIT TAKING IS ESSENTIALLY ! The more u practise the more u know where is your porfolio weak point. So make sure u start it small, till u can till it fine,,,then increas 3-5 times till your porforlio hit the 75% of your porfolio amount. Make sure u get an apps that can alert u the cut loss & profit set by your mobile. Good luck !
Author: Tan KW | Publish date: Mon, 22 Feb 2016, 02:18 PM
Monday, February 22, 2016
I read an article or a blog. The person claims that he faced margin call recently, but because his stock had already appreciated and it was an opportune time to sell. When the margin call subsided, he will continue to buy as the stock according to him is undervalued.
THIS IS REALLY RIDICULOUS!
Investors. THINK. How can your stocks forced sold by your lenders be good? RAIDER COMMENT; IF U R RIDING ON THE WAVE OF SUCCESS...THE 1ST SIGN OF DANGER OR WAKE UP CALL!! THAT MEAN MARKET TELL U TO SELL EARLY LOH..!! THIS MEANS LEAST DAMAGE RUNAWAY EARLY!!...THIS MEANS TO FORCE SELL IS GOOD LOH...!!
It does not matter if the stock is undervalued or a wake up call. An investor has much less control during margin calls and stocks can be bearish for a long long time - like many months. When that happens, your holdings can be totally wiped out. Stocks in the short term can be really volatile especially in today's age where computer algorithm trading creates huge volatility in the market. RAIDER ALREADY MENTIONED THE 3 IMPORTANT LIMITATION OF MARGIN INVESTOR IN TERM OF RISK!!
This is not about borrowings for trading (as I am not totally against it), but be sure you have strong enough collateral to sustain. This advice or statement so irresponsible is really bad for man on the street who is discovering investments step by step. WHY DO U NEED TO SUSTAIN YOUR COLLATERAL ? IF THERE IS A BIG RISK COMING, THE BEST STRATEGY IS TO REDUCE YOUR EXPOSURE TO MANAGEABLE LEVEL...DO NOT ANSWER A MARGIN CALL WITH NEW MONIES....!!
Another important things is 'Capping value' and investment Bank re-rating to your counters in the porfolio will affect your cash value of your porfolio.
In a nutshell...raider like to explain...that margin investor...is like a boxer...that they will likely take more punches compare with ordinary cash investor loh....!!
If one can master the technique of taking more punches...he will do very well forward....bcos he has a very powerful tools beside own monies loh...!!
I find that the word 'bet'appears on a majority of margin Finance topics/discussion. Goes to show it's still a kind of gambling mentality.
This is the kind of knowledge knowhow which is grossly wrong n teaching our youngsters the wrong way.
We Shld be using the word invest especially for your future. They shld learn the prudent man rule as well. This will teach them responsibility on their own future.
Posted by coolinvestor > Feb 23, 2016 11:34 AM | Report Abuse
I find that the word 'bet'appears on a majority of margin Finance topics/discussion. Goes to show it's still a kind of gambling mentality.
This is the kind of knowledge knowhow which is grossly wrong n teaching our youngsters the wrong way.
We Shld be using the word invest especially for your future. They shld learn the prudent man rule as well. This will teach them responsibility on their own future.
I totally agree with the statement. Investing should be a boring and long term process which required a lot of skill, analysis and independent thinking. However, youngster now a days like to follow different GURU or tips in order to make a quick bucks. Most of them buy a stock and expect it to goes up tomorrow which is totally unrealistic.
we cannot live without one debt or another. however, excessive debt will be a burden to anyone. live within your means. never-never borrow money (to gamble or speculate )this my advice to everybody reading this blog
Two kinds of skill sets One, the stock picking skill sets. The ones followed by internet gurus and sifus , the self taught investors, those who read some books about Warren Bufett
Two, the skill sets needed in managing portfolios. The kind of stuffs universities and CFA courses spend a lot of time on. Once you are on borrowed funds and margin accounts, once you buy more than one stock , you are in this territory.
All the Warren Bufett wannabes and copy cats just repeat what they read.......and become sifus......how about teaching the basics of portfolio theories?
Margin accounts remain very popular. You cannot be complete sifu by focusing on 1 and completely neglecting 2.
Margin account too risky is not a good answer.
Assume a portfolio of two stocks.....perfectly and negatively correlated. Why got risk one? It will be silly not to margin this portfolio if the dividend income is higher than the interest cost. This will , then , be your perfect compounded growth, exponential growth portfolio at zero risk....why cannot margin?
Chong.....don't just criticize margin accounts, be creative.
If done well, it can be a popular course. The people wants margin accounts.....what they need are some basics of modern portfolio theories.....even Koon Ywe Yin soon attend. His portfolio is too focused and therefore too high risk for a margin account. But how do you tell a guy that unless you are equipped with all the knowledge of modern portfolio theories?
For those who are innovative and creative, there are business opportunities....but only for the creative and innovative.
Since someone mentioned about portfolio management then I will talk about it a little. Markowitz Portfolio Theory emphasize on borrowing in risk free rate in order to invest in high yield stock for more return. Given 10 year MGS rate is around 4% according to BNM, you need to borrowing with interest rate less than 4% to earn money. Look at the interest charges on margin account provided by investment bank. I doubt that borrowing to invest will work. Another issue on correlation, KLCI always had been a creative market with little to no correlation with world market. You might not be able to get precise correlation calculation to build up a portfolio. Apart from that, when everyone is in fear and keep selling. I don't think correlation will be working since everything is going down.
By the way I never know that a fund manager will borrow or use margin account to invest. When an investment bank are trying to set up a new fund, they will determine the size of the fund and selling it to public. And the fund manager will be managing the money within the clause of IPS. So far, I never read any IPS that grant the authority to fund manager to use margin account.
I love the paragraph below. Exactly my point, but some ball licker keep on talking about portfolio management
In a cash account, there is always a chance that the stock will rebound. If the fundamentals of a company don't change, you may want to hold on for the recovery. And, if it's any consolation, your losses are paper losses until you sell. But as you'll recall, in a margin account your broker can sell off your securities if the stock price dives. This means that your losses are locked in and you won't be able to participate in any future rebounds that may take place.
Posted by Desa20201956 > Feb 23, 2016 01:47 PM | Report Abuse Two kinds of skill sets One, the stock picking skill sets. The ones followed by internet gurus and sifus , the self taught investors, those who read some books about Warren Bufett
Two, the skill sets needed in managing portfolios. The kind of stuffs universities and CFA courses spend a lot of time on.
ME: BELIEVE ME, THE FIRST KIND OF SKILL WILL PROVIDE YOU WITH A MUCH HIGHER PROBABILITY OF SUCCESS IN INVESTING THAN THE SECOND KIND MENTIONED ABOVE. BUT NOT ONLY BOOKS ABOUT WARREN BUFFET AND HIS LETTERS TO SHAREHOLDERS, AND BOOKS OF OTHER INVESTMENT GURUS SUCH AS JOEL GREENBLATT, SETH KLARMAN, HOWARD MARKS, MOHNISH PABRAI, PAT DORSEY ETC.
THE SECOND KIND HAS NO USE AT ALL FOR THE INVESTMENT SUCCESS OF A RETAIL INVESTOR WHICH WE ARE DISCUSSING AND CONCERN ABOUT. Once you are on borrowed funds and margin accounts, once you buy more than one stock , you are in this territory. WHAT THE F????
All the Warren Bufett wannabes and copy cats just repeat what they read.......and become sifus......how about teaching the basics of portfolio theories?
YOU ONLY TALK ABOUT PORTFOLIO THEORY WITHOUT KNOWING MUCH ABOUT IT. PORTFOLIO THEORIES DESERVES NO PLACE FOR RETAIL INVESTORS. IT HAS LITTLE USE TOO IN FUND MANAGEMENT. YOU FUND MANAGER AH?
Margin accounts remain very popular. You cannot be complete sifu by focusing on 1 and completely neglecting 2. WHAT THE F? WARREN BUFFETT, SETH KLARMAN, MOHNISH PABRAI, HOWARD MARKS MANAGING FUNDS WORTH BILLIONS USD AND MADE BILLIONS FOR THEIR INVESTORS. ANYONE OF THEM USES MARGIN FINANCE?
Margin account too risky is not a good answer.
INVESTING ITSELF IS ALREADY A RISKY ENDEAVIOUR. MARGIN ACCOUNT AMPLIFIES IT MANY FOLDS. WE DON'T NEED THAT.
Assume a portfolio of two stocks.....perfectly and negatively correlated. Why got risk one?
REALLY AH? NO RISK? ARE YOU TALKING ABOUT USELESS MODERN PORTFOLIO THEORY FOR RETAIL INVESTOR? OK OK. GIVE ME EXAMPLE OF TWO “PERFECTLY AND NEGATIVELY CORRELATED” STOCKS IN BURSA.
FOR YOUR LEARNING PURPOSE, IN REAL LIFE INVESTING, YOU CAN’T EQUATE RISK WITH PRICE MOVEMENT OF STOCKS.
It will be silly not to margin this portfolio if the dividend income is higher than the interest cost.
1) HOW SURE ARE YOU THIS DIVIDEND WILL CONTINUE? 2) WHAT IS MORE IMPORTANT; DIVIDEND RETURN OR TOTAL RETURN?
This will , then , be your perfect compounded growth, exponential growth portfolio at zero risk....why cannot margin?
HOW WONDERFUL. EVERYONE WILL BE RISH THEN. TEACH THEM, TEACH THEM PLEASE.
"When you locate a bargain, you must ask, 'Why me, God? Why am I the only one who could find this bargain?'" - Charlie Munger
Chong.....don't just criticize margin accounts, be creative.
PROPAGATING AND ENCOURAGING YOUNGSTERS TO USE MARGIN FINANCE IS THE WORST THING AN INVESTMENT COACH TEACHES HIS STUDENTS. IT IS ALSO A GREAT DISSERVICE TO THE SOCIETY. PERIOD.
If done well, it can be a popular course. The people wants margin accounts.....what they need are some basics of modern portfolio theories.....even Koon Ywe Yin soon attend. His portfolio is too focused and therefore too high risk for a margin account. But how do you tell a guy that unless you are equipped with all the knowledge of modern portfolio theories?
YOU TELL THAT TO KKY, YOU LAUGH DIE HIM AND HE WILL LAUGH UNTIL ROLLING ON THE GROUND
For those who are innovative and creative, there are business opportunities....but only for the creative and innovative.
Actually there is no difference between managing cash investment or margin investment except for the points stated below;
HAVING SAY THE ABOVE, AN INVESTOR NEED TO ON GUARD MORE ON MARGIN COMPARE WITH OWN MONIES.
1. WHEN SHORT TERM MOVEMENT MAY TRIGGER MARGIN CALL
2. THE BANK MAY CHANGE THE CAPPING VALUE OF YOUR SHARE, AGAIN THIS MAY REDUCE UR SECURITY..RESULTING THE RISK OF MARGIN CALL AND FORCE SELL.
3. THE BANK MAY COMPLETE DISALLOW THE VALUE OF YOUR SHARE PLEDGE, AGAIN THIS MAY TRIGGER A MARGIN CALL,
IN THE CASE OF A MARGIN INVESTOR...HE NEED TO BEAR IN MIND OF RISK ITEM 1 TO 3 COMPARE TO SHARE INVESTOR. OTHER THAN ITEM 1 TO 3....THE RISK OF CASH INVESTOR AND MARGIN INVESTOR ARE EXACTLY THE SAME.
SO IN ORDER TO USE MARGIN FINANCING U NEED TO MANAGE YOUR MARGIN RISK LOH....RAIDER WILL ELABORATE THIS LATER...!!
As Desa has mentioned if ur funding cost is lower than ur opportunity cost and your investment return is very much higher than than your funding margin cost, taking margin is an obvious advantage, but u just bear in mind the 3 extra risk that raider has highlighted....!!
Posted by stockraider > Feb 23, 2016 05:22 PM | Report Abuse
Actually there is no difference between managing cash investment or margin investment except for the points stated below;
HAVING SAY THE ABOVE, AN INVESTOR NEED TO ON GUARD MORE ON MARGIN COMPARE WITH OWN MONIES.
1. WHEN SHORT TERM MOVEMENT MAY TRIGGER MARGIN CALL
2. THE BANK MAY CHANGE THE CAPPING VALUE OF YOUR SHARE, AGAIN THIS MAY REDUCE UR SECURITY..RESULTING THE RISK OF MARGIN CALL AND FORCE SELL.
3. THE BANK MAY COMPLETE DISALLOW THE VALUE OF YOUR SHARE PLEDGE, AGAIN THIS MAY TRIGGER A MARGIN CALL,
IN THE CASE OF A MARGIN INVESTOR...HE NEED TO BEAR IN MIND OF RISK ITEM 1 TO 3 COMPARE TO SHARE INVESTOR. OTHER THAN ITEM 1 TO 3....THE RISK OF CASH INVESTOR AND MARGIN INVESTOR ARE EXACTLY THE SAME.
SO IN ORDER TO USE MARGIN FINANCING U NEED TO MANAGE YOUR MARGIN RISK LOH....RAIDER WILL ELABORATE THIS LATER...!!
As Desa has mentioned if ur funding cost is lower than ur opportunity cost and your investment return is very much higher than than your funding margin cost, taking margin is an obvious advantage, but u just bear in mind the 3 extra risk that raider has highlighted....!!
Raider, so are the three points a small or big concerns? How can a retail investor guides against them?
Tell us how you manage margin risk.
What is your opportunity cost? Forget about using epf rate, as investors should have a good asset allocation that he should have some in fixed income, and epf is the best fixed income to me.
Cost is a fixed thingy, is your investment return, especially in the short term a fixed return, or just an expectation? Bear in mind, your return in the short term must be realized too, otherwise if you lose big, margin calls will be made.
The margin call make margin loan as bad as it sound It is no any better than loan shark force you to pay the money by rewriting their margin rules, banker can always make new rule unfavorable on them.
Can we put all the blame to banker? Of course no, banker core business isn't margin loan, they need to deal with plenty of clients who need money every now and then, when they are short of cash, margin loan will be the first to be victimized.
UNLIKE KYY...RAIDER DON RAMMED UP GROWTH STOCK INVESTMENT...RAIDER INVEST BASED ON A BALANCE PORTFOLIO...A COMBINATION OF DIFFERENT TYPE OF STOCKS, THAT HAVE GOOD MARGIN OF SAFETY LOH...!!
Posted by 3iii > Feb 23, 2016 06:13 PM | Report Abuse
Debts can be bad and can be good. As for margin financing to buy shares, my advice to the majority is DON'T. Those who use margin financing should stress test their portfolio. What if the values of their portfolio drops by 50% over a few months, will they be financially alright or will they be mortally financially harmed? If the consequences are not too harmfuk, I suppose they can employ some margin financing in their investing. On the other hand, if the consequences are too harmful, they should not. Let us be reminded of Pascal's wager. Investing in the stock market is fraud with uncertainties. The good investors avoid and keep these uncertainties to the minimum. They invest into companies they understand, that are easy to value and where they can acquire at a price when the reward risk ratio is to their advantage. Even the appearance of a "black swan" event, they will survive financially. Pascal wager - "In the face of uncertainty, your action should be guided by its consequences and not by its probabilty."
THE ABOVE RISK IS APPLICABLE TO BOTH CASH EQUITY INVESTOR AND MARGIN INVESTOR TOO....!!
FOR MARGIN INVESTOR AT LEAST THE BANK TRIGGER A SALE, IF IT DROP TOO MUCH...BUT FOR CASH EQUITY INVESTOR...THEY MAY KEEP HOLDING THE STOCK UNTIL IT BECOMES PN17 LOH..!!
THUS IN A WHERE MARGIN IN INVESTORS ARE MORE ALERT THAN CASH EQUITY INVESTOR LOH...!!
chong...after reading all your replies, I still think you need to register yourself for a course in Finance as much as newbies to the stock market need to register to your course.
They learn Part 1 form you, you learn Part 2 from the pros.
Posted by Desa20201956 > Feb 23, 2016 07:13 PM | Report Abuse
chong...after reading all your replies, I still think you need to register yourself for a course in Finance as much as newbies to the stock market need to register to your course.
They learn Part 1 form you, you learn Part 2 from the pros.
Please enlighten me on who are the "pros" i need to learn from; and what constitute the "part 2" you are talking about.
Posted by Desa20201956 > Feb 23, 2016 07:13 PM | Report Abuse chong...after reading all your replies, I still think you need to register yourself for a course in Finance as much as newbies to the stock market need to register to your course. They learn Part 1 form you, you learn Part 2 from the pros.
Desa, let me tell you that I have learned business administration, personal financial planning and gone through the highest level of study in finance, i.e. Master of Finance course and have done an academic research paper of a calendar anomaly in an overseas University. I was top in the class obtaining a degree in Master of Finance with Distinctions. I could give lectures to finance undergrads on corporate finance, financial risk management, and investment, no sweat. May be not now as it has been a while. No, I can’t teach accounting, though I have done some papers of accounting.
I have worked as a licensed independent financial planner with CMSRL, CUTA and FAR licenses before.
So wonder why I challenged you when you mocked me, and kept on mocking me about what I have written? But you just chickened out, good move by yourself. Save yourself from embarrassment.
But have you read about me boasting about this? Not until now after being irritated by you, by your very strange behaviour of agreeing and singing along, and kept on praising everything and whatever someone you idolized, whether it makes sense or not, but on the other hand, mocking all others, and you have climbed over my head.
Why didn’t I boast about this? Because though the course is very mathematically challenging and I enjoyed them very much, and it had provided me with a foundation in finance, there is very limited use in investing in the stock market. In other words, those modern portfolio theory, efficient frontier, capital asset pricing model, the alpha, beta, gamma, theta and all the Greeks, Real option, the financial engineering such as Straddle, Strap, Condor, Butterfly and what not, value at risks etc. have no use for retail investors like us, and they have limited usage even for fund managers.
So what is really useful in investing? Those are all listed down here which have been mocked by you all this while I and others write about them:
So continue to “hit the horse’s fart” if you wish, that is your prerogative, but stop mocking and telling me what to do in investing. You are not qualified to do so.
One sentence. People call diversification the only free lunch. Why? What is the meaning?
The market theory says no free lunch. It's all risk and reward.
But MPT says diversification when done properly can increase the portfolio returns per unit of risk, not available to the individual stocks.
Key words.......when done properly, ......returns per unit risk.
Some may ignore you because they seek maximum returns irrespective of risk but those who seek the optimum level between risk and rewards will appreciate that.
If you are not going to cover this elementary stuffs clearly, convincingly and understood.....the investment guru is not really an investment gurus.
It helps in planning every thing with the word portfolio in it....including and especially margin accounts.
.......
I challenge Desa to write an article about Modern Portfolio Theory and how it can be used in Bursa
moron Desa retired accountant, what you said above, we all know already
they are directly from finance text books
we are not interested in general statements - Quote some numbers, quote some facts, show us how to implement step by step, show us how you can make use of what Harry Markowitz mentioned in Modern Portfolio Theory to apply to real life portfolio management
Posted by Desa20201956 > Feb 24, 2016 10:24 PM | Report Abuse
I have ideas how to do it, make it interesting, applicable, relevant but it's too much effort for a public forum.
You should start to recruit students now to teach modern portfolio theory as a passionate job and at the same time earn some income like some of us do.
Don't play up with simply type few wikipedia phrases; be understand of we comment, else i3 sifu challenge we juz like eating durian...can't say a single words.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Icon8888
18,659 posts
Posted by Icon8888 > 2016-02-22 22:24 | Report Abuse
Today the 15th day of CNY , everybody gather at kopitiam to chit chat
Even Kc also join...