No longer under mof, now under azmin economic planning ministry oredi, fm only book keeper la hahaha then got scold for announcing ngeh to be minister that's he was sobbing during PC yesterday hahaha
We dun mind the truth but it shd be taken into consideration for the impact on the market. Done is done so the debt is not 1cent lesser and we also didnt see anyone is charged for this. Hence why cant ph manage it themselves and wait until at least there is solution or the debt is under controlled then only announce publicly.
Let's compare Moody reports (Dec 2017 Vs Jun 2018)
Singapore, June 13, 2018 -- Moody's Investors Service has just published a report analyzing the implications of the new Malaysian government's (A3 stable) policies on the sovereign's credit profile.
The transition of power in Malaysia — following elections in May — away from the incumbent party that led the country for more than six decades has introduced some policy uncertainty.
On the question of which of the new government's policies will affect the sovereign's credit quality, Moody's explains that, while it will examine any new policies holistically to gauge their impact on the credit profile, in the case of Malaysia, fiscal measures are a particular area of focus, given that the country's high debt burden acts as a credit constraint.
Consequently, to what extent the new government achieves fiscal deficit consolidation will be vital in gauging the eventual effects on Malaysia's fiscal metrics and credit profile.
Moody's analysis is contained in its just-released report titled "Government of Malaysia: FAQ on credit implications of the new government's policies".
On whether or not there has been a change in Moody's assessment of Malaysia's debt burden, the report says that the rating agency maintains its estimate of Malaysia's direct government debt at 50.8% of GDP in 2017. Its assessment of contingent liability risks posed by nonfinancial sector public institutions has also not changed following some statements by the new government.
However, the new administration's treatment of large infrastructure projects that may be placed under review but have benefited from government-guaranteed loans in the past, and outstanding debt from state fund, 1Malaysia Development Berhad (1MDB, unrated), will play an important role in determining risks that contingent liabilities pose to the credit profile.
As for the impact of the new government's removal of the country's goods and services tax, Moody's says that in the absence of effective compensatory fiscal measures, this development is credit negative because it increases the government's reliance on oil-related revenue and narrows the tax base. Moody's estimates that revenue lost from the scrapped tax would measure around 1.1% of GDP this year — even with some offsets — and 1.7% beyond 2018; further straining Malaysia's fiscal strength.
Moody's views the targeted reintroduction of fuel subsidies as credit negative because subsidies distort market-based pricing mechanisms, and could strain both the fiscal position and the balance of payments while raising the exposure of government revenue to oil price movements.
With regard to the growth outlook, Moody's says that the change in government will not materially alter growth trends in the near term. The removal of the goods and services tax could boost private consumption in the short term. However, a review of large infrastructure projects could also result in any pick-up in investment being more spread out than Moody's had previously anticipated.
Singapore, December 13, 2017 -- Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") says that the Government of Malaysia (A3 stable) demonstrates a relatively high but stable government and household debt burden. Malaysia is also exposed to a potential sharp and lasting negative change in external financing conditions, given the country's reliance on foreign financing. Nevertheless, its resilient economic growth, deep domestic capital markets, large international asset position and large export proceeds mitigate the sovereign's vulnerability to sudden shocks.
Moody's analysis is contained in its recently released report titled "Government of Malaysia: FAQ on credit resilience to high leverage and external vulnerability risks".
Moody's report answers the five questions below:
1) Do you expect fiscal trends to improve?
2) Do government guarantees present material contingent liability risks?
3) Is Malaysia vulnerable to external conditions?
4) Are strong growth trends likely to be sustained?
5) Does household debt present challenges to macro-financial stability and growth?
On fiscal trends, Moody's does not expect Malaysia's fiscal trends to improve significantly. The agency explains that fiscal consolidation has slowed since 2014 and absent any meaningful revenue-raising measures, further material progress is unlikely.
The deficit will narrow from 2.8% of GDP in 2018, as and when strong nominal GDP growth boosts revenues. As a result, the debt burden will likely stabilize around the current levels (50.9% of GDP in June 2017), significantly higher than the A-rated peer median of 40.5% at year-end 2016. Debt affordability will remain constrained by a narrow revenue base.
With government guarantees, Moody's says that such guarantees are unlikely to present material contingent liability risk, because they are issued through a stringent selection process and most companies that benefit from them are profitable and competently managed. At the end of 2016, the total debt of non-financial public sector corporations stood at 16.6% of GDP, two-thirds of which was guaranteed by the government.
Moody's points out that Malaysia's reserves are insufficient to meet maturing external long-term debt repayments and short-term debt. Nonetheless, a sizeable net asset position, large export proceeds, and deep domestic capital markets moderate external vulnerability.
Moody's also says that Malaysia will be able to maintain its strong growth trends. In particular, the country's highly diversified and competitive economic structure underpin stable and relatively robust growth trends that have proven to be resilient to external headwinds. The economy's long-term potential growth should stay robust at around 5.0%, which would be significantly stronger than most other A-rated sovereigns.
On the issue of whether household debt presents challenges to Malaysia's macro-financial stability and growth, Moody's says that at 84.6% of GDP at the end of September 2017, Malaysia's household debt levels — while stable — pose downside risks to growth. Nevertheless, such debt does not pose material threats to financial stability. Households have large liquid financial assets to buffer the impact of a potential shock to debt servicing capacity. Moreover, ongoing macroprudential measures will help contain potential further increases in debt.
Debt guaranteed by Federal Government, RM million: n.a.
Gross External Debt, RM million: 893,409
Compare for 2017: Central Government Debt Current liabilities, total RM million: 686,838 Short-term debt, RM million: 4,500 Medium-and long-term debt, RM million: 682,338
Domestic debt, RM million: 484,084 Short-term debt, RM million: 1,169 Medium and long-term debt, RM million: 482,916
External debt, RM million: 202,753 Short-term debt, RM million: 3,331 Medium and long-term debt, RM million: 199,422
LGE using debt issue to stop and review projects causing uncertainty. And government wealth distribution to rakyat concept (populism) is not beneficial to investment
Okay, we'll gv Mr. LooseMouth LooseCannon three more months. If he can't shape up as a business promoting, market friendly Fin Min, then Pakatan Harabull had better start thinking seriously about shipping him out. Before he begins making an even bigger mess of an economy already doing quite well, with his ridiculous business retarding & market stunting outdated economic doctrines.
My take on this debt issue: 1) To define all liabilities which require payments of principal and interest (short term and long term) 2) To ensure ability to pay (based on revenues collected). If you look at BNM table, it is just data. So that's why Moody or any other analyst will try to interpret and give their opinions. However based on recent history, those opinions either biased or way of the accurate assessments. So Finance Ministry should look into re-define the above and report separately from BNM (since BNM is independent from government). It is paramount for any government to be honest and transparent on the debt. If they only give simple assessment (like the debt is way below 55% threshold), it will be very misleading and the consequences will be catastrophic. In 2017, Malaysia paid 28.9 billion ringgit in service debt charges! (In 2018, projected to reach 30.9 billion ringgit) So the main task is to ensure reduction of debt and the service debt charges will not increase the budget deficit. Malaysia should avoid deficits in favor of a balanced budget policy. Take note that previous government always used “fiscal deficit”. (A fiscal deficit occurs when a government's total expenditures exceed the revenue that it generates, excluding money from borrowings. Deficit differs from debt, which is an accumulation of yearly deficits) I am waiting for new government budget to see if they look into balanced budget and reduction of debt. Be transparent on the soft loan from Japan if it is used to pay the existing debt and how much is the reduction of the service debt charges! Previous government policy of increasing debt and using fiscal deficit to “hide” the debt borrowing must be stopped.
LGE states national debt one trillian ,that figure not wrong,but national asset looks reasonable, so the country not going bankrupt, as many would like to worry.With big debt at hand , so there is a strong need to cleanse the corrupted officials,and their many stupid projects,and people would support this policy,there we witness before us ,may be statecraft of the best kind.
Hidden debt is better to be exposed as early as possible. Imagine if this is exposed 30 years later with new hidden debts added every year with compounded interests.
If you include the debt of all the major banks, Petronas, MISC, MAS etc, the total debt will be much much more.Mas is a good example. When it collapsed, who had to bail it our. We , the Rakyat's money of course.
if you really sincere, not just revenge, not just hatred, not just political rivalry, as finance minister you must show all the debt transparent on it and must show all the assets and transparent on it...now we know what this new government is....
If u include the asset of all banks, Petronas, tenaga, Telekom or GLC the total asset is a lotsssss...they can sell off double or tripple from current market value... overall government still very rich
Wat ever is past is history, government need put corruption guy into jail bring justice to table.... not politicized pass issues every day.... better save energy to put more effort improve economy
Malaysia government is rich. Malaysia people are rich. Malaysia GDP per capita increased by nearly 50% in the last decade.
Only new wonderboy Mr. LooseMouth Fin Min crying wolf & exaggerating country debt every day to show off how so called 'smart' & how so called 'clever' he is. When all the while when he was in Penang he was massively under-reporting Penang debt with a different accounting system.
LGE say every new baby born immediately carry 30k++ debt frm 1 trillion. But our country asset more than 2 trillion mean baby olso carry 60k++ asset?? How come didn't mention this?
The RM30k debt must be borne by every Msian , include baby, the Federal govt is obligated to pay up, BUT the RM60 Avg asset, is not control directly by Federal govt, rakyat has no direct claim/access to these wealth , thts the difference.
not all say that, assets need to be said for balancer/transparency to prevent from nervous reaction from investors...meaning say the truth, bad and good, if not now we assume it just revenge politics....PH future = BN
Asset vs debt is compulsory to look into b4 investment..... if we J's look at public bank or genting group debt itself then is very high... but after u look at their asset u got balance up...same apply country or individual
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
newbie911
1,111 posts
Posted by newbie911 > 2018-06-23 17:26 | Report Abuse
Now klci akr below 1700...
Mahathir and lge happy mayb.