China is going through an energy crisis but what's that mean for the world?
China is at the center of major power cuts. Many factories have been forced to shut down, millions of households have lost power, and the demand for Chinese goods has doubled since the pandemic making it hard to keep up. Chinese authorities have begun rationing power as the price of imported coal is on the rise. This is a result of China’s choice to stop purchasing coal from Australia after political tension arose around how Beijing handled the coronavirus pandemic. Meanwhile, China's five-year plan to reduce carbon emissions reduced their use of coal but recent cold weather has created greater demand for the fuel.
The crisis has impacted Chinese citizens, production, and the world economy. With winter approaching, Chinese citizens are reportedly losing power and cannot heat their homes, according to Time Magazine. Factories struggle to meet their global demands for Chinese goods. Foreign businesses are looking elsewhere to fulfill their production needs. The central government is also concerned that the higher energy prices will cause an increase in prices for consumers. While looking for resolutions, the power shortage could harm Chinese President Xi Jinping's plan to make China carbon neutral by 2060.
Projected Q1 2022 PAT I assume Hiaptek steel plant in Klang, PAT = 46.1 Million (same as Q3 2021) 35% Eastern Steel S/B, PAT = 39.5 *1.1 = 43.5 million I assume 10% growth rate for this blast furnace plant provided the prices of iron ore and steel are at current rate or +- 10% of the present rate. Total Q1 2022 PAT = 46.1+43.5 = 89.6 million.
Projected FY2022 PAT, EPS and target price Total PAT = 89.6*4 = 358.4 million Total number of shares = 1.732 billion EPS = 358.4/1732 = 0.206 Target price if PER = 5, target price = 1.03 Target price if PER = 8, target price = 1.65 Target price if PER = 10, target price = 2.06
I believe the growth of Eastern Steel in FY2022 is > 10%, I believe the contribution from Eastern Steel may be 50 million per quarter. Hence my projection may be too conservative.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
stockraider
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Posted by stockraider > 2021-10-14 14:20 | Report Abuse
Good for steel co loh!