I would think that TM will acquired a certain % of P1 (must exceed total shareholdings held by GPacket & Korean Telco) & pay for around RM1b. After acquisition, TM will inject RM1b+ into P1.
If TM offering 1billion for P1 and based on P1 paid-up of 700 mil that would be 1.42 per share. Since TM is gonna inject another 1 billion into P1 to take care the liabilities part is not our concern.
What we concern is the offering price for our shareholding at 1.42.
1.42-0.52 (closing) = 0.90 sen gain for mother
1.42-0.96 (conversion of warrant) = 0.46 sen for warrant. 0.46-0.15 = 0.31 sen gain for warrant holders.
I think this matter most to all of us buying in yesterday at last suspended price of 0.52 and 0.15 respectively.
In 2010, South Korea’s SK Telecom acquired 25.8% of P1 for US$100mil (RM322mil) in cash. SK Telecom’s purchase price had then implied a valuation of US$389,000 (RM1.25mil) for P1. Going by this previous valuation, Green Packet’s 57% stake in P1 alone could be worth around RM712mil, almost double the latter’s market capitalisation of RM425mil. P1’s valuation should be worth a fair bit more today, given its cash-flows, customer base and valuable telecommunications spectrum, industry observers said.
A rough estimate 25.8% of P1 (note: not GP) worth USD 100 million
skng74, it will be outright purchase of P1 and later injected capital into P1 making it a wholly company under the TM stable. I don't think TM will wanna use the P1 name.
The issue now that cross my mind is since P1 is 55% owned by Green Packet, it is mean TM only buying P1 from Green Packet. If that the case, Green Packet director's could just declared special dividend to us and the bulk of the monies will be in GP pocket.
Unless TM buying the whole of GP, then we are in the windfall.
oj juang, u might miss the boat already..but who knows...wait until friday only see how la..nothing much anyone could do anything. Just sit down and wait for ccpuan news conference.haha..
The whole saga of TM buying over P1 is akin to the same deal when CI holding disposing it's Permanis business to Asahi Japan and received a nett proceed of over RM800 million. CI holding shares rallied from RM1 something to over RM5 when CI announced to distribute the proceed as special dividend. In this scenario it make sense for GP to make a special dividend from the disposal of P1. The outcome of GP price is anybody guess.
Moneysucker1, any comment on this saga. I think TM need to touch GP first before can get P1 stakes. And since they wanna have the whole of P1, they will trigger the mandatory take-over since the stakes involved is over 33%.
@ktsk88, the news rpt didn't sound like an outright purchase of P1. It is more of buying a controlling stake. If that's true, we may not get special dividend but I do hope I'm wrong. Because that would be more of a private placement since it talked about dilution of P1 shareholding for existing shareholders (not GP).
If I'm CC Puan, I would still wanna have a foothold on P1 otherwise GP is left without any core biz hence selling a stake to TM and not outright disposal.
I don't think TM will only want controlling part of P1, with TM board of Management stye i guess they want the whole of P1 to their name and be a game changer and leader.
in order to get P1, they need to goes for an MGO. You think CC Puan just wanna hike off P1?. I think he wanna exist the company and with his shareholding in GP, his best bet now is holding TM to buy the whole units.
I might be wrong on this and could be right..............just need to see the deals that gonna be revealed later.
Keep our fingers cross and see how CC Puan doing the stunts.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
JBinvestor
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Posted by JBinvestor > 2014-03-27 09:54 | Report Abuse
http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2014/03/27/TM-to-buy-P1-TM-Green-Packet-request-for-trade-suspension/