After this deal, Gpacket will have a fixed interest of RM16 mil (accrued interest) + RM4.2 mil (fixed tenancy agreement). That's already RM20 mil fixed cash outflow per year. Its solution + communications business last year profit was only RM2 mil. I don't see how they can turn around, unless TM list P1. But that's at the discretion of TM, but what is the incentives for TM to do so? Besides, they plan to continue to have capex of up to RM1.6 bil in the coming years, so P1 will continue to bleed in the next few years, so no point listing also.
Furthermore, if TM fully subscribes to the RM1.6 bil capex (i don't think Gpacket has the financial capability to follow), Gpacket shareholding in P1 will be further diluted. It think evetually it will be diluted to below 5%. So long term view also very negative!
Optimus1 & ocpd, what r u talking abt paying interest? Read the proposal properly...
"Accrued Interest on the Exchangeable Bonds shall be carried forward and are cumulative, and payments of the Accrued Interest on the Exchangeable Bonds will be deferred until the maturity date or early redemption of the Exchangeable Bonds provided that no event of default has occured."
lclwp i had been a long term gpacket investor for 5 years, I made decent money by going in / out within this period. So i understand this stock fundamentals very well. I sold all my 300,000 shares after CC Puan unloaded 100 mil shares of his 1 month ago. From that time onwards i knew something like this is brewing. I only invest for long term value, though may go in and out if sporting a pattern.
skng74 Well you can ignore whatever i say if you are a day trader. My warning goes to long term investors, because it will affect the long term prospect by accruing RM16 mil interest a year.
Telecaster i suggest you unload as much as possible later if it is above 40 cents. There is a high chance it will drop below that. For those warrant holders unload at all costs because it will be zero soon.
ocpd, actually i plan to unload on wednesday itself when it dive up. after talking on the phone for 10 min, it dropped from 58 to 52. i shud unload at pre-closing 52, but didnt.
Hi investors, i was advised by my remisier to HOLD n COLLECT more! b'cos the M&A is good for gpacket.Fair value, anytime more than rm1.60!!!! Only contra players will exit. Now Gpacket is a different MAKEUP with TM's backinglah!!!
Looks like this deal didn't even give the slightest of erections to the *serious* investing community.
I think it's because the deal is neither here nor there, it's like being stuck between life and death - you don't know which state you're in. If TM was serious about P1's business, namely its reach and bandwidth, it would've bought it outright and run it itself. As it is, it only owns part of P1. If the same management team carries on, what do you think the chances of the company turning in a brilliant performance? What P1 needs is new blood, not business as usual. I think this is why the market is unimpressed.
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ocpd
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Posted by ocpd > 2014-03-28 08:03 | Report Abuse
After this deal, Gpacket will have a fixed interest of RM16 mil (accrued interest) + RM4.2 mil (fixed tenancy agreement). That's already RM20 mil fixed cash outflow per year. Its solution + communications business last year profit was only RM2 mil. I don't see how they can turn around, unless TM list P1. But that's at the discretion of TM, but what is the incentives for TM to do so? Besides, they plan to continue to have capex of up to RM1.6 bil in the coming years, so P1 will continue to bleed in the next few years, so no point listing also.