I'm holding for a possible 2nd limit up! Sold some SBagan @ 3.83 in the margin a/c...all that waiting since Dec '21 finally, finally, finally paid off🤗
If tomorrow limit up again, Kuchai's dividend will be worth $1,216 per 1000 shrs...worth holding for gradual appreciation!!!🤗 I also happen to hold 2 lots of Great Eastern bought for S$17.52 last Mar....already received over S$1000 in divvys!🤑
not a good deal for Kuchai, why i need to change only 1:0.22 of SBagan valued at such high price? Sell all asset-liabilities, give me back all my money. You said worth RM275mil right, give it all back loh. I sendiri go mkt buy the Sbagan if I want, give me back my money mah. I dont like you suka suka swap. Illiquid swap another illiquid stocks, got help situation meh????
Paper loss paper loss lor...still at least 2 months b4 proposals are approved so there's time for it to go back above $2. I need to buy more to average down the expensive shrs @ $1.90 that gave me a few lots of the sister co. in '22. I have more than ample SBagan left to take profit slowly on to hedge my bet here...selling down the exact amt of shrs I will eventually receive anyway is one way to hedge. Meanwhile, I already reaped a small contra gain buying SBagan around $4 yesterday & selling @ $4.27 & $4.31 today.
1.This is a related party transaction in which SgBagan will buy the assets and liabilities of Kuchai at Rm275,470,203 and the share consideration price is Rm10.01 which is equal to the revised net tangible assets of SB.
2.At the consideration price of 10.01 Kuchai will therefore receive 27,519,500 shares in SB. Subsequently on a date to be determined, Kuchai will distribute all the SB share to its existing shareholders.
3. The minority shareholders must be aware that the current share price of SB is 3.25 on 2/1/24 and has shoot up to 470 intra day and now settles at 429. The consideration price of 10.01 is immensely exorbitant and does not reflect the trading share price. The shareholders of Kuchai have unavoidably become a sucker by the ratio of exchange in the RTP transaction. It is like receiving a blow and end up with broken bones and blood spilt.
4.Kuchai has 123m shares. it will receive 27.5m SB shares. Hence, the ratio of dividend in species would be 220 SB for 1000 kuchai shares.
5.This simply means if you buy 1000 shares and pay 1250 you will get 220 SB shares value at 3.25 yesterday and now 4.29. Therefore it is difficult to assign a fixed value to Kuchai because from hereon its value is dependent on the movement of SBagan share
6. The related party transaction would turn Kuchai into a cash rich company affected by some section of the Bursa listing requirement. In the end and before the share distribution, the value of Kuchai is simply the cash balance plus the value of the SB shares.
7. Let's calculate and for simplicity I will just take the mid day closing price of 429
The company has cash balance of 81,913,672 plus the share value 27,519,500 x 4.29 would give a total value of 199.97 say Rm200m. Therefore if you divided the total by 123m share, the value per share is Rm1.62
7. Considering that the current share price is 1.71, the RPT that takes time to complete has added 46 sen in value to existing shareholders. When we take the share price 171 and compare it to the value of 1.62 seem to say market has chased up the counter and Kuchai has gone beyond its distribution value.
8. One would be concern as we are aware that the value of Kuchai depends on the share price movement in SB, it is therefore very fluid and versatile. It can fluctuate from south to north and vise versa within short span of time. The fact that SB only has a minute share capital of 66m would subject it to easy manipulation and control.
9 This is my personal perception of Kuchai and it may or may not reflect the actual situation of the company.
if SBagan price dont go up to RM10 after the settlement, Kuchai will immediately hit by impairment loss before it distribution all the SB share to kuchai's shareholders.
Kuchai going limit up on Monday allowed me to completely exit for a handsome gain. Still holding on to Sg Bagan as it has potential to climb further. Will the market price of Sg Bagan be pushed up closer to RM10 in order to make the related transaction appear fairer?
Bought more Kuchai @ 1.47...yum YUM! Another 300 shrs of SBagan to be received soon! A lot of poverty-stricken & faithless contra players these days chasing hot stocks & limit-up stocks but caught with their pants down when T+2 comes & the music stops temporarily.
Funny that the 2nd commenter before the previous one has such a sweeping judgement of the deal considering his dismal track record of buy & sell recommendations in other counters like PMCorp, C & C, Huaan etc. Forumers can delete their previous wrong calls BUT I have a memory that is long & enduring!
They should just use WAVP price of Sbagan to determine the fair value. If mkt pricing it steep discount, there must be reason and only fair to use that.
deal will be aborted. minority shareholders will reject.. why sell asset worth 10 for 4?... all the asset is Great Eastern shares. might as well distribute the GE shares to Kuchai shareholders, why give it to SBagan.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
TheContrarian
9,497 posts
Posted by TheContrarian > 2023-01-08 18:25 | Report Abuse
Yes, dividend received already.