Low volume, once sell cleared, will move up..like yesterday..next level should be above 0.500. Yesterday 23 millions shares bought at 0.425 to 0.435,, these are now selling and should be cleared by now..I hold.
All 23 milions bought yesterday below 0.435 are sold today (41 millions total volume at 43% buy volume, make sell volume about 23 millions), those who will continue selling are simply loosing money..their share will be swolled as hot shily peper sauce....I better hold, tomorrow and Friday market sentiment should be more positive. My thought...
AGM on 28 May, the Q1 report may be issued same day as well together with the audited annual report for 2017. Today future coke price closed 0.95% higher, RMB2,117.
Do not expect mutch with today low volume, collection from weak holders is in on mode now..hold if you feel strong, trap if you sell, safe if you hold, buy more if you like to support the price..
I think today Huaan should close green, supported by those who bought millons and millions of shares on monday, tuesady and wednesday well above 0.460...these brave investors should stand up and support their investment..my thought..
AC, according to Huaan latest qr, page 9. If Huaan buy his coking coal at an average of RMB1,300 and sell it as coke at average of RMB2.050, he is able to generate 30 millions ringgit profit with only oven 1,2 and 3 in operation. He still have two oven incase he need to increase its production rate. This is why i simply monitor the margin between coking coal and coke price (750RMB) hope that it remain or increased. Also production rate should be at least 90 to 95%, than Huaan can produce about 215000 tons of coke per quarter. All these info can be found in the qr report.
Every 1 tons of coke required about 1.35 tons of coking coal. Also huaan produce by product tar, benzeh, etc..which generate about 15% of its total revenue simply because huaan buy its coking coal unwashed which are cheaper compared to market price.
For example, today the coking coal spot price is RMB1,273 ( washed) and the coke spot price is RMB1,956. The margin is RMB683, slightly lower than 750, however the coking coal is washed, Huaan buy it cheaper as unwashed. So based on this i assume business as usual.
I think Huaan buy its coking coal unwashed is a smart thing to do as its cheaper by about RMB150 and he can generate by- product, so i guess his cost per tons of coke as of today should be below RMB1,600 and naturally it depend on coking coal price, he can hedge his cost if necessary..the good thing is that he is the only coke producer in the area and he sell his coke next door to the steel companies.so he is very efficient..my thought.
I think if Huaan can deliver more than 5cents for Q1 & Q2, then 45-50 cents should be strong support, whether it can break 50cents & go back 60-70 cents like previous, it purely depends on Q3 & Q4 EPS. With coke & coal price continue to rise, may be Huaan can do it. Good luck. My thought.
Huaan should be uptrend now consolidating I bought at 0.37keep till result out... It will fly now looking at Gamuda 4.28 and fajar 0.395 start accumulate and hold... Construction overly done my guess... Project is not HALT but review once clear fly like super fly... Only fundamental stock.... Hehehe
Yip, investors are waiting thise weak sellers to give up their share as cheap as possible, once done it my fly up, however may not be today. Patient, time to top up if possible, the share is way too cheap now..QR will be release on or befor 28 May..good luck..
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Come
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Posted by Come > 2018-05-16 15:13 | Report Abuse
If today closed red...tomorrow will drop further..