Ivan9511, already sold Dutaland for 10% gain after seeing it couldn't move up. As for Eksons, am still holding, my cost is 67 sen after deducting 5 sen dividend.
unlike other property counters osk is more diversified, the financial & services sectors & cables manufacturing is doing well...results is good if u minus extraordinary gain from last yr disposal of melb assets......looking forward, next yr profit shd be v good as aus property sales w be accounted for.
This was exactly what I thought when I first bought OSK. But now we are in a bear phase of the stockmarket. Investment strategy has to change. There are so many undervalued counters, all will eventually recover. To maximize gain, one has to decide which counter will rebound most within the shortest period.
Weakness of OSK is basically although that it’s category in real estate development sector, it’s more an investment holding company. As the properties market sentiment is weak at the moment, the stock price momentum trend negative as well. The company also didn’t spend any money in investor stock analysts and therefore no report available to attract much institutional investors.
OSK valuation is multiples significantly below the stock’s historically norm. OSK’s trailing PE of 4.4 represents 36% discount of its 5 years average of 6.9. If the trailing PE returns to historically form, the stock would trade at 1.4 according to Thomson Reuters
Although that the OSK allowed to buy back 10% of it owned shares but why the company didn’t excised that when low price momentum and good value for quite long period of time already ? I think it’s the same strategy that the substantial shareholders try to gain maximum ownership and get as low price momentum gains before market timing to double his profits or get free stocks like what happens to OSK properties and PJD
OLH group owned about 52.27% shares, followed by 36.89% shares owned by 900 shareholders in which believed to be institutional or rich individuals and the rest of 10.84% owned by small shareholders with less that 100k unit shares. OLH group enjoy the full benefits as major shareholders as well as 10% control of RHB with sitting at the board control of RHB by himself and his family members. I think only the 10% of the small shareholders can not wait for the share price to fully gain the real value of OSK.
OLH group owned of about 42% or more of the OSK WC warrant with excise price of 1.2 and maturity date of 22/7/2020. It means that in order for them to gain maximum value or free stock from OSK WC warrants, OSK stock price must be more than 1.2 before the maturity date.
The market capital of OSK currently about 1.85B, and by it 10% ownership of RHB with market cap of 21.37B itself of 2.137B alone already more than whole OSK market cap. With current NTA of 2.18 mean you get almost everything else free on top of discount value of RHB...not making sense not to own compare to RHB
Actually the annual report in 2016 showed OSK 7.9% (page 292) and in 2017 showed OSK 10.13% (page 248) . This is due to the other major shareholders Aabar didn't subscribed RHB right issues due to BNM limits in end of 2015. Also not sure recently Aabar 3% stake sale will impacts further or not on the shareholders percentage.
For 1 year comparison of share price performance of RHB and OSK, RHB increased 13.35% and OSK dropped by -15%. RHB current business performance is done well and efficient, OSK also in line maintaining profitable although didn't growths as much for the properties development sector with EPS of 12.28 sen or we other PE ratio of around 4.4. Really a good timing to accumulate OSK.
Based on the OSK 3rd quarter 2018 business segment analysis, the properties segment itself contributed in which total assets minus total liabilities RM3.43 B - RM1.18B = RM2.25 B. Then followed by financial services segment (mainly RHB) contributed of total assets minus total liabilities = RM3.506B - RM1.559B = RM1.947B (however based on the RHB share price now = RM2.1B). The rest of construction/industries/hospitality segments contributed of RM0.409B. Compared with the current share price value of OSK now only market cap only RM1.85B. Very much under value stock.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Jon Choivo
3,668 posts
Posted by Jon Choivo > 2018-11-27 18:29 | Report Abuse
Great q. Will be happy to buy more.