Most of the insentives, is targetting the market that HY is in, ~ 300-500k range. I'm no expert, but the initial feedback from some experts seems to suggest that it's a beneficial/supportive budget for the housing sector..
Maybank CEO says property sector is the biggest winner from this budget.. but dunno how true it is la.
But... even assuming a small net benefit, I guess some good news is better than no good news at all, and among all property developers, HY do indeed stand to benefit the most from it, vs other more high end developments
Mana ada good news. In fact many developer oredi ofer free stamp duty for snp n loan n mot even b4 budjet. Doesnt entice me to buy for investment. Somemore got rgpt. Skrg mana ada property less than 500k? Adalah mayb ulu ulu place
The company profit dropped substantially in FY18 when it managed to only record a full year profit of only RM4.4mil vs RM61mil in FY17 and RM110mil in FY16. For 1H19 the group only managed to deliver a profit of RM2.9mil (of which RM1.6mil is from forex gain. Core net profit is only RM1.3mil). FY19 is also expected to deliver very mediocre profit given management decision to focus more on clearing existing inventories (RM66.5mil) and on-going projects rather than pushing sales from new property launches. This is normal given the current weak property market sentiment. Only when market improve will the company consider to make any new property launches of which the biggest will be Puchong Horizon with an estimated GDV of RM2bil (but it will not be in FY19 or FY20). So, any bump up of earning will only be seen in FY21 the earliest (if property market improves).
Assuming the company manage to achieve a core net profit of RM6 mil in FY19 (average 3Q & 4Q profit to be around RM2.4mil per quarter), at the current share price the company is valued at more than 20x PE which is really high for a property company at the moment.
In terms of balance sheet, the group has a higher debt level when compared to other small & mid size property developers. As of Sept 18, the company has an accumulated debt of RM472mil (of which RM155.2mil are short term debt) and only RM14.7mil cash. Net gearing is currently at 75%. The company need to increase its cash reserves quickly given that there is a short-term debt obligation of RM155.2 mil to be paid soon. Any debt refinancing decision will affect its bottom line even further given the increasing interest rate trends (company will pay higher financing cost in the future).
That being said the company is only trading at a PB valuation of 0.2x. Given the earnings uncertainties, this company might be a good candidate for investors with a longer investment horizon (more than 5 years).
If you are looking to diversify your portfolio outside of Hua Yang (due to earnings weakness in the near future) I would recommend you to look at MBMR.
MBMR is a direct proxy to Perodua via its 22.6% interest in the company. Valuation is cheap at only 6.5x PE (based on target FY18 PATAMI of RM145mil. 9m PATAMI is already RM106mil). PB is low at only 0.6x BV. 4Q18 results is expected to be higher than 3Q18 and last year's 4Q17.
For FY19 growth will be driven by the still high demand of new Myvi and the newly launched SUV and also the new Alza in 2H19.
Please go through the analyst reports (https://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/stk/pt/5983.jsp) and do your own analysis before making any decisions. Most analysts have a TP of above RM3 for the company with Hong Leong being the lowest at RM3.13 and Maybank the highest at RM4.50.
1. At 31 sen with Nta over Rm1.50 Huayang has huge margin of safety
2. Govt going into affordable housing very good for Huayang. Huayang meets this criteria
3. The opening of road by Scientex Pulai to Tmn Pulai Indah is excellent for Huayang remaining lots bumi lots and shophouses Now getting approval for bumi release to waiting buyers
4. The expansion into Kota Masai at Rm15 psf land cost is guarantee to make money Company says it will launch 2 storey houses here at Rm400k plus next year
Will sell like hot cakes
5. Apts in Serdang only minutes to Bandar Malaysia and Kajang growth zone
6. Huayang will also benefit from Rm3 billions cash infusion up north into Kulim and kulim airport
7. Finally. Best of the best Huayang sprawling lands in Sri Iskandar is near to Petronas University
Petronas ramping up oil and gas exploration and worldwide acquisition good for more oil and gas jobs. Expect more houses of huayang to sell in Sri Iskandar
Another huge plus point is the Rapid Oil Refinery in Pengerang. Needs at least 4,000 to 5,000 skilled well trained workers
And then the Downstream chemicals need even more oil and gas workers
Good for Huayang housing in Sri Iskandar, Perak as Petronas University will cause boom for house demand for many years to come
Why result is in the red but still going up like Iwcity ? Look at Berjaya Corp and Ecoworld, they made some money but going south ? Share market is puzzling ??
Also, bahai, u rrally expect HY to stay at 30c???? Plenty of buyer.. and makes no sense at all to be selling at this price range unless ur forced to sale for other reasons. Its not puzzling at all, plenty of value for HY at < 40 cents
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Perakians
42 posts
Posted by Perakians > 2018-10-19 23:35 | Report Abuse
New/upgrade Perak airport can boost tourism, job opportunity and lastly housing needs.