Coastal Contracts (COCO MK) ------------------------------dated 25/6 Technical BUY with +12.5% potential return Last price : RM4.96 Target Price : RM5.18, RM5.58 Support : RM4.66 Stop-loss: RM4.65 BUY with a target price of RM5.58 with stop loss at below RM4.65. COCO’s share price has consolidated within the downward price channel in the past 11 weeks before yesterday’s strong gain signaled the end of the current correction following a breakout above the price channel. We view the breakout as genuine because a higher trading volume was recorded yesterday. A positive closing above the "cloud", 10-day and 21-day SMA lines should signify upward continuation hereafter. Positive readings from both MACD and Stochastic suggest an improving momentum and could drive the share price higher. Moving forward, we peg our short- to medium-term target at RM5.58, which is equivalent to the 1.38x Fibonacci extension level.
the Coastal outlook on second half 2014 will be anticipated as series of expansion and contract awards would contribute a better earning prospect, the new G&O segment expected to driven company toward more steady and lucrative income base business.
Coastal target rm5 billion market capitalization in medium term, and continue own and operate more offshore assets include jack-ip gas compression service unit - JUGCSU (1.24 billion contract ) jack-up drilling rig (two contract and looking one more) and mobile offshore production unit - MOPU, also scaling up its shipbuilding value chain (1.2 billiion contract).
COASTAL is our mid-cap pick. We favour COASTAL as it is currently a laggard in terms of valuations versus its small-to-mid-cap peers. It is currently trading at CY15 PER of 11.3x vis-a-vis YINSON that is trading at CY15 PER of 19.3x, and UZMA which is trading at CY15 PER of 13.3x. We believe the company is in the midst of a cyclical shipbuilding uptrend as evidenced by the significant RM1.2-1.3b order book. It has successfully landed a jack-up rig compression contract in Mexico and is currently searching work for their maiden jack up rig. A successful takeup will change the company's business model to asset ownership (from trading previously) which are rerating catalysts for the company.
this is what i meant the warrant very tempting and trading at discount price, the target for mother toward Rm6 very soon and warrant should be best to accumulate more...good luck!
RAPID, rigs, Indonesian OSVs and build-to-stock (BTS) risk- reward were highlights during our marketing trip.
South China Sea’s geopolitical risks, global capex cuts and rig oversupply were some of investors’ concerns.
Our key BUYs are KNM, Perdana Petroleum, Ezion and Nam Cheong.
What’s New We met Malaysia, Singapore and Hong Kong fund managers in July. Discussions centred on: i) PETRONAS’ RAPID project; ii) the outlook for jack-up rigs, FPSOs, OSVs, shipyards and fabrication; and iii) fresh stock ideas.
What’s Our View The RAPID theme generated strong interest in several O&G stocks. Indonesia-centric OSVs (which we have yet to cover) too received attention. However, there were mixed views on: i) the drilling market; and ii) our revised valuation methodologies for rigbuilders, coupled with their order-win momentum.
While institutional investors remained keen on the MY-SG O&G services sector, they were concerned about: i) rising political tensions in the South China Sea; ii) jack-up oversupply from new rigs entering the market and the rig replacement cycle; and iii) risks associated with the build-to-stock (BTS) model.
Stock wise, investors’ interests were mainly in Malaysia-listed KNM, Perdana Petroleum and UMW OG, and Singapore-listed Ezion, Nam Cheong and Vard. They were generally receptive of some of our new ideas in Malaysia like SILK and Coastal Contracts. Stocks not under our coverage — Pacific Radiance, PACC Offshore, Ezra, Logindo and Wintermar — were also discussed.
We remain overall positive on the O&G services sector. We like KNM for its direct exposure to RAPID. Securing RAPID projects would lift our earnings and target price by up to 50%. Getting the Peterborough waste-to-energy project off the ground in 4Q14 could drive further interest and re-rate the stock further.
Perdana Petroleum and Ezion are our top picks for OSV exposure, and UMW OG and Yinson for jack-up rigs and FPSOs respectively. Nam Cheong and Vard are our preferred stocks in shipbuilding. SILK and Coastal Contracts are interesting (both Not Rated), from the perspective of value and earnings growth potential.
Maybe news on new contract especially for long term contract on rig delivered and/or more new orders. Now warrant seems cheap compared to mother share.
I'm investing this base on its fundamental, many positive news and target spreading around for coastal and this proven confident and future prospect of the company, mother price may sustaining at RM5.40 by end of trading and short term target should set around Rm6.50, also very anticipating more update on its Jack-up rig progress.
The Employees Provident Fund (EPF) has emerged as a major shareholder in Coastal Contracts Bhd after acquiring an additional 1.67 million shares in the latter.In a filing with Bursa Malaysia, ship builder Coastal Contracts announced that subsequent to the acquisition, the EPF holds 27.3 million shares or 5.14% in firm.
The 10% private placement issue seems not diluted much in EPS because of strong revenue growth. but that strengthen company cash position and lower debts.
Very strong balance sheet, lets relax and see how expert IB reports.
Coastal Contracts: Aims big. Targets doubling of market value to MYR5b with O&G upstream expansion. Sandakan-based shipbuilder and offshore support vessels operator Coastal Contracts is extending its participation in the oil and gas upstream segment and hopes to have its market capitalization doubled to at least MYR5b within the next five years. (Source: The Edge Financial Daily)
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Overweight
229 posts
Posted by Overweight > 2014-06-25 15:30 | Report Abuse
woohoo! Coastal-Wa almost trading at discount price...happy trading!