Sifu OTB, i really salute to you. Klee so much bad mouth on you yet you still provide such a long lesson for him of how to invest into stock market and cautious of risk and consequences (of course we are good listeners too into share investments) .
God sure blessed you of your kind heart as an honorable gentleman and sifu.
The general knowledge of global development, coal shortages, electricity shortages and steel demands on post pandemic will tell you what to look at.
Government intervention shall be temporary and may not last long. Watch the Youtube you then know how difficult the life of majority Chinese in China now, in terms of shortage of coal and electricity and inflation due to that affect their daily life.
To boost GDP in China, developments in major scale are to continue. Steel demand are always there. However supplies are getting lesser due to manufacturing curbs.
Until end of 2022, you shall see high steel demands throughout the world, hopefully by then the supplies pick up well.
I got in another 100K shares of Hiaptek again today.
aluminum and other commodities rebounding in US and Europe mkt.
I do not think China govt can control commodities prices. They may be able to control coal prices by being the largest producer in the world, but not commodities like aluminium, oil etc.
ArcelorMittal has expected earnings growth rate of 1,776.6% for the current year. Nucor has expected earnings growth rate of 534.4% for the current year U.S. Steel has expected earnings growth rate of 381.2% for the current year. Steel Dynamics has expected earnings growth rate of 431% for the current year. Ternium has expected earnings growth rate of 460.6% for the current year.
Big boys metal companies will do well. Hiap Teck would not do well next few quarters based on last few quarters result ? I believe it will do well
World Steel association 2021 World Demand Forecast 1855.4Mt , 2022 World Demand Forecast 1896.4Mt. Demand will move up from 2021 to 2022 China the biggest consumer , demand in 2022 forecasted to be the same as 2021
China also the biggest producer of Steel, if cut supply all the way till March 2022, that would have impact on world supply
Based on statistics and facts, I am buying past few days when price came down. It might come down again on Friday, I don't know as not easy to time the market. I have confidence Hiap Teck will do well.
Holding minimum 6-9 months. If I am wrong in the end, it was my decision based on facts and figures and not following anyone blindly that I will blame anyone.
when durians opened already, the price must drop to find buyers....Hiaptek is no difference. The more KYY and his gurus talk about it, the more price will drop. Good luck
China curb steel production till Mar 2022. How about after Mar 2022? Will it flood the market again with a lot of steel? If yes, the steel price will collapse at that time. Stock price always reflect 6 months ahead. Just like glove counter, before ASP drop, share price already peak at even 9 months ahead. Anyone have info of China government policy after Mar 2022?
Iewis888 > China curb steel production till Mar 2022. How about after Mar 2022? Will it flood the market again with a lot of steel? If yes, the steel price will collapse at that time. Stock price always reflect 6 months ahead.
Likely it's a washout of weak hands. Margin players were unexpectedly liquidated because over leveraged, forced selling by banks. Have to thank them for the cheap price again. I added at .56. I believe in the fundamental will support the price.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
de_investor
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Posted by de_investor > 2021-10-28 21:17 | Report Abuse
waiting for LU...