Stay invested.. the BDI may go for some correction but don’t worry. China companies have stopped selling spot for coal. The shortage is quite bad. As such, there will be continuous import of coal and coal is transported by dry bulk. The shortage is ha d in hand with the current boom in China’s steel industry. You need huge amount of coal to fire up the furnaces... also, coal is still a big part of China’s energy source. Winter is approaching soon and demand for coal for power generation/ heat will soon start.. The demand for energy in the west for winter will also help the crude prices..
Hi everyone, you all can get lots of world business info from shipping industry. You can try google Hellenic shipping.. Few years ago, I decided not to listen to what the analysts report .. and prefer to do research from actual news in industries that we invest. For my palm oil portfolio, I follow indian vege oil association And the US soy news because palm oil move in tandem with soy oil as both are most consumed in the world and sometimes used interchaeably.. India is worlds largest importer of palm oil far exceeding China at 2nd spot
Chngmenghui .. thank you very much for your sharing of the link and I hope all in this forum can share and benefit everyone.. let’s keep it positive and productive
Albukhary.. very true. It is now trading at a PE of 2.31 based on latest qtr results.. and for a growth sector in this economic recovery though slow and cautious, I feel that there is enough momentum to ride it through to Dec .. it’s moving very cautiously but definitely on the UPTREND.
Nothing to worry.. as the BDI tracks rates of all classes Capesizes, Panamax, Supramax vessels. Capesizes rates fell last night but Panamax and Supramax classes still increased. Usually Capesizes vessels (170,000 tons and above) carry iron ores and coal.. MAYBULK does not own any Capesizes .. according to latest annual report. It owns Supramaxes and Panamax which usually ferry soy, grains, sugar... all in demand currently.
Rates for Capesizes are in a correction phase..which may be a while but from the past trends over the years, it is just another healthy phenomena. Going back to fundamentals, the market is picking up steam in China and many of the bulk carriers are full.
i think everyone here needs to keep one eye on the economies that are experiencing rapid COVID case expansions i.e. India, US, Brazil because if these economies (re)enter shutdown, BDI is gonna collapse overnight again.
Surely the pandemic return does not help in recoveries. Fundamentally Maybulk is very much in tact just like other well managed companies in KLSE.. let’s just stay invested and take a longer term view. I made mistakes in the last 2 crashes 97/98 and 08/09 where I chickened out in small uptrend recovery shocks..! Maybulk is on the uptrend and the daily high vol over past month with low volumes on each correction suggest there are institutional interests...
Hopefully what greenland said is correct....successful investors need patience. There is no other way to stand straight in stock market except insider info..
Maybulk completed its first wave up from 0.18-0.505. The fib retracement entry level is 0.435, 0.380, 0.345. May try to collect at these level before its launch of second wave up with TP: >0.65 by Sep
BDI is a general index covering the Capesizes, Panamax sizes, Supramax sizes .. and the current decline in BDI is caused mainly by the Capesizes rates as the import of iron ores from China has slowed down and iron ores usuallynuse the Capesizes vessels 170,000 mt and above
Maybulk does not own any Capesizes vessels. It has Panamax, Supramax, Kansamax which are smaller and can mostly soybeans, grains, coal and sugar..
So, if you analyse the cnss.com.cn , you will see indexes for Panamax, Handymax, Supramax is on the uptrend .. surely because economies are opening and countries are importing essentials.
We should instead buy in when it dips below 0.40... it’s a cheap buy. Don’t forget the PE ratio is only 2.81 from last Qtr results.
Shipping business is a longer horizon business... The industry has gone through some tough times before the Covid crisis and many vessel owners have sold or scrapped their vessels. However, if you look at the annual report, Maybulk has instead took delivery of 2 more new vessels in 2019..
Above are just my views .. just want to share a good opportunity, nothing else...hope will not be responded in any negative manner .
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
chngmenghui
166 posts
Posted by chngmenghui > 2020-07-03 05:47 | Report Abuse
BDI 1823