If calculate today up 15 cents is equal before Ex bonus up 18 cents. This signals showing "strong buy" and i can tell u Masteel can easily have strong profit as below:
1Q 17 14mil 2Q 17 10mil 3Q 17 40mil (EST) 4Q 17 40mil (EST) Total 17 104mil Total share after bonus 311mil EPS = 33.4 cents
I use super LOW PE for our super conservative Malaysia fund manager for steel sector X 8 times = New TP RM2.67 (IF in china average PE15, can get RM5.01)
Compare RM1.35 today, potential of 97% profit........Don't waste this Golden Opportunity.......Once may happen in your life time only.
**Note = Malaysia Fund manager no dare to chase high PE one for steel sector - as they Mark"High Risk"
I use super LOW PE for our super conservative Malaysia fund manager for steel sector X 8 times = New TP RM2.67 (IF in china average PE15, can get RM5.01)
Compare RM1.35 today, potential of 97% profit........Don't waste this Golden Opportunity.......Once may happen in your life time only.
**Note = Malaysia Fund manager no dare to chase high PE one for steel sector - as they Mark"High Risk"
THIS IS WHY I SAID, MALAYSIA STEEL SECTOR deserve a RERATING LOH
P.E 10-15 is more reasonable until 2020, due to protection from GOVT mah!
I always trust the detailed homework done by OTB sifu, and I believe Masteel has the highest probability to gain greatest rewards among the big 4 long steel companies, although I am still holding the shares of all big 4 companies.
As per current market situation, don't u think china will re-open those illegal factory to push down Rebar price to low again next year?
At least 3 years Masteel have advantage on Malaysia imposed tax protection till year 2020.
Let said Rebar price soften to RM2400 next year, imagine cost is maintain high on RM2100, sales tonnes maintain 125 tons(Low target) Gross margin is 14.3%, after deduct selling & admin Exp 15mil, still have 22.5 mil profit.
Est 2018 , 22.5mil X 4 Qtr = 90 mil EPS = 28.9 cents
I think the above can be sustainable till year 2020.
use 28.9 X 8 times, still have long term TP RM2.31 10 times will be RM2.89 12 times will be RM3.46
If the government announce any big project for the coming 2017/2018, this is still not count their impact on steel demand.
Don't forget, Currently the supply is fixed and we do not see any big changes on additional supply in malaysia market.
We also can not underestimated the China production cut will cause China Inventory go to Super Low Historical Level....This is really BIG IMPACT.
If China rebar shoot up to RMB4,500 next month, then how much malaysia steel mill to offer? it can be RM3,000 per ton......
Same here, i also possess all 4 steel counters, but prestar performance quite lackluster like HY even tho very undervalued, wait till next q result bloom
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
onlyinvestment
303 posts
Posted by onlyinvestment > 2017-09-25 11:50 | Report Abuse
May I know why keep dropping before bonus?
I though should be up and up because all people want get bonus share?