Today Masteel is doing good job even PP shares quoted on today, think after 12th, mostly likely will break 1.50 soon ......
The only steel counter that I am holding since limited capital.
2nd tranche of PP condition will be different I think, 1st tranche is by serving notice from Macq, 2nd tranche will be from Masteel if not wrong ..... for 2nd tranche PP, price think will push above 1.50.
Just hold tight .... hope can reach TP 1.50 soon .....
Company profile. MASTEEL (listed in Feb 2005) is one of the biggest long steel manufacturers in Malaysia, which is involved in the manufacturing of steel billets and steel bars. The manufacturing facilities of MASTEEL are located in Petaling Jaya and Bukit Raja, Klang, housing an annual capacity of 700,000 MT billets and 600,000 MT steel bars, respectively. It has over 60 domestic dealers and several international trading houses as partners in Australia, New Zealand, Indonesia, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam and the Philippines. In FY16, exports accounted about 8% to revenue. MASTEEL also has an associate company which manufactures radioisotopes for the imaging of cancer cells has seen rapid growth in revenue for the last 3 years (from ~RM1.4m in FY14 to ~RM3.3m in FY16). Its radioisotopes manufacturing facility is located in Bandar Enstek, Negeri Sembilan, supplying mainly to the hospitals throughout Peninsular Malaysia. Anticipate a stronger 2H17. For the remainder of 2HFY17 and FY18, market is anticipating a gradual pick-up in infrastructure projects, which reinforces prices of local steel rebars to trade at multi-year high of ~RM2700/tonne levels. Overall, steel prices are likely to remain strong, buoyed by strengthening RM/US$ (which will cushion margin compression amid rising raw material prices), Malaysia’s government safeguard duties coupled with the higher China rebar prices (FIG3) following a confluence of factors including stable demand, capacity cuts and policies to reduce pollution.
Playing catch-up. At RM1.22, MASTEEL is trading at 0.54x P/BV and 6.1x FY17 P/E, which are 62% and 33% below its peers (refer FIG2), respectively. In the near term, MASTEEL’s share prices are likely to play catch-up with its peers as current steep discounts are unwarranted.
Positive downtrend resistance breakout. The stock has been trading above the daily support trendline and major SMAs from a low of RM0.955 (11 July). Despite rallying 27% to end at RM1.22 yesterday, share price continued to lag its peers YTD (refer FIG2). In anticipation of a better results in the coming quarters and bullish downtrend line breakout, the stock is likely to break 52-week high of RM1.28 (24 May) soon, supported by positive daily and weekly technical indicators. A successful breakout will spur prices higher towards RM1.35 (123.6% FP) before reaching our LT target at RM1.40 (138.2% FP). Key supports are situated near RM1.19 (5&6 Sep low) and RM1.15 (38.2% FR). Cut loss at RM1.14. Source: Hong Leong Investment Bank Research - 7 Sept 2017
Just sharing , my friend who work in hardware factory told me the price for rebar now was stand on 27xx compare with july sale.price was 22xx . Up 500 per ton within 2 month. Huat liao this time
good for shareholder but careful to those just enter >1.30
big fund bought many from 1.10-1.30, if 1.40 cannot break price may correction below 1.30
btw, china steel cut prod had caused price up but russia and iran will still contribute to balance the shortage and we dont know the impact china prod cut vs workers losing job there. gov may take action anytime and next qtr still many months to go
on the other side, if global price up can sustain for 3 more quarters, those whom enter even >1.30 can earn thousands.. 1.40 still cheap at PER 8.8 forecast earnings 40m annually.
Appreciation of ringgit carry positive impact to Masteel, at 4.195, my guess is Masteel will get 5mil forex gain in the coming QR.
if RM can continue strengthen against USD to RM4, like what newspaper forecast, how?
--------------------------- KLCI King RM vs USD is strengthening & Masteel is directly benefiting from the RM appreciation.
30/09/2016 = RM4.125 31/12/2017 = RM4.486 (-8.75%, QR forex loss = 11.02mil) 31/03/2017 = RM4.427 (+1.3%, QR forex gain = 1.3mil) 30/06/2017 = RM4.295 (+2.98%, QR forex gain = 6.44mil) 07/09/2017 = RM4.192 (+2.4%, QR forex gain = ???)
If wait until rerating only buy will be high already. Looks like market is pricing in upside in undervalued low PE steel counters and downside in overheating high PE tech stocks. In addition, continuous MYR strengthening against USD is additional bonus for steel counters like Masteel.
Energiser, normal for tech stock with high PE due to current and future market potential, while heavy industry is matured sector mere on demand/supply which less potential. Thats why investor willing to pay more for tech stock.
SuperPanda yes tech stocks have high PE but that also means high downside risks if any hiccups in earnings (i.e. IQgroup's recent quarter results). Also, with the mega gains from tech stocks with some hitting few hundred % gains, will not be surprised if investors choose to take profits and shift rebounds funds to investments with more upside potential currently such as steel stocks.
Moneysifu Please come back actively in I3. You keep telling leoting and Edward to ignore what others say. You should do the same. Your contribution is really missed. Hope you will ponder this and come back like the good old days.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
smartInvestor1
699 posts
Posted by smartInvestor1 > 2017-09-08 12:41 | Report Abuse
Buy call 1.20 now 1.40 paper gain 17% in 5 days.. tq Mr market