Agreed. The QR will getting bad. Look at JohorTin, they had expanded the F&B business in Mexico and the latest QR getting better. CanOne should go for F&B business rather than Canning and Packaging business.
Dont be too pessimistic. We are almost at the end of the tunnel and will see light in the next quarter result based on the following facts:
1) The tranche 1 of the selling price of F&B Nutrition of RM750m was paid on 15th Oct 2019 directly to AmBank & AmBank Islamic to settle the borrowings. This will translate to RM8.4m interest savings per quarter from 4Q19 onwards based on interest 4.5% p.a.
2) The profit for 3Q19 was pull down mainly by loss of RM8.7M in 3Q19 in the Edible Oils & Fats segments in Contracts Manufacturing Division. As we all know, crude palm oil price has strongly rebound. A positive return in 4Q19 is almost certain.
3) Boxpak, the subsi of Canone, has break even after many years of losses. This is due to drop in the corrugated paper price, resulted from the drop in the paper pulp price. Next quarter result should remain the same or a more positive return if the downtrend of corrugated paper price continues.
The combine of 1) + 2) will gives a profit of RM17m, which enough to offset the impact of the discontinued operations of dairy segments.
Thanks for correcting my mistake on the edible oil segment.
After a more detailed study, edible oils & fats is a new business segment that the company has venture in to tap on some existing assets after the divestment of milk powder segment. Yoy, revenue grows a whopping 183x from 789k to 145m, while asset grows 130m, from 579m to 709m. Qoq, revenue grows 84.5m based on the notes quoted from 2Q19 below.
(Contract Manufacturing division registered revenue of RM512.8 million in YTD Q2, 2019, an increase of RM84.5 million compared to YTD Q2, 2018, mainly contributed by edible oils and beverages segments)
The losses i suspect should be one off set up costs incurred of moving machinery & perform re-calibration on the machinery computer setting to swift from milk powder to edible oil, & hiring costs of the new staff.
This will be a new revenue stream to partially off set the impact after divest of milk powder segment once the setting up expenses stabilized.
Can-one just announced that the company has received tranche 2 amount payment consists of RM153.5m principal amount plus RM2.5m interest.
It means the minimal selling price of F&B Nutrition is RM900m & the company has earned other income of RM2.5m. Also, additional interest saving of RM1m per quarter from this RM153.5 m received).
The remaining balance of tranche 2 amount will be known & be paid soon in 1Q2020 after audited the financial statement.
I hope for a big fat dividend from this disposal. A lean company is good discipline for any management. However going by the track record and prejudiced by years of suffering as Kian Joo shareholder, I'm supremely confident that this will not happen.
Wait for price drop till DY=5% or increase dividend. This company management is not generous to minority, no point to support it now. It broke my previous TP below 2. Next level is 1.50 as market conditions is becoming bad.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
lcng123
1,127 posts
Posted by lcng123 > 2019-11-29 12:05 | Report Abuse
Agreed. The QR will getting bad. Look at JohorTin, they had expanded the F&B business in Mexico and the latest QR getting better. CanOne should go for F&B business rather than Canning and Packaging business.