push up 1 cent everyday is good enough. Sooner it will break 2.80 and will on the way to 2.90. After that 3.00 and wait over there for hs consolidation to do something. Maybe there want to IOI demerger style where to list their propeties separately. They have many lands in sabah waiting to ripe.
Hap Seng Plantations Holdings Bhd said net profit for the first financial quarter ended March 31, 2014, rose 111% to RM42.23 million from RM19.97 million in the same quarter a year ago.
Revenue for the quarter rose to RM138.43 million from RM101.36 million a year ago.
The company attributed its strong performance to higher average selling prices and higher sales volume of crude palm oil and palm kernel.
The company expects results for the current financial year to be better than the previous financial year.
... Based on the attractive EV per ha below the recent transacted price of RM88,252 per ha, UOBKayHian has identified attractive small and mid-cap listed planters with exposure in Sabah and Sarawak purely based on their asset valuation – Hap Seng Plantations Holdings Bhd, Kretam Holdings Bhd, DutaLand Bhd, Sarawak Plantation Bhd, BLD Plantation Bhd and Sarawak Oil Palms Bhd.
Based on the EV per ha analysis, Sarawak Oil Palms and Hap Seng Plantations are undervalued, trading at a respective RM40,000 and RM53,000 per ha with good production yield.
Hap Seng Plantations also gives decent dividend yields of 4.3%. The research unit pointed out that DutaLand is among the few that might still be keen to dispose its plantation assets in Sabah. ...
PETALING JAYA: MIDF Research sees the price crude palm oil (CPO) rising to RM3,000 a tonne over the next three months, driven by temporary “acute” supply shortage in the market.
At that price level, CPO price would be a parity with its main rival soybean oil. The benchmark CPO futures price on Bursa Derivatives jumped 1.2% to RM2,537 a tonne yesterday.
“Historically, CPO always traded at discount against soybean oil. However, we observed that CPO has traded on par with soybean oil briefly during the period of acute shortage of CPO in the market.” MIDF Research said in a note yesterday.
Such a rare phenomenon, said the research house, occurred before in February 2011.
“At that time, CPO price surged to RM3,800 per tonne as inventory dropped to 1.48 million tonnes. We expect a similar situation may happen again in the second quarter as inventory gets depleted significantly to the critical level of 1.5 million tonnes.
Other key assumptions going forward, according to MIDF, is that soybean price may improve slightly to US$725 per tonne and dollar to the ringgit rate of RM4.15.
An analyst from a local bank-backed brokerage also said he was bullish about CPO price, believing that the shortage of supply was due to the seasonally lower output. “The lower supply will likely cause prices to go up,” he said.
CPO price was at RM2,538 per tonne yesterday.
MIDF also said the inventory could drop to critical levels of 1.5 million tonnes in the second quarter of this year.
“In the short term, we expect February 2016 inventory to decline by 11% month-on-month to 2.07 million tonnes. Consensus is expecting inventory to decline to 2.1 million tonnes (based on a Reuters survey).
“The impact of El Nino is now established and we believe that production will be significantly lower than what it used to be in the first half of 2016.”
The research house added that in March, inventory level could decline further to below two million tonnes and continue its downtrend to 1.5 million tonnes in the second quarter of 2016.
“Note that two million tonnes is the minimum level in which the market perceived the stock situation as ‘comfortable’ and we think that this situation is likely to end soon.
“As we move into the second quarter, it is possible that inventory may drop to “critical” levels as it gets closer to 1.5 million tonnes.”
MIDF also noted that the Palm and Lauric Oils Price Outlook Conference & Exhibition had commenced yesterday and featured speakers that were bullish about CPO prices.
“Our prediction made on Dec 15, 2015 that CPO price should exceed RM2,500 tonnes in the first quarter of this year has been accurate so far. We maintain our bullish view on CPO price and expect it to surge higher in the second quarter to RM3,000 per tonne.”
A well-managed and efficient planter that offers a good dividend yield.
-Share price is supported by:
1. undervalued plantation assets. At the current share price, the implied EV/ha for its estates is only RM50k, below the market price of RM70k- 80k for Sabah estates.
2. net cash position of RM95m (US$23m) or 12sen a share.
3. 32% Q-o-Q rise in FFB output and 27% Q-o-Q rise in CPO output in 2Q16.
Every 1% rise/drop in FFB output assumption would result in a 3% increase/decrease in our FY16 net profit. Every RM100/tonne change in CPO price could impact FY16 net profit by 13%.
4.coupled with higher Certified Sustainable Palm Oil (CSPO) premium due to shortages in the market.
Recent shortages in CSPO due to FGV’s withdrawal and IOI’s suspension from RSPO certifications have boosted the premium for CSPO, which is positive for HSP.
5. its dividend policy to distribute 60% of its net profit to shareholders.
There was sharp rally in CPO in the past 4 weeks. CPO rose from a low of RM2270 to touch a high of RM2950. Based on the recovery in CPO prices, plantation stocks can recover further.
-The shares of Hap Seng Plantations is trading at an earnings multiple of 20 times respectively compared to the plantation index which is currently valued at 26 times earnings.
-The latest data by the Malaysian Palm Oil Board (MPOB) shows that spot prices for CPO had hit RM2,899 on Sept 21, which is the highest in more than two years.
-During the third quarter period from July 1 to Sept 22, CPO prices have averaged RM2,604 per tonne according to Bloomberg data.
-Its average cost of production was RM1,376/tonne in 1H16.
-Beneficiary of rising CPO price in 3Q.
The group is a beneficiary of the 17% CPO price spike from end-June to RM2,899/tonne currently as it sells most or all of its palm products on a spot basis.
Its 2Q16/1H16 average CPO price achievement of RM2,661/RM2,510 per tonne is also better than the Sabah’s avg. CPO price of RM2,584/RM2,483 per tonne.
This is due mainly to the price premiums of US$20-30/tonne (or RM80-120/tonne) that it received from its CSPO products. Every RM100/tonne change in CPO price impacts its FY16 net profit by 13%.
something is not right with this company.. reverse gone down.. debts all remains or up.. productions reducing..are they manipulating with figures? i still have 65000 shares as todate..very worried..someone pls highlights..
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
lching
1,402 posts
Posted by lching > 2013-07-21 01:10 | Report Abuse
cpo price remain low how to wake up?