Excluding the RM91mil impairment, FY18 would have deliver a core net loss of RM30 mil to investors. 1Q19 seems to be a bit better with GP margin improving from -1.1% average in FY18 to now 4.4% in 1Q19. However, the profit to shareholders was still only RM700k for the quarter. Even though the Malaysian division has somewhat recovered a bit, the overall group performance is still being dragged by Thailand division which posted a 1Q19 loss of almost RM5mil. That being said, total volume exported was actually lower compared to 1Q18 but result was supported by better forex and higher sales of higher margin products.
Management is somewhat bearish on the company’s near-term outlook due to lower expected demand of hard disk drive (HDD) especially with the downward pricing pressure of SSD which will indirectly makes HDD less appealing. FY19 could potentially deliver a profit to the shareholders but it won’t be big. Most probably less than RM5mil. At the current share price, the company is valued at a high forward PE of 85x.
If you are looking to hedge your portfolio outside of JCY (due to its weak earnings outlook and relatively high valuation), I would recommend you to look at MBMR. (https://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/stk/pt/5983.jsp)
MBMR is a direct proxy to Perodua via its 22.6% interest in the company. Valuation is cheap at only 6.1x PE based on FY18 profit of RM166mil. PB is low at only 0.7x BV.
FY19 should deliver another profit growth year to the company. Profit growth will again be driven by the performance of Perodua (via MBMR 22.6% holdings in Perodua) from the still strong sales of new Myvi, sales of SUV Aruz and the introduction of the newly revamp Alza sometime in the 2H19. Aruz which commands a higher margin compared to other models, will help improve the total profit margin of Perodua (which will flow to MBMR’s bottom line as well).
MBMR is expected to achieve a profit of RM200mil in 2019. At the current share price, the company is being valued at only 5.0x which is a lot lower than the industry average of 15x PE. As an example, UMW (another company with exposure to Perodua) is currently trading at a PE multiple of almost 20x.
*JCY International Bhd (JCY)* has agreed to receive 133.30 million yuan (RM81.05 million) as compensation for the relocation of its properties in China’s Suzhou Wuzhong Economic Technology Development Area. (The Edge Markets)
looking at the draining volume, a dramatic move for sure will be happening soon. But to which direction is anyones guess. Either way it will likely lasts and reverse very quickly. Strategy for this case in simple words: If down, buy more. If up, take profit. Just saying
We had discussed this concentration risk of market in our Management Discussion and Analysis. The potential high concentration risk on revenue generation has an equal risk and pressure on the deliverables of the business’s financial results. For this matter to have a direct and great impact on our financial results, it involves a larger group of stakeholders and doubles the importance of this matter.
The Board of Directors recognises the importance of this matter and has prioritised this high revenue concentration matter to be one of the top agendas in the Board’s deliberations, at every occasion where the Board members met.
In each of the Board meetings, the Board discussed the strategies and directions for diversification of the Company business and to source for more business revenue from other industries other than the HDD industry.
In the financial year 2016, the non-HDD revenue stood at approximately 0.5% of the total revenue generated by the Group. This number improved to 1.9% in the financial year 2017 where we saw some improvements on non-HDD revenue from the sales of components to other business sectors, including the sales of components to the Solid State Drive (“SSD”) sector. SSD has been generally thought to be the next generation of digital storage technology that will potentially replace a large portion of digital storage demand currently fulfilled by the HDDs.
In financial y-ear 2018, the non-HDD sectors contribute approximately 3.9% of the total revenue generated by the Group. We see this as an encouraging leap for the Group to move away from the concentration risk of revenue from a single source.
Nevertheless, the Board deems that the contribution of revenue generated from sources other than HDD industry is still far from satisfactory. The Management continues to actively extend the Group’s capabilities to other business sectors and is actively looking for new business opportunities that will best utilise our fields of expertise. We expect to deliver a greater dilution of revenue concentration in the next 5 years.
To achieve the ultimate goal of reducing our dependency on HDD industry, we carefully analyse our fields of expertise and align with those industries and products that may require our specialised skills and experience and we will reach out to them. We identify our core capabilities to include precision die casting, machining, stamping, gasket plotting, metal coating and plating, as well as high cleanliness level ultrasonic cleansing processes, cleanroom assembly for electronic components, design and fabrication for precision tools and moulds and other related fields.
With our core expertise and strengths in mind, we reach out to professional intermediates for linking us with potential customers and markets. We will also recruit business development professionals to explore for business opportunities. We will not limit our business development activities to only the emerging markets such as ASEAN and Asia, but also in the matured market of America, as we see the opportunities of a potential shift of international procurement strategies and trade models as a result of the brewing trade dispute between the United States of America and China.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
1009
2,020 posts
Posted by 1009 > 2019-03-07 10:07 | Report Abuse
Kuatx2 sleeping...