Net Profit drop around 70% if take out one off gain.. Now market see steel like macam see hantu.. price can drop serious than other those making loss.. wtf
Annjoo result consider not too bad... those play safe can slowly accumulate while the price is really worth.. NTA is RM2.4 and the share price is far lower than this. marginal safety is high. And most importantly, Annjoo distribute decent dividend which i think nothing much to scare about. good luck all
Higher profitability was due to recognition of compensation for delay in plant completion of RM25.21 million arising from the awards of an arbitration.
If save to FY18 said it got 150 m as PBT, 60% dividend policy can give 12 cents as dividend. That is dividend yield of more than 10%. Now entries price dam good for a dividend stock.
The director and major shareholder bought back quite a high volume of AnnJoo stocks in Oct 2018. He already knew the earnings in Q3 will be higher QoQ in end Sept'18 when Q3 ended.
Ann Joo is the most cost-efficient steel player in the industry with the company being the only operator of hybrid blast furnace and electric arc furnace (BF- EAF) technology in Malaysia. This provide the company the flexibility to switch raw materials (iron ore and coke for blast vs scrap metal for electric arc) in order to managed their cost.
The company’s main products: steel billet, bar and rod are mostly produced for the domestic market in particular for the construction and property industries. Exporting to other countries with good margins is difficult to execute given that most countries have their own import duties imposed on steel products in order for them to protect their own steel industries. Malaysia itself impose safeguard duties on rebar, wire rod and deformed bar in coil until April 2020.
Given the slowdown of both the property (due to weak market sentiment) and construction (government decision to put on hold, shelves, scale down or cancel big projects like HSR ECRL, MRT3, LRT3 etc) industries, investors need to be prepared for a slowing down of both selling volume and selling price of Ann Joo’s product which will affect the future quarterly performance of the group. The company’s 3Q18 core PBT (excluding impairments, forex and one-off gains) was at RM20mil translating to a PBT margin of only 3.5% vs last year’s 10%. The decline in margin is both due to lower average selling price (due to softer demand) and higher input cost (higher coking coal, scrap metal, iron ore and electricity price). Unless the selling price of steel product improved, expect margins to remain in the lower level for the near future.
That being said, given the share price decline from its peak of around RM4 recorded early of the year to now RM1.25, all this negativity should have already been priced in. Analysts are not expecting the steel industry to fall back to the challenging period of FY12-15 when the industry was faced with oversupply from China. Ann Joo is still expected to post profit of around RM100mil in FY19. At the current price the company is still only trading at 6.7x PE.
If you are looking to diversify your portfolio outside of Ann Joo (to mitigate risks relating to steel industries), I would recommend you to look at MBMR.
MBMR is a direct proxy to Perodua via its 22.6% interest in the company. Valuation is cheap at only 5.5x PE (based on target FY18 PATAMI of RM145mil. 9m PATAMI is already RM106mil). PB is low at only 0.5x BV. 4Q18 results is expected to be higher than 3Q18 and last year's 4Q17.
For FY19 growth will be driven by the still high demand of new Myvi and the launch of the new SUV in 1Q19 and also the new Alza in 2H19.
Please go through the analyst reports (https://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/stk/pt/5983.jsp) and do your own analysis before making any decisions. Most analysts have a TP of above RM3 for the company with Hong Leong being the lowest at RM3.13 and Maybank the highest at RM4.18.
What a point to have the most cost efficient steel player, if their production is less than 35% now. The cost of energy used will remain the same either the production is at 65% or 35% would eat into the margins especially at 35% ie the plane take off used the same volume of petrol weather full or half load of people.
James Ng you're good at writing garbage that doesn't say anything, maybe you can be a good financial analyst because that's what they do, or maybe you should do something useful with your life, hahaha
Have to wait till end of Feb only can know how much. Base on their 60% policy on Q3 YTD profit, each share can have 12.5 cents, minus 8.5 already declare..... only left 4 cents......
have to see how they does on Q4..... as long as not negative then 4 cents possible.....
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
KAQ4468
21,497 posts
Posted by KAQ4468 > 2018-11-30 10:39 | Report Abuse
aiyaaaa
target ka ??