Don't dismiss Fajar just yet. True, it doesn't seem to be going anywhere lately but one must also take into consideration that it is rated at 1.00 in The Edge/JCF Consensus Table. I haven't done my homework on it yet but if JCF rates it highly, there surely must be a very good reason.
Rated 1 means strong buy. It has been rated at 1 for the past few weeks. Someone purposely press down the price to accumulate . The directors exercised their esos at 0.90 if I'm not wrong. There cld be something interesting this coming quarter's result.
According to the company's announcement, the drop in revenue in the current quarter was due to deferment in site possession and the delay in handover of full work areas for 4 awarded projects as well as slower progress at site for several construction contracts undertaken by the group. The group has uncomplete construction project of RM925mil and going to be launched the property projects in Puchong (RM500mil) in 2nd half of 2012 and Sentul (RM203mil) in 2013, so all these will contribute positively to the group in the next financial year.
I'm having second thoughts about Fajar after reading Alex Lu's blog http://nexttrade.blogspot.com/2012/08/fajar-hit-by-double-whammy.html And the fact that one of its major shareholders Datuk Ir. Low Keng Kok had sold 1 million units on Aug 17 hasn't helped to boost confidence in it either. Looks like it will have to go down some more before Fajar becomes attractive enough to be worth a risk.
Dato' Ir. Low Keng Kok has disposed 2mil units n Aug and transfer 4.1mil units to Dato' Sri Ir. Kuan Peng Soon. We don't know the story behind this transaction, but one thing be sure is the other major shareholders is still holding the company's share.
no supportline. It's free fall. A 20 over million loss company will take years to recover. Unless it could gain 3o million profit yr 2013 then its has prospect. Ampang project is yet to commence. VO from Gemas project is uncertain and won't be easy. So why wait??
No matter how, Fajar still got RM925 mil construction projects and 2 property projects worth RM730 mil (Puchong & Sentul) to be launched next few months. We looked at these 2 property projects, the main contractors of these 2 property projects are Fajar subsidiaries construction company, so it can generate higher margin for Fajar. RM730 mil can generate net profit RM73 mil (estimated 10% net profit or may be even more) with EPS 38sen. Whatever loss in FY2012 can cover easly by this margin. Fajar has changed his strategy where construction & property sectors work together to generate higher margin for the group. So I planned to buy in more when price drop further.
Yes right, it has a book value of almost 1bil. But investor has lowered their expectation on construction companies. In construction industries it is not easy to contract higher profit. Now days 6 to 7% are considered lucrative. The Government are cleverer now days. The most they will allow 5% profit. Contractor will have that 5% cover all the unexpected cost ie. price material increase, labour shortage, project delay, cost overrun and all sort of costs coming in during construction period. Without strict cost control, expected profit can swing severely and became huge losses. May be can enter a lower price when it really stabilised. Butthe last 2 months it has been falling and it has yet to stop. On news that construction company won contract, there will be small waves to move up the price. Moment later it will drop. That also happened to AZ, TRC etc.
Yes I do agreed with your point Captros, that's why Fajar involved in property development right now which is can get higher profit with their own construction team and the property demand always there especially in near KL area.
woo..few more days to go..remisier frd doing this,, said he made some easy money from this..last one he did was the ijm land warrants last month...need capital to pick up n exercise though....
New IPO: The onshore and offshore support services provider for the O&G industry, Steel Hawk Bhd aims to list on the Ace Market!
MQ Trader 3538 views | 3 d ago
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New IPO: The largest mini-market player and a leading groceries retailer in Malaysia, 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings Bhd aims to list on the Main Market!
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
danielsoh
110 posts
Posted by danielsoh > 2011-06-15 00:04 | Report Abuse
Target price 1.50...